Clipping will be almost non-existent in Monaco! Here's why π
1) ~20% of the lap spent braking + ~28% at partial throttle β plenty of harvesting.
2) Full throttle for just ~44% of the lap β low deployment.
3) ERS power will taper off linearly above 200 km/h (vs. the usual 290 km/h) due to special rules β even lower deployment.
On top of that, active aero WON'T be available, further limiting acceleration and top speed. Cars could have exceeded 300 km/h (vs. the usual 280β290 km/h); instead, these changes will slow them down, but make quali more exciting (no clipping) and overtaking easier:
- Overtake mode makes a difference above just 200 km/h;
- More drag β stronger slipstream.
Let's see how it plays out! π
1) ~20% of the lap spent braking + ~28% at partial throttle β plenty of harvesting.
2) Full throttle for just ~44% of the lap β low deployment.
3) ERS power will taper off linearly above 200 km/h (vs. the usual 290 km/h) due to special rules β even lower deployment.
On top of that, active aero WON'T be available, further limiting acceleration and top speed. Cars could have exceeded 300 km/h (vs. the usual 280β290 km/h); instead, these changes will slow them down, but make quali more exciting (no clipping) and overtaking easier:
- Overtake mode makes a difference above just 200 km/h;
- More drag β stronger slipstream.
Let's see how it plays out! π
β€18
Today I'm teaching you how to get your car's power curve WITHOUT using a dyno!
(Thanks to vehicle dynamics π)
1) Engage a given gear, then accelerate from low up to high rpm.
2) Acquire your car's speed (v) and rpm via an OBD sensor.
3) Compute the longitudinal acceleration ax as the derivative of speed (its rate of change).
4) Compute the tractive force F as mass Γ ax (drag can be neglected in lower gears).
5) Compute the engine Torque via the known tyre radius, gear ratio, and assuming a transmission efficiency (FWD/RWD: 0.85, 4WD: 0.75).
6) Power = Torque Γ rpm β plot both against rpm and you have your curves! β
Below are results from a diesel car I was testing: after the tune (red), peak torque rose by ~22 Nm above 2000 rpm, with a corresponding +15 hp peak power gain!
I really cannot help tinkering with this stuff...
Visualisations made via @JMP_software
(Thanks to vehicle dynamics π)
1) Engage a given gear, then accelerate from low up to high rpm.
2) Acquire your car's speed (v) and rpm via an OBD sensor.
3) Compute the longitudinal acceleration ax as the derivative of speed (its rate of change).
4) Compute the tractive force F as mass Γ ax (drag can be neglected in lower gears).
5) Compute the engine Torque via the known tyre radius, gear ratio, and assuming a transmission efficiency (FWD/RWD: 0.85, 4WD: 0.75).
6) Power = Torque Γ rpm β plot both against rpm and you have your curves! β
Below are results from a diesel car I was testing: after the tune (red), peak torque rose by ~22 Nm above 2000 rpm, with a corresponding +15 hp peak power gain!
I really cannot help tinkering with this stuff...
Visualisations made via @JMP_software
π₯9β€3π₯°2π1
If there's a track where Ferrari can win before upgrading their engine, that's Monaco! π‘
Ferrari-powered teams, Audi, and especially Aston's lower power will matter little here β should perform better than usual.
Traction determines laptime, rewarding those that can put the power down.
Trivia: it will be the regular F1 race with the lowest fuel consumption ever! (Most efficient PUs ever, 260 km vs other tracks' 305 km, low consumption per lap).
What's YOUR prediction? π
πΈ @pirellisport
Ferrari-powered teams, Audi, and especially Aston's lower power will matter little here β should perform better than usual.
Traction determines laptime, rewarding those that can put the power down.
Trivia: it will be the regular F1 race with the lowest fuel consumption ever! (Most efficient PUs ever, 260 km vs other tracks' 305 km, low consumption per lap).
What's YOUR prediction? π
πΈ @pirellisport
β€17
πMONACO GP - FP2 ANALYSIS
π₯Ferrari are the clear favourites: HAM was quickest, but LEC left ~0.25s on the table by not combining his best sectors!
Sector 1: LEC quickest, RUS/VER/ANT within 0.1s; HAM struggled more.
S2: HAM quickest, LEC +0.025s. Mercedes struggled (ANT had the LOWEST minimum speed at the hairpin, just 40km/h! -6km/h vs HAM).
S3: Ferrari dominated again.
Lap domination (top figure, each team's best lap): HAM was quicker than VER and RUS only around the tunnel, yet faster overall! VER and RUS traded blows throughout sectors 1-3, but both lost out to HAM when it mattered).
MY QUALI POWER RANKINGS:
π₯Ferrari > π¦RBR (VER) / π©Mercedes > π§McL
What's YOUR prediction? π
π₯Ferrari are the clear favourites: HAM was quickest, but LEC left ~0.25s on the table by not combining his best sectors!
Sector 1: LEC quickest, RUS/VER/ANT within 0.1s; HAM struggled more.
S2: HAM quickest, LEC +0.025s. Mercedes struggled (ANT had the LOWEST minimum speed at the hairpin, just 40km/h! -6km/h vs HAM).
S3: Ferrari dominated again.
Lap domination (top figure, each team's best lap): HAM was quicker than VER and RUS only around the tunnel, yet faster overall! VER and RUS traded blows throughout sectors 1-3, but both lost out to HAM when it mattered).
MY QUALI POWER RANKINGS:
π₯Ferrari > π¦RBR (VER) / π©Mercedes > π§McL
What's YOUR prediction? π
β€12π₯1
Formula Data Analysis
πMONACO GP - FP2 ANALYSIS π₯Ferrari are the clear favourites: HAM was quickest, but LEC left ~0.25s on the table by not combining his best sectors! Sector 1: LEC quickest, RUS/VER/ANT within 0.1s; HAM struggled more. S2: HAM quickest, LEC +0.025s. Mercedesβ¦
Audi reached 289 km/h out of the tunnel despite the ERS nerf and active aero being unavailable!
Cars would have exceeded 300km/h if not for those changes. π³
Cars would have exceeded 300km/h if not for those changes. π³
β€13π1
π MONACO GP - QUALIFYING | QUALIFYING ANALYSIS
π©ANT's 3 km/h top speed advantage may have been worth the 0.042s that gave him pole. He was quickest at the end of every full-throttle section!
π¦VER showed excellent traction (full throttle 36.9% of the lap) and high-speed cornering (173 km/h in T12)!
Red Bulll has made an incredible job turning around the performance of their chassis in just a few races: from undrivable and barely quicker than a Racing Bulls to a Monaco pole contender!
π₯Ferrari's advantages vanished in quali: they couldn't string together a clean lap and lost the front row. Still ahead of π§McL, though, who were well off the pace, worst or 2nd worst in every aspect!
Overtaking in Monaco is extremely hard: ANT might gain significant points over RUS, while Ferrari might have lost a critical opportunity.
π©ANT's 3 km/h top speed advantage may have been worth the 0.042s that gave him pole. He was quickest at the end of every full-throttle section!
π¦VER showed excellent traction (full throttle 36.9% of the lap) and high-speed cornering (173 km/h in T12)!
Red Bulll has made an incredible job turning around the performance of their chassis in just a few races: from undrivable and barely quicker than a Racing Bulls to a Monaco pole contender!
π₯Ferrari's advantages vanished in quali: they couldn't string together a clean lap and lost the front row. Still ahead of π§McL, though, who were well off the pace, worst or 2nd worst in every aspect!
Overtaking in Monaco is extremely hard: ANT might gain significant points over RUS, while Ferrari might have lost a critical opportunity.
β€8π₯3π2
ADUO FIGURES REVEALED π₯
Not only is the Mercedes ICE NOT the most powerful; they're over 2% behind RBPT (a 12-24 hp deficit), so they will benefit from ADUO!
Ferrari (and Audi) DID fall in the 4-6% deficit range β can catch up.
Honda is so far behind it landed in the newly added 6-8% range, unlocking more budget and development time.
No one expected that about Mercedes. Ferrari can finally develop their engine... but so can Mercedes! A huge blow to Ferrari's championship hopes.
Not only is the Mercedes ICE NOT the most powerful; they're over 2% behind RBPT (a 12-24 hp deficit), so they will benefit from ADUO!
Ferrari (and Audi) DID fall in the 4-6% deficit range β can catch up.
Honda is so far behind it landed in the newly added 6-8% range, unlocking more budget and development time.
No one expected that about Mercedes. Ferrari can finally develop their engine... but so can Mercedes! A huge blow to Ferrari's championship hopes.
β€8π3π₯3π€1
Formula Data Analysis
ADUO FIGURES REVEALED π₯ Not only is the Mercedes ICE NOT the most powerful; they're over 2% behind RBPT (a 12-24 hp deficit), so they will benefit from ADUO! Ferrari (and Audi) DID fall in the 4-6% deficit range β can catch up. Honda is so far behind itβ¦
Each manufacturer's ICE power estimation I made on the 13th of April, using all the qualifying and race sessions available at the time:
https://t.me/FDataAn/2636
https://t.me/FDataAn/2636
Telegram
Formula Data Analysis
I've estimated the ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) power for each manufacturer: big trouble for Red Bull, while Ferrari can be optimistic! π
Mercedes: ~576 hp (best)!
Teams with β€564 hp (>2% deficit) earn one extra upgrade token per year. RBPT sits atβ¦
Mercedes: ~576 hp (best)!
Teams with β€564 hp (>2% deficit) earn one extra upgrade token per year. RBPT sits atβ¦
π3
Formula Data Analysis
Each manufacturer's ICE power estimation I made on the 13th of April, using all the qualifying and race sessions available at the time: https://t.me/FDataAn/2636
Article on the topic:
https://www.the-race.com/formula-1/f1-engine-upgrades-first-2026-fia-decision-revealed/
https://www.the-race.com/formula-1/f1-engine-upgrades-first-2026-fia-decision-revealed/
The Race
ADUO F1 engine upgrades decision revealed
The Race understands Red Bull's engine has been declared F1's best under the new development system - meaning Mercedes and Ferrari will get upgrade opportunities
π3
Formula Data Analysis
ADUO FIGURES REVEALED π₯ Not only is the Mercedes ICE NOT the most powerful; they're over 2% behind RBPT (a 12-24 hp deficit), so they will benefit from ADUO! Ferrari (and Audi) DID fall in the 4-6% deficit range β can catch up. Honda is so far behind itβ¦
I often read 'The ADUO only considers the ICE power, not the ERS; Mercedes has the best ERS; that's why they got the 2-% ADUO' - but that's wrong!
Read on to understand why π‘
The πERS does NOT produce energy: it simply deploys what it previously harvested. ALL energy originates from the β½οΈ ICE.
Harvesting happens:
- At partial throttle, when the ICE produces MORE energy than can be put down (the ERS harvests the surplus).
- When coasting or braking, using the car's kinetic energy.
Having a more powerful ICE:
- Extends the partial throttle phase β more harvesting β
- Raises top speed β more kinetic energy β more harvesting β
Read on to understand why π‘
The πERS does NOT produce energy: it simply deploys what it previously harvested. ALL energy originates from the β½οΈ ICE.
Harvesting happens:
- At partial throttle, when the ICE produces MORE energy than can be put down (the ERS harvests the surplus).
- When coasting or braking, using the car's kinetic energy.
Having a more powerful ICE:
- Extends the partial throttle phase β more harvesting β
- Raises top speed β more kinetic energy β more harvesting β
π11β€4
Formula Data Analysis
I often read 'The ADUO only considers the ICE power, not the ERS; Mercedes has the best ERS; that's why they got the 2-% ADUO' - but that's wrong! Read on to understand why π‘ The πERS does NOT produce energy: it simply deploys what it previously harvested.β¦
Maximum power (tractive and harvesting) is fixed by the rules, and electric motor efficiency is already extremely high (90-95%), so even halving the losses yields only marginal gains.
Conclusion: the most powerful ICE means the strongest ERS too, unless a team gets its harvesting/deployment strategy completely wrong!
[ADUO is evaluated using an "ICE Performance Index", calculated from the ICE's average power and the lap time's sensitivity to power. The exact formula is kept confidential to prevent manufacturers from gaming the system].
Conclusion: the most powerful ICE means the strongest ERS too, unless a team gets its harvesting/deployment strategy completely wrong!
[ADUO is evaluated using an "ICE Performance Index", calculated from the ICE's average power and the lap time's sensitivity to power. The exact formula is kept confidential to prevent manufacturers from gaming the system].
π12β€4
Monaco delivered the first 2026 quali laps with NO CLIPPING! π‘
Antonelli's Pole Laps
β¬οΈ Miami:
π’ Acceleration decreases linearly with speed;
π ERS transitions from deploy to harvest β Acceleration drops to 0;
π΄ Car stays full-throttle yet loses speed (negative acceleration, clipping).
π¦ Monaco:
Acceleration never turns negative; ANT keeps gaining speed until the braking point.
Two reasons for this:
- Monaco's layout: plenty of harvesting opportunities and short full-throttle stretches.
- A rule change: ERS power had to taper off above 200 km/h.
Active aero (for drag reduction) was also disabled.
As a result, acceleration was lower overall and dropped off more quickly with speed: the combined effect of reduced ERS power and higher drag!
Yet another proof that reducing ERS's power share would benefit the sport!
Made via @JMP_software
Antonelli's Pole Laps
β¬οΈ Miami:
π’ Acceleration decreases linearly with speed;
π ERS transitions from deploy to harvest β Acceleration drops to 0;
π΄ Car stays full-throttle yet loses speed (negative acceleration, clipping).
π¦ Monaco:
Acceleration never turns negative; ANT keeps gaining speed until the braking point.
Two reasons for this:
- Monaco's layout: plenty of harvesting opportunities and short full-throttle stretches.
- A rule change: ERS power had to taper off above 200 km/h.
Active aero (for drag reduction) was also disabled.
As a result, acceleration was lower overall and dropped off more quickly with speed: the combined effect of reduced ERS power and higher drag!
Yet another proof that reducing ERS's power share would benefit the sport!
Made via @JMP_software
β€7π₯1
New F1 PU regulations: ~1100hp in 2028! π€©
- Increased ICE power (+20 kW in '27, +50 kW in '28) via higher fuel flow.
- Decreased ERS power (-50 kW), but NOT in overtake mode (which gets STRONGER, increasing power vs Std.).
- Increased harvesting power: same energy harvested in less time.
Consequences:
- LESS total power (-30 kW) in '27, back to baseline in '28.
- MORE total power in overtake mode: 800 kW in '28 (~1090 hp), exceeding 1100 hp through PU development!
- ICE power share rises to 60% (up from 53% today) β less clipping (the +400 kW harvesting power will help too).
Net result: higher performance and top speeds, less clipping.
Not a massive shift, but one that satisfied manufacturers!
- Increased ICE power (+20 kW in '27, +50 kW in '28) via higher fuel flow.
- Decreased ERS power (-50 kW), but NOT in overtake mode (which gets STRONGER, increasing power vs Std.).
- Increased harvesting power: same energy harvested in less time.
Consequences:
- LESS total power (-30 kW) in '27, back to baseline in '28.
- MORE total power in overtake mode: 800 kW in '28 (~1090 hp), exceeding 1100 hp through PU development!
- ICE power share rises to 60% (up from 53% today) β less clipping (the +400 kW harvesting power will help too).
Net result: higher performance and top speeds, less clipping.
Not a massive shift, but one that satisfied manufacturers!
β€12
π BARCELONA-CATALUNYA GP - PRACTICE 2 | TOP SPEED, TURN 14 MINIMUM SPEED & CLIPPING
McLaren looked great in FP2! Best top speed AND high-speed cornering; RBR worst in both. Either McL is running more downforce and a more powerful PU mode, or their aero efficiency is excellent.
Opposite for RBR: running less downforce and way less power?
Top Speeds:
1) π§ McL/NOR: 338
2) β¬οΈ Merc/RUS: 337
3) π₯ Ferrari/LEC: 335
4) π¦ RBR/VER: 328
Turn 14 Min Speed:
1) π§ McL/NOR: 252
2) π₯ Ferrari/LEC: 249
3) β¬οΈ Merc/RUS: 248
4) π¦ RBR/VER: 244
Clipping:
1) π¦ RBR/VER: -22
2) π§ McL/NOR: -28
3) β¬οΈ Merc/RUS: -29
4) π₯ Ferrari/LEC: -34
McLaren looked great in FP2! Best top speed AND high-speed cornering; RBR worst in both. Either McL is running more downforce and a more powerful PU mode, or their aero efficiency is excellent.
Opposite for RBR: running less downforce and way less power?
Top Speeds:
1) π§ McL/NOR: 338
2) β¬οΈ Merc/RUS: 337
3) π₯ Ferrari/LEC: 335
4) π¦ RBR/VER: 328
Turn 14 Min Speed:
1) π§ McL/NOR: 252
2) π₯ Ferrari/LEC: 249
3) β¬οΈ Merc/RUS: 248
4) π¦ RBR/VER: 244
Clipping:
1) π¦ RBR/VER: -22
2) π§ McL/NOR: -28
3) β¬οΈ Merc/RUS: -29
4) π₯ Ferrari/LEC: -34
β€15π2
π BARCELONA-CATALUNYA GP - RACE | RACE PACE
PIT-EQUATED (1 extra pit = 22s lost)
The VSC timing may have gifted HAM the lead, but it was HIS PACE that put him there!. π
1) π₯ Ferrari / HAM
2) π© Mercedes / ANT (first time they're not P1)
3) π§ McL / NOR (~ same pace as ANT!)
4) π¦ RBR / VER
On his extra stint, HAM was six-tenths faster than ANT on average, and still 0.27s/lap quicker even after accounting for the additional stop!
PIT-EQUATED (1 extra pit = 22s lost)
The VSC timing may have gifted HAM the lead, but it was HIS PACE that put him there!. π
1) π₯ Ferrari / HAM
2) π© Mercedes / ANT (first time they're not P1)
3) π§ McL / NOR (~ same pace as ANT!)
4) π¦ RBR / VER
On his extra stint, HAM was six-tenths faster than ANT on average, and still 0.27s/lap quicker even after accounting for the additional stop!
π₯14β€8
π KEY F1 QUALI STATS (Averages - 2025 vs 2026)
- 2025: McL >> RBR > Mercedes > Ferrari >> Williams;
- 2026: Mercedes >> Ferrari > McL > RBR >> Alpine.
- Mercedes got ALL poles (so far) in 2026; McL's 'just' 13 out of 24 in 2025.
- New regulations β Much larger field spread.
Average gap to pole more than DOUBLED: from 0.86% of laptime (~0.7s) to 1.79% (~1.5s).
- 2025: McL >> RBR > Mercedes > Ferrari >> Williams;
- 2026: Mercedes >> Ferrari > McL > RBR >> Alpine.
- Mercedes got ALL poles (so far) in 2026; McL's 'just' 13 out of 24 in 2025.
- New regulations β Much larger field spread.
Average gap to pole more than DOUBLED: from 0.86% of laptime (~0.7s) to 1.79% (~1.5s).
β€15π₯3
π Barcelona-Catalunya GP - Qualifying | Aero Performance & Quali Gaps 2025 vs 2026
AERO PERFORMANCE:
The upgraded Ferrari was not only very quick (1-3 was possible, their first real shot), but also no other car was faster (342km/h) on their best lap - something they had never come close to before! π‘
The car now has very little drag, with only a power deficit standing between them and a win. β
QUALI GAPS 2025 vs 2026:
Ferrari's updates (worth an estimated 0.2s @GiulyDuchessa) worked: they were the team that lost the least time to '25, and had a shot at a 1-3 finish! HAM did a great job once again, while LEC must get out of his own head.
Compared to last year, Merc lost 0.13s to Ferrari, RBR 0.48s, McL 0.85s!
Aston was over 6.4s slower than last year, basically F1.5 π(ALO is rumoured to be in talks with Alpine).
AERO PERFORMANCE:
The upgraded Ferrari was not only very quick (1-3 was possible, their first real shot), but also no other car was faster (342km/h) on their best lap - something they had never come close to before! π‘
The car now has very little drag, with only a power deficit standing between them and a win. β
QUALI GAPS 2025 vs 2026:
Ferrari's updates (worth an estimated 0.2s @GiulyDuchessa) worked: they were the team that lost the least time to '25, and had a shot at a 1-3 finish! HAM did a great job once again, while LEC must get out of his own head.
Compared to last year, Merc lost 0.13s to Ferrari, RBR 0.48s, McL 0.85s!
Aston was over 6.4s slower than last year, basically F1.5 π(ALO is rumoured to be in talks with Alpine).
π₯11β€7