Formula Data Analysis
RACE SIMULATION - DAY 3 🔵RUS had a virtual 16.5s gap to 🟠PIA at the end of the 50 laps. He had much higher degradation (and worse pace) on Softs.❌ Yet, he almost matched PIA in the last 2 stints.✅ Mercedes gap to McL: 2024 Race: 0.020s/lap DAY 2: +0.571…
2024 Race Pace and DAY 2 Race Simulations, for reference:
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Formula Data Analysis
2024 Race Pace and DAY 2 Race Simulations, for reference:
This can be read both ways:
- RUS's degradation on the soft was severe, which is never a product of sandbagging (bad for Mercedes).
- However, if they can solve that, he would become very close to PIA over a race distance (good for Mercedes).
Looking at the telemetry of several laps, the engine modes used (for both ICE and ERS deployment) were very similar for the two teams in all 3 stints, so that's not a factor.
Fuel loads could be different but not to a huge extent based on the performance on the straights and high-speed corners.
- RUS's degradation on the soft was severe, which is never a product of sandbagging (bad for Mercedes).
- However, if they can solve that, he would become very close to PIA over a race distance (good for Mercedes).
Looking at the telemetry of several laps, the engine modes used (for both ICE and ERS deployment) were very similar for the two teams in all 3 stints, so that's not a factor.
Fuel loads could be different but not to a huge extent based on the performance on the straights and high-speed corners.
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A warm welcome to all the new folks! Excited for the 2025 season? 😁🏎🏁
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Pres-season Testing 2025 BEST SECTORS 📊
DAY 3:
Williams/ALB quickest in S1
Mercedes/RUS quickest in S2 and S3
DAY 2:
Williams/SAI quickest in S1 and S3
McLaren/NOR quickest in S2
On all 3 days, Ferrari was never the quickest in any sector (but performed well on all of them on Day 2).
DAY 3:
Williams/ALB quickest in S1
Mercedes/RUS quickest in S2 and S3
DAY 2:
Williams/SAI quickest in S1 and S3
McLaren/NOR quickest in S2
On all 3 days, Ferrari was never the quickest in any sector (but performed well on all of them on Day 2).
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You asked me for an F1 pecking order prediction, so I:
- Wrote an in-depth article on my BuyMeACoffee, answering that. 👀
- Made it free for everyone to celebrate the start of the new season! 🤩
Read it here! (Includes a link to the 83 analyses I made)👇
https://buymeacoffee.com/f1dataanalysis/pre-season-test-analysis-a-first-look-2025-grid
- Wrote an in-depth article on my BuyMeACoffee, answering that. 👀
- Made it free for everyone to celebrate the start of the new season! 🤩
Read it here! (Includes a link to the 83 analyses I made)👇
https://buymeacoffee.com/f1dataanalysis/pre-season-test-analysis-a-first-look-2025-grid
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Formula Data Analysis
You asked me for an F1 pecking order prediction, so I: - Wrote an in-depth article on my BuyMeACoffee, answering that. 👀 - Made it free for everyone to celebrate the start of the new season! 🤩 Read it here! (Includes a link to the 83 analyses I made)👇 …
Let me know if you enjoyed it! Any suggestion to improve it is welcomed! 💡
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I've analysed the top speed in ALL the THOUSANDS of laps done in testing...
Here are the results!💡
- Highest: 329 km/h by 🟠PIA (D3, DRS + Tow)
-Highest on average: 316km/h by 🔵ALB (D3, DRS)
Williams scored the highest top speed on average on EACH day: ALB D1, SAI D2, ALB D3. Higher engine mode, less drag, or both? 🤔
Top speeds were higher on the last day, and overall similar between day 1 and 2.
Haas’ focus on long runs is evident by their low top speeds in the first two days (DRS not used).
Here are the results!💡
- Highest: 329 km/h by 🟠PIA (D3, DRS + Tow)
-Highest on average: 316km/h by 🔵ALB (D3, DRS)
Williams scored the highest top speed on average on EACH day: ALB D1, SAI D2, ALB D3. Higher engine mode, less drag, or both? 🤔
Top speeds were higher on the last day, and overall similar between day 1 and 2.
Haas’ focus on long runs is evident by their low top speeds in the first two days (DRS not used).
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PREVIEW - Australian GP
Performance here is different than on other tracks! 🎰
No long straights, few fast corners and strong braking points ➡️Medium downforce level.
Lateral grip more important than longitudinal.💡
Softest compounds (C3 to C5).
Critical tyre: rear left 🛞🔥
What's YOUR prediction? 🤔
📸 @pirellisport
Performance here is different than on other tracks! 🎰
No long straights, few fast corners and strong braking points ➡️Medium downforce level.
Lateral grip more important than longitudinal.💡
Softest compounds (C3 to C5).
Critical tyre: rear left 🛞🔥
What's YOUR prediction? 🤔
📸 @pirellisport
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I had a chat with Aly from @BoxBox_Club! 🤩
Topics:
- 7:09 What's wrong with Aston Martin?
- 17:10 Reduced wind tunnel time: impact on Red Bull?
- 26:14 Why the grid should be LESS competitive in 2026.
- 33:15 "Regulations get less restrictive"➡️What happens?
- 43:25 LEC vs HAM.
Enjoy!
https://x.com/FDataAnalysis/status/1899814117088567635
Topics:
- 7:09 What's wrong with Aston Martin?
- 17:10 Reduced wind tunnel time: impact on Red Bull?
- 26:14 Why the grid should be LESS competitive in 2026.
- 33:15 "Regulations get less restrictive"➡️What happens?
- 43:25 LEC vs HAM.
Enjoy!
https://x.com/FDataAnalysis/status/1899814117088567635
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Australian GP - Wing Thursday!
🔴 Ferrari going all-in on the 4 DRS zones: their upper plane is the most loaded among the top teams!➡️Should aid with quali perfo and tire wear but might make them easy to attack in the race.💡
🟠 McL's is much less loaded.
⚫️ Merc is in between the 2.
🔵 RBR: shallower, but full-width, lower plane.
Fascinating choices! 🔥
📸 @AlbertFabrega
🔴 Ferrari going all-in on the 4 DRS zones: their upper plane is the most loaded among the top teams!➡️Should aid with quali perfo and tire wear but might make them easy to attack in the race.💡
🟠 McL's is much less loaded.
⚫️ Merc is in between the 2.
🔵 RBR: shallower, but full-width, lower plane.
Fascinating choices! 🔥
📸 @AlbertFabrega
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AUSTRALIAN GP - FP2 DATA 📊
1) SECTORS:
🔴 LEC was quick everywhere, already demolishing 🔵 VER's 2023 pole (0.293s quicker).
TSU, DOO, PIA got the fastest sectors, however!
2) TOP SPEEDS:
Minimal drag for 🟣Alpine (and 🔵RBR).
Mercedes and Williams ran draggy wings and didn't turn up the PU to compensate.
3) 🔴LEC vs 🟠PIA:
Were head-to-head until the last corner, where LEC gained 1 tenth through a 6km/h-higher minimum speed!
Everyone expects McL to be quick, but Ferrari should be a threat, too. 💡
We're in for a fascinating Australian GP!
1) SECTORS:
🔴 LEC was quick everywhere, already demolishing 🔵 VER's 2023 pole (0.293s quicker).
TSU, DOO, PIA got the fastest sectors, however!
2) TOP SPEEDS:
Minimal drag for 🟣Alpine (and 🔵RBR).
Mercedes and Williams ran draggy wings and didn't turn up the PU to compensate.
3) 🔴LEC vs 🟠PIA:
Were head-to-head until the last corner, where LEC gained 1 tenth through a 6km/h-higher minimum speed!
Everyone expects McL to be quick, but Ferrari should be a threat, too. 💡
We're in for a fascinating Australian GP!
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