Forwarded from Peter Bernegger
The strange world of Federal Elections Commission (FEC) data: the data downloaded from their website versus an API tied into their database can show two different results for the same query; while their website is shown on your monitor, their data can change while you’re watching it (we have screenshots); a contribution which already occurred can be dated in the future; they double count some things; they incorrectly count some things; they count transactions fees as a separate contribution; they have a State named “ZZ”.
When was the last time the FEC audited its own database? And, audited any reports coming to them from PAC’s, committees, or campaigns?
~ Peter Bernegger
When was the last time the FEC audited its own database? And, audited any reports coming to them from PAC’s, committees, or campaigns?
~ Peter Bernegger
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One more update about the Smurfs, then we will move on.
We contacted the FEC to get some answers. Here is the response:
Thank you for your recent email to the FEC’s Public Records Office.
What are you seeing is the ActBlue donations being “doubled counted”. When a committee receives a contribution from ActBlue, they have to show it from ActBlue and from the individual, but it’s only counted once in the overall totals.
I have included some links showing this; https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202212239574220981, https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202212089547783194, and https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202202269493724977.
To get the true amount of donations made, pay attention to Columns B and BU. If it says ActBlue in Column A and Earmarked for (insert committee name) in Column BU, then the contribution will be reported again by the recipient of the Earmark. You will need to download the transactions in order to do the above.
As for the volume of contributions, please note, we present the data as filed by the committees. Also, some committees (ActBlue included) allow you set up recurring contributions.
Appendix A of the Campaign Guide for Congressional Candidates and Committees discusses the handling of Earmarked Contributions, https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/candgui.pdf. It starts on page 143.
If you have questions or need further assistance, please contact us at pubrec@fec.gov.
Sincerely,
Jason Bucelato
Senior Public Affairs Specialist
Public Records Office
Federal Election Commission
http://www.fec.gov/
E-Mail: pubrec@fec.gov
Through follow up emails, we confirmed that if there is an "x" in the memo column, that should be excluded because it will appear more than once in the data also.
In the amendment indicator column, "A" means amended and "N" means new. If you are looking at the dates, if it's an amended report, it may not reflect the contribution date, so be careful which date columns you are looking at. Jason at the FEC said that there shouldn't be amended reports and new reports with the same transaction ID, and it should only show you the most updated report. But I think we should keep an eye on this as well, because clearly their system is not perfect. So if there are matching transaction ID's for an amended and a new report, remove the new one since the amended one has the most up to date information.
In a nutshell, if there is an entry of "earmarked" in column BU, it's a duplicate. If there is an X in the memo column, it's also a duplicate.
This doesn't mean there are no smurfs. This just means we need to filter the lists provided by the FEC. They may not all qualify as a "smurf" after taking these into consideration. If we want to be taken seriously on this issue, it's important that we have our facts straight.
As @CoraSolo would say from Audit the Vote HI, Happy Smurfing!
We contacted the FEC to get some answers. Here is the response:
Thank you for your recent email to the FEC’s Public Records Office.
What are you seeing is the ActBlue donations being “doubled counted”. When a committee receives a contribution from ActBlue, they have to show it from ActBlue and from the individual, but it’s only counted once in the overall totals.
I have included some links showing this; https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202212239574220981, https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202212089547783194, and https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202202269493724977.
To get the true amount of donations made, pay attention to Columns B and BU. If it says ActBlue in Column A and Earmarked for (insert committee name) in Column BU, then the contribution will be reported again by the recipient of the Earmark. You will need to download the transactions in order to do the above.
As for the volume of contributions, please note, we present the data as filed by the committees. Also, some committees (ActBlue included) allow you set up recurring contributions.
Appendix A of the Campaign Guide for Congressional Candidates and Committees discusses the handling of Earmarked Contributions, https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/candgui.pdf. It starts on page 143.
If you have questions or need further assistance, please contact us at pubrec@fec.gov.
Sincerely,
Jason Bucelato
Senior Public Affairs Specialist
Public Records Office
Federal Election Commission
http://www.fec.gov/
E-Mail: pubrec@fec.gov
Through follow up emails, we confirmed that if there is an "x" in the memo column, that should be excluded because it will appear more than once in the data also.
In the amendment indicator column, "A" means amended and "N" means new. If you are looking at the dates, if it's an amended report, it may not reflect the contribution date, so be careful which date columns you are looking at. Jason at the FEC said that there shouldn't be amended reports and new reports with the same transaction ID, and it should only show you the most updated report. But I think we should keep an eye on this as well, because clearly their system is not perfect. So if there are matching transaction ID's for an amended and a new report, remove the new one since the amended one has the most up to date information.
In a nutshell, if there is an entry of "earmarked" in column BU, it's a duplicate. If there is an X in the memo column, it's also a duplicate.
This doesn't mean there are no smurfs. This just means we need to filter the lists provided by the FEC. They may not all qualify as a "smurf" after taking these into consideration. If we want to be taken seriously on this issue, it's important that we have our facts straight.
As @CoraSolo would say from Audit the Vote HI, Happy Smurfing!
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Forwarded from Guy Smith
It really hasn't been outlined. But it should be. It is a relatively new theory that IMO has just been proven by the following two videos:
1) https://rumble.com/v2ba4aw-how-deep-is-dhs-in-our-county-elections.html
2) https://rumble.com/v2hop8o-12-april-2023-am-show-conservative-daily.html
Here are the slides that go with video 1) 👇👇👇
1) https://rumble.com/v2ba4aw-how-deep-is-dhs-in-our-county-elections.html
2) https://rumble.com/v2hop8o-12-april-2023-am-show-conservative-daily.html
Here are the slides that go with video 1) 👇👇👇
Ballot on Demand means ballots are able to be created upon request (or demand). Often times this is by the election staff, but in some cases voters can get their own ballot on demand, or someone else's ballot on demand. There are audit procedures for these systems, but those are only good when someone actually reviews and audits them. If nobody is auditing them in your county/state, request the audit logs and complete a citizen audit of these ballot which were issued on demand. (Some states may not permit the disclosure of these, but it doesn't hurt to ask.)
Other file formats available in the comments.
Other file formats available in the comments.
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If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go with others.
We need each other in this fight. It's not a battle to be won alone. We are not racing against each other. We are racing against tyranny and corruption.
Surround yourself with those who share your goals. Even if you don't always agree. In order for a theory to be proven, it must first be challenged.
Accuracy is key. Even if it doesn't fit the story you want to tell. Credibility is more valuable than popularity.
The only way we win is together. Lift each other up and educate one another. If you know where the missing piece of someone's puzzle is, point them in the right direction. They win, you win. Got it? There is no time for selfishness.
We need each other in this fight. It's not a battle to be won alone. We are not racing against each other. We are racing against tyranny and corruption.
Surround yourself with those who share your goals. Even if you don't always agree. In order for a theory to be proven, it must first be challenged.
Accuracy is key. Even if it doesn't fit the story you want to tell. Credibility is more valuable than popularity.
The only way we win is together. Lift each other up and educate one another. If you know where the missing piece of someone's puzzle is, point them in the right direction. They win, you win. Got it? There is no time for selfishness.
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Forwarded from Cause of America
Media is too big
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#ElectionIntegrity #Elections #Research #CoA #CauseofAmerica #Voting #VotersRights #FixOurElections #ElectionEducation #Ballots #Lawsuits #FOIA
#ElectionIntegrity #Elections #Research #CoA #CauseofAmerica #Voting #VotersRights #FixOurElections #ElectionEducation #Ballots #Lawsuits #FOIA
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Report for Individual Contribution Oversight
Compliments of @Chris_Arsenault
The following process provides indicators of suspicious "smurf" activity.
Due to FEC reporting rules and regulations, the actual number of individual contributions, final transaction amounts etc. often requires additional, increasingly complex work.
There are 3 major characteristics to be gleaned from an exploratory investigation:
1) Frequency & count of donation transactions
2) An estimated general amount of donations
3) Distribution of funds through earmarked transactions to candidate committees.
The process focuses on developing a useful report to discuss with individuals identified in the investigation.
Most "smurf"-like activities are through WinRed or ActBlue as these two PACs dominate the total number of transactions by a wide-margin.
Having data for a 2 year election cycle is also critical to obtaining more accurate results. (Funds can be donated from prior years)
Start with a fresh .csv file for a individual contributor obtained from the FEC website.
After importing into your spreadsheet app, sort ascending on contribution_receipt_date.
Next Group/Categorize your data based on these fields: filing_form column then committee_id column. Keep that order.
You'll see 2-3 Form #s as categories and any number of committees.
F3X = Conduit Committees
F3 = Campaign Committees for Congress
F3P = Campaigns Committees for President.
WinRed and ActBlue are Conduits -> F3X. The DCCC and NRSC, etc. are all Conduits.
Any committee that doesn't uniquely identify a single candidate is a conduit committee.
All F3 & F3P committees are campaigns, which allow $$$ to be spent on media, comms, electioneering etc. These are "authorized" for external spending.
Earmarked funds must always move from an F3X conduit to an F3 or F3P campaign committee.
Therefore, these forms must always refer to each other in FEC Filings.
All F3X forms identify the F3 campaign they are "contributing" to in the contributor_id field and the unused_contbr_id field.
Almost all F3 forms will identify where they got earmarked funds back to the conduit committee using the contributor_id field and the unused_contbr_id.
F3 forms indicate earmarks with receipt_type 15E -> indirect from contributor_id
F3 forms use receipt_type 15 -> direct from individual to committee if contributor_id == blank.
receipt_type can contain other earmark indicators such as a 15J, 10, etc.
Just remember, we're not conducting an audit.
The contributor_id fields might be empty if the donation total for an individual is below $200. (So the campaign committee is reducing paperwork)
When contributor_id fields are filled in - they indicate an F3X committee is moving funds from their accounts to the F3 campaigns. You may see the F3X transaction as a 24T, but not always.
The X in the memo_code field for an F3X committee indicates a % cut of the donation from the earmarked funds (like a fractional "operations" fee to process the donation)
The X in the memo_code field for an F3 committee usually indicates a direct earmark from the donor.
To see Frequency & count of donation transactions, an approximation, sum all transactions for WinRed or ActBlue.
Since the F3X conduit is tracking the total, you can compare the summed contribution_receipt_amount against the largest value found in the contributor_aggregate_ytd column.
But since contributions aggregate for up to 2 years for election cycles, and may not show prior year donations or donation amounts less than the $200.00 threshold, the best you can say is that it's an estimated value.
If the donations exceed the $200.00 threshold, the F3 or F3P committees must show the money and where it came from.
Yes, it's complicated.
HOW-TO VIDEOS COMING SOON!
Compliments of @Chris_Arsenault
The following process provides indicators of suspicious "smurf" activity.
Due to FEC reporting rules and regulations, the actual number of individual contributions, final transaction amounts etc. often requires additional, increasingly complex work.
There are 3 major characteristics to be gleaned from an exploratory investigation:
1) Frequency & count of donation transactions
2) An estimated general amount of donations
3) Distribution of funds through earmarked transactions to candidate committees.
The process focuses on developing a useful report to discuss with individuals identified in the investigation.
Most "smurf"-like activities are through WinRed or ActBlue as these two PACs dominate the total number of transactions by a wide-margin.
Having data for a 2 year election cycle is also critical to obtaining more accurate results. (Funds can be donated from prior years)
Start with a fresh .csv file for a individual contributor obtained from the FEC website.
After importing into your spreadsheet app, sort ascending on contribution_receipt_date.
Next Group/Categorize your data based on these fields: filing_form column then committee_id column. Keep that order.
You'll see 2-3 Form #s as categories and any number of committees.
F3X = Conduit Committees
F3 = Campaign Committees for Congress
F3P = Campaigns Committees for President.
WinRed and ActBlue are Conduits -> F3X. The DCCC and NRSC, etc. are all Conduits.
Any committee that doesn't uniquely identify a single candidate is a conduit committee.
All F3 & F3P committees are campaigns, which allow $$$ to be spent on media, comms, electioneering etc. These are "authorized" for external spending.
Earmarked funds must always move from an F3X conduit to an F3 or F3P campaign committee.
Therefore, these forms must always refer to each other in FEC Filings.
All F3X forms identify the F3 campaign they are "contributing" to in the contributor_id field and the unused_contbr_id field.
Almost all F3 forms will identify where they got earmarked funds back to the conduit committee using the contributor_id field and the unused_contbr_id.
F3 forms indicate earmarks with receipt_type 15E -> indirect from contributor_id
F3 forms use receipt_type 15 -> direct from individual to committee if contributor_id == blank.
receipt_type can contain other earmark indicators such as a 15J, 10, etc.
Just remember, we're not conducting an audit.
The contributor_id fields might be empty if the donation total for an individual is below $200. (So the campaign committee is reducing paperwork)
When contributor_id fields are filled in - they indicate an F3X committee is moving funds from their accounts to the F3 campaigns. You may see the F3X transaction as a 24T, but not always.
The X in the memo_code field for an F3X committee indicates a % cut of the donation from the earmarked funds (like a fractional "operations" fee to process the donation)
The X in the memo_code field for an F3 committee usually indicates a direct earmark from the donor.
To see Frequency & count of donation transactions, an approximation, sum all transactions for WinRed or ActBlue.
Since the F3X conduit is tracking the total, you can compare the summed contribution_receipt_amount against the largest value found in the contributor_aggregate_ytd column.
But since contributions aggregate for up to 2 years for election cycles, and may not show prior year donations or donation amounts less than the $200.00 threshold, the best you can say is that it's an estimated value.
If the donations exceed the $200.00 threshold, the F3 or F3P committees must show the money and where it came from.
Yes, it's complicated.
HOW-TO VIDEOS COMING SOON!
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When you vote early, you make it easy for them to calculate how many more ballots they need to win!
I know what you are thinking.... Maricopa County.
They did that in Maricopa to try and teach us a lesson. "Vote early, because that's easier for us!"
And it was obvious. If those people voted early, we wouldn't know for a fact it was stolen, like we do now.
I know what you are thinking.... Maricopa County.
They did that in Maricopa to try and teach us a lesson. "Vote early, because that's easier for us!"
And it was obvious. If those people voted early, we wouldn't know for a fact it was stolen, like we do now.
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Ballot adjudication or resolution is more common in hand marked paper ballots than ballots marked by a machine. No adjudication should be required for ballots marked by machines.
On the other hand, adjudication rates on hand marked paper ballots, such as mail in ballots, have a high adjudication rate. Often times too high, which is a big concern.
We are not suggesting either option is more preferrable than the other. We all know the only way is to go back to hand counting paper ballots.
On the other hand, adjudication rates on hand marked paper ballots, such as mail in ballots, have a high adjudication rate. Often times too high, which is a big concern.
We are not suggesting either option is more preferrable than the other. We all know the only way is to go back to hand counting paper ballots.
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Don’t just stand there and observe as the world is crashing down around you. If there was nothing you could do to change it, what would be the purpose of your presence?
Snap out of the shock & disbelief and get a move on it! Have you not seen enough already?
Snap out of the shock & disbelief and get a move on it! Have you not seen enough already?
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One page explanation of the Mesa County reports by Jeff O'Donnell and Dr. D. https://t.me/ALoneRaccoon/7348
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