Feels Strategy
$CCD is showing strength against the marketπ π Buying in the green zoneπ’ during fearπ¦ provided a great entry opportunityβ
π‘ Today, the coin reached the orange zoneπ combined with greedπ₯ and delivered x6 profit. Historically, this is a good opportunity forβ¦
$CCD has risen 40% over the past weekπ
π When the coin reached the orange zoneπ during extreme greedπ₯, it delivered a 10x profitπ°
π‘ After that, the asset entered a cooling phase and dropped by 65%π
π When the coin reached the orange zoneπ during extreme greedπ₯, it delivered a 10x profitπ°
π‘ After that, the asset entered a cooling phase and dropped by 65%π
$DNX is still in a long-term downtrend, but short-term dynamics are starting to improve.
π Today, price is testing the yellow zone π‘, which acts as a key resistance area and a decision point for the next move.
π In the past, Fear phasesπ¦ combined with the green zone π’ provided strong rebounds and solid accumulation opportunities, showing that buyers tend to step in aggressively at these levels.
π‘ As long as price remains below the yellow zone, the broader trend stays bearish. However, a successful reaction or breakout here could signal a potential shift in momentum. This zone is worth close monitoring π
π Today, price is testing the yellow zone π‘, which acts as a key resistance area and a decision point for the next move.
π In the past, Fear phasesπ¦ combined with the green zone π’ provided strong rebounds and solid accumulation opportunities, showing that buyers tend to step in aggressively at these levels.
π‘ As long as price remains below the yellow zone, the broader trend stays bearish. However, a successful reaction or breakout here could signal a potential shift in momentum. This zone is worth close monitoring π
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin vs Nasdaq Correlation π π Weβre now seeing a continuation of the short-term decoupling between $BTC and the NDX. This pattern has appeared several times in the past and often signals local consolidation before the correlation strengthens again. β¦
$BTC vs $NDX Correlation π
π£ Iβve been saying for a while that itβs time to prepare for a bear market, and at this point, most factors support this view: fundamentals, cycles, seasonality, and technical analysis.
π One important element is the correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq. Right now, this correlation continues to diverge.
π Historically, #Bitcoin bear markets have largely coincided with weakness in the tech sector. This time, however, Btc has already started to decline while the NDX continues to move higher and show relative strength
π‘ This leaves us with two main scenarios:
1οΈβ£ The equity market is lagging, and we may see a correction soon, with crypto acting as a leading indicator, often reacting ~3 months earlier.
2οΈβ£ The upcoming Btc bear market may be milder than usual, potentially allowing for a stronger counter-trend rally this year, supported by NDX strength, QE, and shifts in Fed leadership.
P.S My view is that the truth likely lies somewhere between. Whatβs your take?
π£ Iβve been saying for a while that itβs time to prepare for a bear market, and at this point, most factors support this view: fundamentals, cycles, seasonality, and technical analysis.
π One important element is the correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq. Right now, this correlation continues to diverge.
π Historically, #Bitcoin bear markets have largely coincided with weakness in the tech sector. This time, however, Btc has already started to decline while the NDX continues to move higher and show relative strength
π‘ This leaves us with two main scenarios:
1οΈβ£ The equity market is lagging, and we may see a correction soon, with crypto acting as a leading indicator, often reacting ~3 months earlier.
2οΈβ£ The upcoming Btc bear market may be milder than usual, potentially allowing for a stronger counter-trend rally this year, supported by NDX strength, QE, and shifts in Fed leadership.
P.S My view is that the truth likely lies somewhere between. Whatβs your take?
$POL (MATIC) has shown strong momentum over the past weekπ, pushing price higher and now approaching the yellow zone π‘, which acts as an important resistance area.
π In the past, the green zoneπ’ combined with Fearπ¦ offered very solid entry and accumulation opportunities, as the asset repeatedly reacted well from these demand levels.
π‘Right now, the key question will be the reaction at the yellow zone, whether the price gets rejected again or manages to break above and confirm strengthπ
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π In the past, the green zoneπ’ combined with Fearπ¦ offered very solid entry and accumulation opportunities, as the asset repeatedly reacted well from these demand levels.
π‘Right now, the key question will be the reaction at the yellow zone, whether the price gets rejected again or manages to break above and confirm strengthπ
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$QUAI has risen 120% over the past weekπ
π When the coin entered the green zoneπ’ during fearπ¦, it was a great buying opportunityβ that has already delivered over +200% growthπ€©
π‘ Now the asset has broken above the yellow zoneπ¨ and is halfway to the orange zoneπ , which is historically a great area for partial take profitπ°
π When the coin entered the green zoneπ’ during fearπ¦, it was a great buying opportunityβ that has already delivered over +200% growthπ€©
π‘ Now the asset has broken above the yellow zoneπ¨ and is halfway to the orange zoneπ , which is historically a great area for partial take profitπ°
Feels Strategy
$XMR continues to demonstrate a stable and consistent uptrend π, respecting value zones and maintaining strong structural behavior. π Historically, Fear π¦ has marked local bottoms for this asset, with price reacting positively shortly after each fear spike.β¦
$XMR has now reached the yellow zoneπ¨, a level that historically plays an important role in price behaviorβ‘οΈ
π Previous Fearπ¦ aligned well with accumulation near the green zone π’, where the asset consistently formed solid bases before continuing higher.
π On the upside, moves into the yellow zone on this asset have often slowed momentum, with price either consolidating or cooling off rather than entering aggressive overextension.
π‘ Overall, XMR continues to show disciplined price behavior β steady growth, controlled momentum, and no signs of extreme speculation so far.
π Previous Fearπ¦ aligned well with accumulation near the green zone π’, where the asset consistently formed solid bases before continuing higher.
π On the upside, moves into the yellow zone on this asset have often slowed momentum, with price either consolidating or cooling off rather than entering aggressive overextension.
π‘ Overall, XMR continues to show disciplined price behavior β steady growth, controlled momentum, and no signs of extreme speculation so far.
#GOLD/SPX, Macro Inflection Point, Effect on $BTC
π The GOLD/SP500 ratio is approaching a potential long-term inflection zone. Historically, every major bottom in this ratio has marked a shift from riskβon to safeβhaven behavior.
π Every sustained turn higher in GOLD/SPX has coincided with periods of macro stress: inflation pressure, monetary regime changes, geopolitical risks, or weakening real returns in stocks. The current base formation closely resembles past setups (like 1970s) that preceded multi-year gold outperformance versus equities.
π This is happening while the SP500 remains near the upper boundary of its long-term trend β a structure that has often led to relative rotation rather than an immediate equity crash.
π‘ For Bitcoin:
If GOLD/SPX continues to rise, BTC typically benefits from the βdigital goldβ narrative in the long term. Short-term volatility is possible (risk-off if equities correct), but structurally, a rising GOLD/SPX should be considered with medium-term Bitcoin cycles.
π The GOLD/SP500 ratio is approaching a potential long-term inflection zone. Historically, every major bottom in this ratio has marked a shift from riskβon to safeβhaven behavior.
π Every sustained turn higher in GOLD/SPX has coincided with periods of macro stress: inflation pressure, monetary regime changes, geopolitical risks, or weakening real returns in stocks. The current base formation closely resembles past setups (like 1970s) that preceded multi-year gold outperformance versus equities.
π This is happening while the SP500 remains near the upper boundary of its long-term trend β a structure that has often led to relative rotation rather than an immediate equity crash.
π‘ For Bitcoin:
If GOLD/SPX continues to rise, BTC typically benefits from the βdigital goldβ narrative in the long term. Short-term volatility is possible (risk-off if equities correct), but structurally, a rising GOLD/SPX should be considered with medium-term Bitcoin cycles.
Feels Strategy
$ARRR has dropped 75% after reaching the orange zoneπ³ π From the green zoneπ’ to the orange zoneπ the coin delivered a 9x profitπ€© π‘As we mentioned in the previous post, the orange zone is a great opportunity for a take profitπ° If you used it, you not onlyβ¦
$ARRR has risen 100% over the past couple of daysπ
π After the coin reached the orange zoneπ during extreme greedπ₯ and delivered a 9x profitπ°, it entered a cooling phaseπ
π‘ Now, after a sharp move up, the coin has reached the yellow zoneπ¨, which is historically an important level before a move toward the orange zone.
π After the coin reached the orange zoneπ during extreme greedπ₯ and delivered a 9x profitπ°, it entered a cooling phaseπ
π‘ Now, after a sharp move up, the coin has reached the yellow zoneπ¨, which is historically an important level before a move toward the orange zone.
Feels Strategy
π‘For now, the key is simple: we need Greedπ₯ to cool off.
$DASH is now testing the yellow zoneπ¨, a level that often defines whether momentum can continue or needs further consolidation
π As mentioned in the previous post, the asset needed time to cool off after the greedπ₯, and that reset has now played out through price and sentiment.
π‘ Historically, extremes in Feels Fear & Greed were well reflected by the indicator, marking both overheated conditions near tops and more balanced environments afterward.
π As mentioned in the previous post, the asset needed time to cool off after the greedπ₯, and that reset has now played out through price and sentiment.
π‘ Historically, extremes in Feels Fear & Greed were well reflected by the indicator, marking both overheated conditions near tops and more balanced environments afterward.
$ARC has risen 125% over the past weekπ
π When the coin entered the green zoneπ’, it provided a great entry opportunity. After that, we saw a move up to the orange zoneπ , delivering a +460% gainπ°
π‘ Recently, the asset broke above the yellow zoneπ¨ and is now just one step away from the orange zone, where historically it is a good opportunity for partial take profitπΈ
π When the coin entered the green zoneπ’, it provided a great entry opportunity. After that, we saw a move up to the orange zoneπ , delivering a +460% gainπ°
π‘ Recently, the asset broke above the yellow zoneπ¨ and is now just one step away from the orange zone, where historically it is a good opportunity for partial take profitπΈ
Feels Strategy
#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel π π£ As anticipated, $BTC reached the upper band of the Gaussian Channel in October, exactly where I pointed before. π From here, I expect a more restrained growth phase β momentum is still on our side, but not as explosive as before.β¦
#Bitcoin Gaussian Channel π
π Weβre gradually approaching a period where, historically, $BTC has often seen relief rallies. Iβm not saying this move has to start immediately, but based on past structures, we have a good chanceπ
π If this consolidation continues, a breakout back above the Gaussian Channel baseline becomes a realistic scenario. A reclaim of that baseline would shift the channel bias back to greenπ©, which, in practice, tends to give the market some much-needed breathing room and optimism across crypto.
π The oscillator below clearly shows the wave structure of past moves and helps visualize where we are in the current cycle relative to previous relief phases.
π‘ Itβs also important to remember that in 2022, we were in a very aggressive QT environment, which amplified bearish pressure and shortened any upside moves. This time, the macro backdrop looks less restrictive, meaning a potential relief rally could last longer and develop more constructively.
π Weβre gradually approaching a period where, historically, $BTC has often seen relief rallies. Iβm not saying this move has to start immediately, but based on past structures, we have a good chanceπ
π If this consolidation continues, a breakout back above the Gaussian Channel baseline becomes a realistic scenario. A reclaim of that baseline would shift the channel bias back to greenπ©, which, in practice, tends to give the market some much-needed breathing room and optimism across crypto.
π The oscillator below clearly shows the wave structure of past moves and helps visualize where we are in the current cycle relative to previous relief phases.
π‘ Itβs also important to remember that in 2022, we were in a very aggressive QT environment, which amplified bearish pressure and shortened any upside moves. This time, the macro backdrop looks less restrictive, meaning a potential relief rally could last longer and develop more constructively.
Feels Strategy
$DASH continues to cool off after reaching Greedπ₯ level and tapping into the orange zoneπ π In previous posts, when I pointed out local peaks, some Dash enthusiasts in comments pushed back, insisting on endless growth. Ironically, this kind of emotional overconfidenceβ¦
$DASH has broken above the yellow zoneπ¨ and continues to push higherπ, confirming renewed momentum after a prolonged cooldown phase
π In earlier posts, the asset was highlighted during the orange zoneπ and elevated Greedπ₯, where price marked a local top, exactly as expected from historical behavior.
π‘ Right now, Greed is still not present, suggesting that the move is driven more by structure and follow-through. As long as sentiment remains controlled, this breakout keeps its constructive character.
π In earlier posts, the asset was highlighted during the orange zoneπ and elevated Greedπ₯, where price marked a local top, exactly as expected from historical behavior.
π‘ Right now, Greed is still not present, suggesting that the move is driven more by structure and follow-through. As long as sentiment remains controlled, this breakout keeps its constructive character.
$GUN has tripled from the green zoneπ
π After the asset spent some time in the green zoneπ’ during fearπ¦, it surged sharply and tested the yellow zoneπ¨
π‘ Today, the coin has broken above the yellow zoneπ and is now approaching the orange zoneπ , where historically it is a reasonable idea to take a profitπ°
π After the asset spent some time in the green zoneπ’ during fearπ¦, it surged sharply and tested the yellow zoneπ¨
π‘ Today, the coin has broken above the yellow zoneπ and is now approaching the orange zoneπ , where historically it is a reasonable idea to take a profitπ°