NEW: Norwegians are heading to polls on Monday to elect a new national parliament.

After eight years of right-of-centre coalition, the winds of change are blowing. Yet the centre-left Ap (S&D) is on its way to a worst election result since 1920s.

Read: https://europeelects.eu/2021/09/12/norwegian-parliame..

#Norway, Opinion poll:

Ap-S&D: 27% (+4)
H-EPP: 19% (-2)
Sp-RE: 15% (-4)
FrP-ECR: 12% (+3)
SV-LEFT: 7% (-2)
MDG-G/EFA: 5% (+1)
R~LEFT: 5% (+1)
V-RE: 5% (+1)
KrF-EPP: 3% (-2)

+/- vs. 2-8 August 2021

Fieldwork: 1-9 September 2021
Sample size: N/A

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway, Kantar poll:

Ap-S&D: 25% (+1)
H-EPP: 19%
Sp~RE: 13%
FrP~ECR: 11%
SV-LEFT: 9%
R~LEFT: 6% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 5%
V-RE: 4% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)

+/- vs. 7-9 September 2021

Fieldwork: 8-10 September 2021
Sample size: 2,388

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway (Oslo), Kantar poll:

Ap-S&D: 22% (-6)
H-EPP: 21% (-5)
SV-LEFT: 17% (+8)
V-RE: 11% (+3)
R~LEFT: 10% (+4)
MDG-G/EFA: 9% (+3)
FrP~ECR: 5% (-5)
Sp~RE: 2%
KrF-EPP: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 2017 election

Fieldwork: 8-10 September 2021
Sample size: 786

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Poland, Social Changes poll:

ZP-ECR: 37% (+2)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 26% (+1)
PL2050-*: 16% (-1)
Lewica-S&D: 8% (-1)
Kon~NI: 7% (-1)
PSL-EPP: 3%
K'15~NI: 1% (-1)
P→EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 27-30 August 2021

Fieldwork: 3-6 September 2021
Sample size: 1,051

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland, Social Changes poll:

Scenario: K'15 (~NI) running on ZP (ECR) list

ZP/K'15-ECR: 37%
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 27% (+1)
PL2050-*: 16%
Lewica-S&D: 8%
Kon~NI: 7%
PSL-EPP: 3%
P→EPP: 1%

+/- vs. headline poll

Fieldwork: 3-6 Sept 2021
Sample size: 1,051

➤ http://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland, Estymator poll:

PiS-ECR: 40% (+2)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 24% (+9)
PL2050-*: 11% (-11)
Lewica-S&D: 9% (-2)
Kon~NI: 9% (+2)
PSL-EPP: 4% (-1)
K'15~NI: 2%
P→EPP: 1% (new)
…

+/- vs. 20-21 May 2021

Fieldwork: 10-11 September 2021
Sample size: 1,016

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland, Kantar poll:

ZP-ECR: 35% (+2)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 28%
PL2050-*: 16% (-1)
Kon~NI: 9% (+1)
Lewica-S&D: 6% (-2)
PSL-EPP: 4% (+1)
K'15~NI: 1%
P→EPP: 0% (new)

+/- vs. 9-11 July 2021

Fieldwork: 9-11 September 2021
Sample size: 614

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Norway: in today’s election, parties have to reach a 4%-threshold in order to receive compensatory seats. These ensure a party’s seat share is proportional.

If a party were to be below it, it is dependent on winning seats in a regional district - a hard task for smaller parties.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway: polls have opened as voters elect their next national parliament.

Follow along with our live blog for all the updates and developments as the election progresses.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/2021/09/12/live-blog-2021-norwegian-national-parliament-election/

#Russia (Khakassia Region), NMCPSM poll:

YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 33% (-5)
KPRF~LEFT: 32% (+11)
LDPR~NI: 7 (-13)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 9% (+2)
...
+/- vs. 18 Sept. 2016 election

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Russia (North Ossetia-Alania Region), NMCPSM poll:

YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 55% (-12)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 25% (+19)
KPRF~LEFT: 7% (-15)
...
+/- vs. 18 Sept. 2016 election

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Russia (#Chechnya Region), NMCPSM Poll:

YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 81% (-2)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 9 (new)
KPRF~LEFT: 6% (+1)
LDPR~NI: 1% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 26 - 30 July 2021

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Czechia, Data Collect poll:

ANO-RE: 25% (+4)
SPOLU-ECR|EPP: 22% (+2)
PaS-G/EFA|EPP: 21% (-5)
SPD-ID: 9% (-2)
KSČM-LEFT: 6%
Přísaha-*: 5%
ČSSD-S&D: 4% (-1)
TSS~ID|NI: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 31 May-11 June

Fieldwork: 30 August-8 September 2021
Sample: 1,200

➤ http://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Iceland, MMR poll:

D-ECR: 22% (-2)
B~RE: 15% (+2)
C-RE: 12% (+2)
S-S&D: 12% (+1)
V~LEFT: 11%
P-Greens/EFA: 10% (-1)
J-*: 7% (-2)
M-EPP: 6%
F-*: 5%

+/- vs. August 2021

Fieldwork: 8-10 September 2021
Sample size: 951

➤ http://europeelects.eu/iceland

#Russia (Zabaikal Region), NMCPSM poll:

KPRF~LEFT: 23% (+7)
YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 23% (-17)
LDPR~NI: 21 (-4)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 15% (+10)
...
+/- vs. 18 Sept. 2016 election

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Russia (Buryatia Region), NMCPSM poll:

KPRF~LEFT: 31% (+10)
YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 22% (-21)
LDPR~NI: 15% (+1)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 14% (+7)
...
+/- vs. 18 Sept. 2016 election

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Germany, national parliamentary election:

As per current polling, SPD (S&D) and CDU/CSU (EPP) have a 56% chance to reach a majority.

Click below to find figures for other government coalition options (in cooperation with EURACTIV_DE): https://twitter.com/EURACTIV_DE/status/1437408238744612865

#Russia (Kemerovo Region), NMCPSM poll:

YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 24% (-53)
KPRF~LEFT: 18% (+11)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 13% (+8)
LDPR~NI: 7%
...
+/- vs. 18 Sept. 2016 election

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Russia (Tuva Region), NMCPSM poll:

YeR~EPP|ECR|ID: 81% (-2)
SRPZP~S&D|LEFT: 8% (+3)
KPRF~LEFT: 4%
LDPR~NI: 4% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 18 Sept. 2016 election

Fieldwork: 30 August - 05 September 2021
Sample size: ~1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/russia

#Slovenia, Parsifal poll:

Scenario: Nada Pavšer's Povežimo Slovenijo (PoS-EPP) running

SDS-EPP: 23% (-7)
SD-S&D: 16% (+1)
L-LEFT: 13% (+5)
LMŠ-RE: 12% (-4)
PoS-EPP: 7% (+4)
…

+/- vs. 24-26 May 2021

Fieldwork: 30 Aug - 2 Sept 2021
Sample size: 719

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovenia