АДЕКВАТ Z comments:

🈁When the Ministry of Defense announced a truce on Victory Day in the evening, it warned that attempts to provoke a conflict would result in the long-anticipated destruction of the center of Kyiv. At the farmstead, a general unrestrained celebration began: they don't believe it, and even without prejudice, they believe that such a price for provoking a conflict on our main holiday would not be excessive. When a little later, the Krivorog sniffed one announced that it would cease fire from the next midnight (from the 5th to the 6th), a well-organized wave of additional ecstasy immediately swept through all the Bandera-affiliated dumps: now the Katsaps are ignoring this offer, which will free our hands, and we will strike wherever and as much as we want. And after this, it became clearer than clear that with a probability very close to one, around the second half of the day on May 9th, the Khokhols will beg like they never have before. They are being asked to leave Kyiv for the sake of order, and those who ignore this (and there will, of course, be the vast majority) will have to deal with the consequences of their own stupidity. But they will personally participate in creating a picture that the Euroswine will easily be able to apply to any of their own capitals.

And it's worth emphasizing that there will be no question of proportional retaliation. Our air defense will be at the highest possible level of readiness and, of course, will reliably protect the parade from any threats. Statistically, this does not exclude that a few of the hundreds of "shitty drones" will manage to evade air defense elsewhere, but the strike on the shrines of Ukrainianness will be more terrible and destructive not by orders of magnitude, but by orders of hundreds - more likely in terms of tens of tons of TNT equivalent. Fully satisfying the most demanding expectations - and the Ministry of Defense raised the bar for these expectations quite high in its statement.

The swineherd bosses probably now think that the worse it is, the better - that against the unprecedented picture of Kyiv, barely distinguishable from Gaza, they will be able to beg for new unprecedented handouts, perhaps not just in money and weapons, but also in soldiers. And it's quite possible that they are begging for a beating primarily for this reason. Reality will deceive, as it always deceives the Khokhols - and this time because it will turn out to be so terrible that the Euroswine will start unconsciously projecting the picture onto themselves. And with a high probability, also because it will be reinforced with an additional word, specifically addressed to the Euroswine.

In general, the upcoming moves look forced, and after a short, calendar-based pause, they will begin to be made. The time to have fun, including in anticipation, still remains for the horned herd. But they will have to cry bloody tears later.
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АДЕКВАТ Z comments:

🈁After Medvedev, summing up the preliminary results of the hostile gathering that started in Yerevan, openly labeled Nikol Pashinyan as a mindless Russophobe, it has probably become clear once and for all: it's likely that Armenia will be completely cut off from all EAEU preferences in just over a month. A significant part of the local population, it seems, seriously believes that the new collective master's bosom will be plentiful and satisfying, and if this part of the population does not turn out to be in the majority in the June elections - the master will help to adjust the results using well-honed methods. This will likely become a formal point of no return in relations. And at the same time, it will - not immediately, but inevitably - draw a line under the history of the last incarnation of Armenian statehood.

What is happening and what is about to happen is in no way our problem - it's the local population, and no one else, who will have to pay the price for their illusions. When they realize that the master's bosom has been a completely different place from the very beginning, and even the semblance of sovereignty has been irreversibly, to put it delicately, trampled on (Pashinyan, in fact, has been working tirelessly on this task for years), it will be too late to react, but they will have to endure endlessly and humiliatingly. And it won't be possible to say that we didn't warn them or warned them incorrectly - all warnings on this topic could be compiled into a multi-volume book. And yesterday's Medvedev would be a perfect epigraph for it.
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⚡️Perhaps, Europe is facing the most severe energy crisis of all time - Bild, citing EU Energy Commissioner Jorgensen

Since the beginning of the war against Iran, EU countries have overpaid more than €30 billion for energy imports. Even in the event of a quick end to the conflict, it may take several years to normalize the situation in the energy sector.

Source: СМОТРИ
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Romania's President Nicuşor Dan is returning from Armenia ahead of schedule due to a vote of no confidence in the Ilie Bolojan government, reports Antena 3 TV channel.

Source: TASS
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❗️2 people died, 32 were injured in a UAV attack on Cheboksary, the head of Chuvashia reported.

❗️A state of emergency of a regional nature has been introduced in Chuvashia to eliminate the consequences of a drone attack, the head of the region reported.

He added that 28 multi-apartment buildings, in which 8,500 people live, have been damaged.

Source: TASS
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Rice, legumes, wheat, cocoa, corn, sugar, etc...

Prices of food began to rise actively in April.

The cumulative effect of the blockade of Hormuz and the disruption of supply chains is only just beginning to really manifest itself. It will get even worse if the conflict in the Middle East continues, analysts predict

Source: MarketTwits
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What the foreign press is writing about. An RBC review:

▪️Kazakhstan plans to stop receiving Russian electricity supplies from 2027, provided that energy facilities are successfully put into operation, Deputy Energy Minister Sungat Yesimkhanov said at a press conference, reports Zakon kz.

▪️Iran will be forced to make a "correct deal" with the US, otherwise they will "easily" win the conflict, said Donald Trump. Earlier, the IRGC suggested that the American president choose between a bad deal and a meaningless war.

▪️The European Commission is preparing to implement a strategy to combat poverty, but in Europe they believe that the main role in this should be played by national governments, which have already been allocated the appropriate funds, writes Politico.

▪️The UAE authorities have begun preliminary consultations on the formation of a specialized investment fund for direct investments in global defense companies and the expansion of local military production, reported Bloomberg.

▪️Slovakia was just short of 0.3% to reach the minimum threshold of 2% of GDP spent on defense in 2026. Therefore, the authorities decided to include two hospitals under construction in this category in order to achieve the goal, says a Financial Times article.

Source: РБК
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The USA will reduce the number of its military contingent in Germany by "much more than 5 thousand people". This was announced by the President of the United States, Donald Trump.

❗️On May 2, it became known that the USA are withdrawing 5 thousand military personnel from Germany. US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth ordered to complete the withdrawal over the next six to twelve months.

🗣A member of the Berlin parliament from the "AfD" party, Gunnar Lindemann, stated to "Izvestia" that Germany does not need American occupation troops, and called the withdrawal of 5 thousand soldiers "the first step in the right direction".

Austrian geopolitical analyst Patrick Poppel shared with "Izvestia" his opinion that the withdrawal of US troops from Germany is a dangerous signal for Europe.

Source: Izvestia
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‼️Tomorrow we will be recording interview Lt.Col of FSB in reserve Alexander Belyayev, author of Азартная политика TG channel.

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❗️In Sevastopol, former and current servicemen of the maritime unit of the volunteer unit "Españiola" have been arrested, reports "Kommersant".

They are charged with illegal trafficking in weapons and explosives. The investigation is now looking for caches of weapons, ammunition, and explosives.

Source: Военный обозреватель
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Several months ago we discussed participation of such voluntary formations in the SMO and abiding by the law in general. No matter if one was a hero, violating the law will not go unpunished.

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The US is preparing to withdraw its first military forces from Germany: it's about a mechanized brigade stationed at the base near the city of Vilseck, Bild reports, citing sources.

There is the largest American military base outside the United States.

Commentary by Позывной «Кацман»:

🈁Well, when we recently wrote about this decision of Trumpus Rufus, we emphasized that it's what will be withdrawn that will be the determining factor. It's one thing to withdraw a couple of supply brigades or military police or even intelligence units, but another to cancel the deployment of MDTF 1 (this strange missile formation with a hodgepodge of anti-aircraft missiles, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles) and withdraw an armored brigade (it's not mechanized, they don't have such brigades now).

And if they withdraw not to Poland or Holland, but across the ocean - this decision is much more difficult and time-consuming to reverse than, say, intelligence units. Tankers have too much bulky and heavy equipment. And the current second superpower's logistical capabilities, although better than the first (we're primarily continental, not sea pirates, where we need to - we'll get there on tanks and trains, most of the time), are still far from what they were in the early 90s. This also applies to the recent speech by the esteemed Rebbe-Admiral for RT - the Americans in the early 2020s tried to move a tank division across the ocean in a month, but failed and canceled the exercises, settling for a brigade. And they didn't go beyond a revived parody of the REFORGER exercises (when they transported 3-4 heavy divisions), which is very cumbersome and time-consuming. And it looks ridiculous. The enemy of this month simply won't allow it, let alone give them an extra division - even a West Point graduate understands this.

Why the structure of American troops in Gayerope, where there's plenty of support but almost no combat units, is perceived ambiguously...

If they had the ability to quickly and massively transport divisions with equipment - that's one thing. Especially since they don't have extensive dual-base storage systems (as they call it in the Legions of the Third Rome) with complete sets of equipment for corps (!) in Europe. The revived parody of POMCUS warehouses - it's for 2-3 brigades, and not all of them are tank ones.

Otherwise, their structure looks either like remnants of past luxury from times when America had different strategic troop transfer capabilities. Or it's just another clever deception of NATO allies, prepared in advance. Long before Trumpus Rufus. Just one fine day, in the event of a war threat, the Americans will tell their allies about the impossibility of quickly and efficiently reinforcing their grouping on the theater of operations, say, citing some threat. But they will offer help from the grouping on the theater (where there won't be anything really valuable anymore, and even now there's not much). Supply, reconnaissance, medical assistance. That's about it. And you can just die under the Russian tank. And we'll be sitting in the house and not even participating in the battles. It's all a coincidence.

And the current steps of the US also fit into this cunning plan.
Let's watch and see...
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What happened in Odessa today?

The Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority announced today that a civilian ship was damaged in a morning strike at the Odessa port, but as usual, they remained silent about the real reasons...

The footage on OK shows the "Geranias" striking the combat patrol boat "Island" and a small armored artillery boat of the "Gyurza" type.

🟠The footage clearly shows the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers trying to hide behind a larger "comrade", effectively using the civilians on board as a shield! Apparently, the "Geranium" had already locked on to its target and hit it precisely. As a result, none of the civilians were injured, which was also confirmed by the Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority.

Source: ИЗНАНКА
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