📊 Dutch GP - Sprint Qualifying | Qualifying Analysis
Both 🟧NOR and 🟥LEC were ~0.1s ahead of RUS out of the last corner, before 🟩RUS clawed it all back with full deployment (+30 km/h in a few metres, vs LEC's 14 km/h!)
NOR and LEC were fastest through the fastest corner; a weaker PU held LEC back
🟦VER's RBR couldn't match the pace of the others
Both 🟧 NOR and 🟥 LEC were ~0.1s ahead of RUS out of the last corner, before 🟩 RUS clawed it all back with full deployment (+30 km/h in a few metres, vs LEC's 14 km/h)!
NOR and LEC were fastest through the fastest corner; a weaker PU held LEC back.
🟦 VER's RBR couldn't match the pace of the others.
What's YOUR Sprint prediction? 👀
Both 🟧NOR and 🟥LEC were ~0.1s ahead of RUS out of the last corner, before 🟩RUS clawed it all back with full deployment (+30 km/h in a few metres, vs LEC's 14 km/h!)
NOR and LEC were fastest through the fastest corner; a weaker PU held LEC back
🟦VER's RBR couldn't match the pace of the others
Both 🟧 NOR and 🟥 LEC were ~0.1s ahead of RUS out of the last corner, before 🟩 RUS clawed it all back with full deployment (+30 km/h in a few metres, vs LEC's 14 km/h)!
NOR and LEC were fastest through the fastest corner; a weaker PU held LEC back.
🟦 VER's RBR couldn't match the pace of the others.
What's YOUR Sprint prediction? 👀
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Formula Data Analysis
📊 Dutch GP - Sprint Qualifying | Qualifying Analysis Both 🟧NOR and 🟥LEC were ~0.1s ahead of RUS out of the last corner, before 🟩RUS clawed it all back with full deployment (+30 km/h in a few metres, vs LEC's 14 km/h!) NOR and LEC were fastest through the…
This is what happened out of T14...
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📊 Dutch GP - Sprint | Sprint Pace
Not only was LEC quickest (marginally), but he had better degradation on the Softs than Mercedes and McL had on the Mediums!
HAM and the two Red Bulls had better deg than Merc/McL.
GAS and BOR were best of the rest.
Aston was close to Haas, and ahead of Williams and Cadillac!
Not only was LEC quickest (marginally), but he had better degradation on the Softs than Mercedes and McL had on the Mediums!
HAM and the two Red Bulls had better deg than Merc/McL.
GAS and BOR were best of the rest.
Aston was close to Haas, and ahead of Williams and Cadillac!
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📊 Dutch GP - Race | Race Pace
ANT used one additional set (4) compared to NOR (3), yet he was no quicker: that’s why he won comfortably!
LEC was as quick as ANT, using as many sets (4): Ferrari threw away a great result by botching quali for both Sprint and Race!
ALO’s good pace won him 2 points: he used just TWO sets, yet his laptimes were good! Promising! 👌
ANT used one additional set (4) compared to NOR (3), yet he was no quicker: that’s why he won comfortably!
LEC was as quick as ANT, using as many sets (4): Ferrari threw away a great result by botching quali for both Sprint and Race!
ALO’s good pace won him 2 points: he used just TWO sets, yet his laptimes were good! Promising! 👌
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📊 Dutch GP - Race | Tyre Wear & Tyre Degradation
🛞 TEAM PACE PER COMPOUND
⚪️ HARD: Ferrari > Mercedes > McL
🟡 MEDIUM: Ferrari > Mercedes > RBR
🔴 SOFT: Mercedes > McL > Ferrari >> RBR
Ferrari was quickest on the harder compounds, while Mercedes had the lowest wear. This reversed on the softs: Mercedes was quickest, but with worse wear.
Overall, Mercedes/McL/Ferrari had the same potential: any of the 3 could have won!
🛞 TEAM PACE PER COMPOUND
⚪️ HARD: Ferrari > Mercedes > McL
🟡 MEDIUM: Ferrari > Mercedes > RBR
🔴 SOFT: Mercedes > McL > Ferrari >> RBR
Ferrari was quickest on the harder compounds, while Mercedes had the lowest wear. This reversed on the softs: Mercedes was quickest, but with worse wear.
Overall, Mercedes/McL/Ferrari had the same potential: any of the 3 could have won!
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Formula Data Analysis
📊 Dutch GP - Race | Tyre Wear & Tyre Degradation 🛞 TEAM PACE PER COMPOUND ⚪️ HARD: Ferrari > Mercedes > McL 🟡 MEDIUM: Ferrari > Mercedes > RBR 🔴 SOFT: Mercedes > McL > Ferrari >> RBR Ferrari was quickest on the harder compounds, while Mercedes had…
🛞 TYRE DEGRADATION
Overall compound pace: the Mediums had worse performance than both Hards and Softs.
Overall compound pace: the Mediums had worse performance than both Hards and Softs.
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📊 Dutch GP - Race | Acceleration Times & ALO vs RUS Race Start
Reaction times increase with age... except for Alonso, who was quickest off the line in Zandvoort at 45 years old!
Even Lindblad, just 19, was slower.
RUS was worst off the line: high RPM sent the rears spinning, costing him a place to ANT.
HAM lifted to avoid rear-ending LEC!
Reaction times increase with age... except for Alonso, who was quickest off the line in Zandvoort at 45 years old!
Even Lindblad, just 19, was slower.
RUS was worst off the line: high RPM sent the rears spinning, costing him a place to ANT.
HAM lifted to avoid rear-ending LEC!
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Formula Data Analysis
📊 Dutch GP - Race | Acceleration Times & ALO vs RUS Race Start Reaction times increase with age... except for Alonso, who was quickest off the line in Zandvoort at 45 years old! Even Lindblad, just 19, was slower. RUS was worst off the line: high RPM sent…
ALO vs RUS Race Start
Notice how high RUS's RPM were compared to ALO's.
Releasing the clutch alone likely made his rears spin over the damp track.
ALO's less powerful PU and lower RPM prevented that, so he could open the throttle far sooner!
Notice that ALO reacted to the lights sooner (car starts moving sooner).
Notice how high RUS's RPM were compared to ALO's.
Releasing the clutch alone likely made his rears spin over the damp track.
ALO's less powerful PU and lower RPM prevented that, so he could open the throttle far sooner!
Notice that ALO reacted to the lights sooner (car starts moving sooner).
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Can you guess the top speed of the upcoming Monza race?
I will check back to tag the winners! 😏
📊 Useful stats about 2026 cars:
• +6km/h median over 2025.
• Less variable top speed track-to-track (max. ERS power must decrease above 337km/h → 'rubber-band effect'). Excluding Monaco, the lowest top speed was 343km/h (Australia)!
• We already reached 360 km/h in Barcelona
Let's see who'll get this right!
Via @JMP_software
I will check back to tag the winners! 😏
📊 Useful stats about 2026 cars:
• +6km/h median over 2025.
• Less variable top speed track-to-track (max. ERS power must decrease above 337km/h → 'rubber-band effect'). Excluding Monaco, the lowest top speed was 343km/h (Australia)!
• We already reached 360 km/h in Barcelona
Let's see who'll get this right!
Via @JMP_software
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Formula Data Analysis
Can you guess the top speed of the upcoming Monza race? I will check back to tag the winners! 😏 📊 Useful stats about 2026 cars: • +6km/h median over 2025. • Less variable top speed track-to-track (max. ERS power must decrease above 337km/h → 'rubber-band…
Here is a link to know more about JMP, the software I used to analyse the data and create this visualisation:
https://www.jmp.com/en/offers/partners?utm_source=x&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=fdataanalysis_en_post&utm_audience=f1race-interest&utm_content=trial
https://www.jmp.com/en/offers/partners?utm_source=x&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=fdataanalysis_en_post&utm_audience=f1race-interest&utm_content=trial
Jmp
Why scientists and engineers choose JMP
The world’s leading scientific and technology companies all use JMP – and for good reason.
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⚙️ Power Unit Performance: Power and Drag Decoupling
I didn't trust FIA's lack of transparency about ADUO... so we analysed the data from the WHOLE SEASON and wrote a paper detailing the process! 🤩
This is the most legendary F1 post you'll read this week!
🗒Key points:
- Mercedes: +7.3 hp vs RBPT;
- ADUO upgrades: Ferrari gained 9.6 hp (1/5 of its deficit), Audi 7.6 hp, Honda 11.4 hp;
- Honda lacked over 100 hp at the season start!
Read on for the full article, but only if you're a real data nerd! 👇
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LUksW-sR6XzNIjKsVcKkyAt6fihOUtFV/view
This work wouldn't have been possible without the brilliant mind of @FormulaGhostLap.
Follow @FDataAnalysiss and @FormulaGhostLap for the best F1 technical content!
I didn't trust FIA's lack of transparency about ADUO... so we analysed the data from the WHOLE SEASON and wrote a paper detailing the process! 🤩
This is the most legendary F1 post you'll read this week!
🗒Key points:
- Mercedes: +7.3 hp vs RBPT;
- ADUO upgrades: Ferrari gained 9.6 hp (1/5 of its deficit), Audi 7.6 hp, Honda 11.4 hp;
- Honda lacked over 100 hp at the season start!
Read on for the full article, but only if you're a real data nerd! 👇
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LUksW-sR6XzNIjKsVcKkyAt6fihOUtFV/view
This work wouldn't have been possible without the brilliant mind of @FormulaGhostLap.
Follow @FDataAnalysiss and @FormulaGhostLap for the best F1 technical content!
❤12👍4
Formula Data Analysis
⚙️ Power Unit Performance: Power and Drag Decoupling I didn't trust FIA's lack of transparency about ADUO... so we analysed the data from the WHOLE SEASON and wrote a paper detailing the process! 🤩 This is the most legendary F1 post you'll read this week!…
Notice that the power figures for all teams are a bit higher than FIA's prediction for 2026.
Anyway, this does not impact the results: what matters is each PU's power difference with respect to the others.
Anyway, this does not impact the results: what matters is each PU's power difference with respect to the others.
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Formula Data Analysis
Notice that the power figures for all teams are a bit higher than FIA's prediction for 2026. Anyway, this does not impact the results: what matters is each PU's power difference with respect to the others.
🛠 Ferrari Exhaust Wing Update
Ferrari has radically updated its exhaust wing!
It now covers a much smaller area, both laterally (red arrows) and at the centre (yellow arrow).
The wing generates rear downforce at the cost of more drag and less power.
This new version, being less extreme, should mitigate these characteristics.
Two reasons why it might be introduced at Monza:
1) Track characteristics (drag and power are paramount here).
2) The ADUO 2 engine introduced at this race.
Reason 1 is likely the main driver. If it’s still used at the next race too, that would confirm reason 2 as well!
Ferrari has radically updated its exhaust wing!
It now covers a much smaller area, both laterally (red arrows) and at the centre (yellow arrow).
The wing generates rear downforce at the cost of more drag and less power.
This new version, being less extreme, should mitigate these characteristics.
Two reasons why it might be introduced at Monza:
1) Track characteristics (drag and power are paramount here).
2) The ADUO 2 engine introduced at this race.
Reason 1 is likely the main driver. If it’s still used at the next race too, that would confirm reason 2 as well!
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📊 Italian GP - Practice 2 | RUS vs LEC Telemetry
Ferrari's new "ADUO 2" engine is powerful, but it still lacks breath compared to the Mercedes PU:
• Similar peak power (🟢Arrows: similar early-straight acceleration);
• Deployment lasts less, resulting in 🟡lower mid-straight speed.
Still, a big step forward! Ferrari's deployment strategy seems excellent (LEC's top speed is less variable straight after straight, minimising the parasitic drag force, as noted by @AeroTechVH), but they still need to make more deployment compromises compared to Mercedes.
Let's see in quali with full power!
Ferrari's new "ADUO 2" engine is powerful, but it still lacks breath compared to the Mercedes PU:
• Similar peak power (🟢Arrows: similar early-straight acceleration);
• Deployment lasts less, resulting in 🟡lower mid-straight speed.
Still, a big step forward! Ferrari's deployment strategy seems excellent (LEC's top speed is less variable straight after straight, minimising the parasitic drag force, as noted by @AeroTechVH), but they still need to make more deployment compromises compared to Mercedes.
Let's see in quali with full power!
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📊 Italian GP - Practice 3 | Top Speed
Considering each team's best FP3 lap, the cars running the updated Ferrari engine (BEA's Haas and HAM's Ferrari) had the highest top speed.
Qualifying will give a clearer picture, but this is the first time this has happened this season!
Despite the updates, expect Aston's PU deficit to still be too large to fight at Monza.
Considering each team's best FP3 lap, the cars running the updated Ferrari engine (BEA's Haas and HAM's Ferrari) had the highest top speed.
Qualifying will give a clearer picture, but this is the first time this has happened this season!
Despite the updates, expect Aston's PU deficit to still be too large to fight at Monza.
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📊 Italian GP - Qualifying | Quali Analysis
Aero Performance
24 km/h between Russell (343 km/h) and Alonso (319 km/h): not reaching 320 km/h AT MONZA, despite active aero, says a lot about Honda's still-lacking power.
Highest top speeds → best performance (GAS, RUS front row).
Ferrari and BEA, with the updated PU, posted strong top speeds in their best laps. No track will be as demanding as Monza.
McLaren favoured lower-speed deployment: PIA P3 despite having the second-lowest top speed!
Minisectors: 🟪 GAS vs 🟩 RUS vs 🟧 PIA
RUS was quickest for over half the lap, yet GAS beat him to pole despite only being quickest in T4-5 (Seconda Variante), before T8 (Ascari), and right before T11 (Parabolica).
He was rarely fastest, but never slow: consistency got him on pole!
Aero Performance
24 km/h between Russell (343 km/h) and Alonso (319 km/h): not reaching 320 km/h AT MONZA, despite active aero, says a lot about Honda's still-lacking power.
Highest top speeds → best performance (GAS, RUS front row).
Ferrari and BEA, with the updated PU, posted strong top speeds in their best laps. No track will be as demanding as Monza.
McLaren favoured lower-speed deployment: PIA P3 despite having the second-lowest top speed!
Minisectors: 🟪 GAS vs 🟩 RUS vs 🟧 PIA
RUS was quickest for over half the lap, yet GAS beat him to pole despite only being quickest in T4-5 (Seconda Variante), before T8 (Ascari), and right before T11 (Parabolica).
He was rarely fastest, but never slow: consistency got him on pole!
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📊 Italian GP - Race | Top Speed per Lap
These rules are a total paradox: for the first time in motorsport history, longer straights can mean lower top speeds ⚠️
Top speed in Monza was "just" 351 km/h, 6 km/h less than at the low-speed Hungaroring!
The longer the straights, the more "diluted" the ERS deployment must be, since a given amount of energy must cover a greater distance. 🪫
The result? Monza is no longer the temple of speed: Catalunya is, so far! (360 km/h).
These rules are a total paradox: for the first time in motorsport history, longer straights can mean lower top speeds ⚠️
Top speed in Monza was "just" 351 km/h, 6 km/h less than at the low-speed Hungaroring!
The longer the straights, the more "diluted" the ERS deployment must be, since a given amount of energy must cover a greater distance. 🪫
The result? Monza is no longer the temple of speed: Catalunya is, so far! (360 km/h).
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