• NYT election model's first estimate shows Trump winning 275 to 263 - [Zoomer]

• Trump wins in South Carolina; Edison estimates support - [DB]

• Trump wins Arkansas; Edison estimates show support - [DB]

• Kamala Harris wins Delaware primary - [Zoomer]

• Kamala Harris wins in Illinois - [DB]

• Kamala wins Virginia election - [DB]

• Kamala Harris wins New Hampshire; race considered a tossup - [DB]

• Trump wins Ohio - [Zoomer]

• Trump wins North Dakota in Edison election estimate - [DB]

• Trump wins South Dakota; estimated by Edison - [DB]

• Trump wins in Kansas - [Zoomer]

• Trump wins Louisiana, according to Fox estimate - [DB]

• Kamala Harris wins Colorado primary - [Zoomer]

• Trump wins Nebraska primary - [Zoomer]

• Trump has 52% of votes in North Carolina with 40% counted - [Zoomer]

• US 5- to 30-year Treasury yields rise by at least 10 basis points in one day - [DB]

• Dollar reaches highest level since July as polls close in key states - [DB]

• NYT Election Needle Model now gives Trump a 2/3 chance of winning - [Zoomer]

• Kamala Harris wins election in Rhode Island - [DB]

• Trump wins North Carolina, now considered a toss-up - [DB]

• Mexican peso falls 2.5% against dollar, weakest since August 2022 - [DB]