Türkiye: Islamist YRP (*) reached a new record high in the latest TÜSİAR poll: 8.2%.

This is the first time ever in a national poll that the party is above the electoral threshold (7%) to enter parliament individually.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Hungary, Nézőpont poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 47%
TISZA-EPP: 29% (+5)
MH-ESN: 9% (+2)
DK/MSZP/P-S&D|G/EFA: 8% (-1)
MKKP~G/EFA: 5% (-2)

+/- vs. 20-22 May 2024

Fieldwork: 15-17 July 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Slovakia, AKO poll:

Smer-NI: 24%
PS-RE: 22% (-1)
Hlas-NI: 16%
KDH-EPP: 7% (+1)
SaS-ECR: 6%
Republika-NI: 6%
SNS-ID: 5%
D-EPP: 4%
MA-EPP: 4% (+1)
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 4% (-1)
SR-ID: 2%

+/- vs. 11-18 June 2024

Fieldwork: 9-15 July 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 30%
SDE-S&D: 17% (+1)
RE-RE: 16% (-3)
KE-RE: 14% (+1)
EKRE-PfE: 13% (+2)
PP→EPP: 5% (+1)
E200→EPP: 3% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 8-12 July 2024

Fieldwork: 15-22 July 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Poland, Research Partner poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 33% (+1)
ZP-ECR: 31% (-3)
Kon-ESN|NI: 13% (+3)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 9% (-3)
Lewica-S&D: 9% (-1)
BS-*: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 10-13 May 2024

Fieldwork: 19-22 July 2024
Sample size: 1,040

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Spain, Target Point poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 31% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 11% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+1)
SALF-ECR: 4%

+/- vs. 25-27 June 2024

Fieldwork: 22 July 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Czechia, NMS poll

ANO-PfE: 28% (+1)
ODS-ECR: 11% (n.a.)
STAN-EPP: 10% (n.a.)
Piráti-G/EFA: 9% (n.a.)
Přísaha-PfE: 7% (+2)
SPD-ESN: 7% (-3)
KSČM-NI: 6% (+2)
TOP09-EPP: 5% (n.a.)
SocDem-S&D: 3% (-2)
KDU/ČSL-EPP: 3% (n.a.)
Svobodní-NI: 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 2021 election

Fieldwork: 4-12 July 2024
Sample size: 1,307

➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Moldova, IMAS poll:

PAS-EPP: 41% (-2)
BCS-LEFT: 25% (-3)
BV-*: 14% (n.a.)
PN-*: 7% (+3)
PDCM-*: 4% (+1)
MAN~S&D: 2%
PDA-*: 2%
BÎ-EPP|RE: 2% (+1)
PSDE-S&D: 1%
PLDM-EPP: 1%
MRM-*: 1%
PNM-*: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 2-19 May 2024

Fieldwork: 8-21 July 2024
Sample size: 1,093

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Moldova, IMAS poll:

Presidential election

Sandu (*-EPP): 42% (+7)
Stoianoglo (*): 14% (+11)
Usatîi (PN-*): 13% (+7)
Vlah (*): 11% (+6)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 7%
Năstase (*): 2% (+1)
Tarlev (*): 2% (new)
Filat (EPP): 1%
Morari (*): 1% (new)
Țicu (BÎ-EPP|RE): 1% (new)
Priseajniuc (PSDE-S&D): 0% (new)
Ulianovschi (*): 0%

+/- vs. 2-19 May 2024

Fieldwork: 8-21 July 2024
Sample size: 1,093

➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Poland, IBRiS poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 34% (-3)
PiS-ECR: 31% (-4)
Kon-ESN|NI: 13% (+3)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 11% (+1)
Lewica-S&D: 9% (+1)

+/- vs. 18-19 June 2024

Fieldwork: 24-25 July 2024
Sample size: 1,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Italy, Termometro Politico poll:

FdI-ECR: 30% (+1)
PD-S&D: 24%
M5S-LEFT: 10%
FI/NM-EPP: 9% (-1)
LEGA-PfE: 8% (-1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
PTD-LEFT: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
DSP~NI: 1%
L-*: 1%
AP-EPP: 0%

+/- vs. 17-18 July 2024

Fieldwork: 23-25 July 2024
Sample size: 3,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 10% (+1)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-0.5)

+/- vs. 19-22 July 2024

Fieldwork: 22-26 July 2024
Sample size: 1,203

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Allensbach poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 17% (+2)
SPD-S&D: 16.5% (+0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11.5% (-1.5)
BSW-NI: 8% (+1)
FDP-RE: 6%

+/- vs. 1-13 June 2024

Fieldwork: 5-19 July 2024
Sample size: 1,003

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Spain, Simple Lógica poll:

PP-EPP: 34%
PSOE-S&D: 32% (+2)
VOX-PfE: 11% (-1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 9%
SALF-NI: 3% (new)
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 1-11 June 2024

Fieldwork: 1-10 July 2024
Sample size: 1,026

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Austria, Spectra poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 27% (+11)
SPÖ-S&D: 22% (+1)
ÖVP-EPP: 22% (-15)
NEOS-RE: 9% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 9% (-5)
BIER-*: 6% (new)
KPÖ-LEFT:4% (+3)

+/- vs.. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 12-21 July 2024
Sample size: 1000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/

📻 The July episode of our podcast is now live!

In this episode, our co-hosts Gabriel Hedengren and Javid Ibad discuss the dissolution of the ID group in the European Parliament and the wider ramifications of this split.

➤ https://pnc.st/s/europe-elects-podcast/3216a84b/what-s-happening-with-the-european-far-right

#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 35% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 30%
VOX-PfE: 9% (-2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 4% (+1)
SALF-NI: 3%
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 21-28 June 2024

Fieldwork: 12-18 July 2024
Sample size: 2,515

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Georgia, Edison Research poll:

GD~S&D|ECR: 32% (-7)
Unity-EPP|RE: 17% (-5)
SG-RE: 13% (+3)
ForGeo~EPP: 11% (+2)
CfC-RE: 10% (+5)
Girchi~NI: 5% (+2)
LP-*: 3% (-2)
AP~ECR: 3% (-2)
C~NI: 2%
EG-EPP: 2% (+1)
FJ-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-22 December 2023

Fieldwork: 11-24 July 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Georgia, Edison Research poll:

Scenario: opposition runs on a single list

United Opposition-EPP|RE: 61% (+18)
GD/PP~S&D|ECR: 39% (-9)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Fieldwork: 11-24 July 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/georgia

#Poland, United Surveys poll:

KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 35% (-1)
PiS-ECR: 30% (-2)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 12% (+2)
Lewica-S&D: 11% (+2)
Kon-ESN|NI: 10% (-3)

+/- vs. 5-8 July 2024

Fieldwork: 26-28 July 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland