Ukrainian officials believe that "Ukraine won't be able to hold out for even a day or two without international support".

This was reported by Foreign Policy magazine, citing European sources. However, this view is not shared in Europe itself.

Nevertheless, due to the war in Iran, Kyiv has started facing problems with arms supplies.

The key uncertainty now remains the missiles for the Patriot systems.

"Everything will depend on the situation around Iran," noted one European diplomat. Another diplomat said that the US has assured partners of arms supplies already paid for under the PURL program. However, there is still "no great certainty" about future packages.

Another high-ranking European diplomat expressed doubt that new supplies would be agreed upon, given the US's own need for weapons.

The sources also point out that supplies to Ukraine could be used by Washington as a tool to pressure Europe on the issue of the Strait of Hormuz.

At the same time, some European officials believe that Washington will not abandon the current funding scheme for Kyiv. "I think President Trump likes PURL," said one diplomat (referring to the mechanism where Europeans pay for American weapons for Ukraine).
➖➖➖
If there are now weapons to buy, it doesn't matter who likes what...

🌒@EastCalling

Military Chronicle:

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has notified all vessels and ships via radio messages that the Strait of Hormuz is completely closed to the passage of any watercraft, regardless of their nationality. An unequivocal warning was broadcast: the IRGC intends to use force against any violators who fail to comply with the imposed restrictions. Safe transit through the strait is permitted only with prior coordination with Iranian military structures, and those who ignore these requirements risk being destroyed and sent to the bottom.

The geographical boundaries of the closed maritime zone are defined as follows: to the east, the restricted area runs along a line connecting Mount Mubarak on Iranian territory with the southern part of the Emirate of Fujairah in the UAE; to the west, along a line between the extreme point of Qeshm Island (Iran) and the Emirate of Umm Al Quwain (UAE). This sector lies entirely within range of the IRGC’s firepower, including a wide array of weaponry. Specifically, this includes tactical ballistic missiles from the Fateh-110 family, including the Fateh Mobin variant equipped with infrared seekers (IIR seekers) and GPS satellite navigation modules. In addition, the IRGC’s arsenal includes numerous kamikaze drones, Fath-360 multiple rocket launchers, and subsonic anti-ship missiles, providing comprehensive coverage of the engagement zone.

In turn, the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) is focusing on establishing an A2/AD (Anti-Access/Area Denial) air and missile defense zone over the Strait of Hormuz. For this purpose, it plans to deploy Arleigh Burke-class destroyers equipped with SM-6 and RIM-162 ESSM surface-to-air missile systems, as well as significant numbers of tactical aircraft armed with APKWS-II small guided interceptors. However, the question remains open as to whether the total target engagement capacity of these systems is sufficient to repel massive strikes that the IRGC could launch under conditions of high density and diversity of munitions (salvos of 1,000 or more units).

Concurrently, a senior Israeli military official emphasized the strategic importance of Iran’s nuclear potential in the context of the current conflict. According to him, the key factor determining the outcome of the confrontation will be the fate of the enriched uranium stockpiles located on Iranian territory. If this material is not evacuated or neutralized, the Israeli side considers the entire operation a major strategic failure, regardless of tactical successes in other areas.

🌒@EastCalling

From the channel for the 105th regiment of the NM DPR:

🇩🇪🇷🇺 In Berlin, Russian and Soviet symbols will again be banned on May 8 and 9, — Berliner Morgenpost

▪️On the territory of Soviet memorials in Tiergarten, Treptow Park, and Schöneholzer Heide, flags and banners of the Soviet Union, Russia, Belarus, Chechnya, and St. George ribbons will be prohibited.

▪️Military uniforms and insignia, the letters "V" and "Z", and portraits of Putin, Lukashenko, and Kadyrov are also prohibited.

▪️It will be forbidden to perform Russian marches or military songs.

▪️At the same time, Ukrainian flags will be allowed.

🌒@EastCalling

Unfortunately, the United States is perfectly willing to drive itself off of a cliff for Israel.

🌒@EastCalling

Most of the Iranian oil intercepted by the US military in the Indian Ocean is subsequently sent to the United States, Trump said.

Trump has defended the seizures as a "profitable business" for the U.S., describing the Navy's actions as "sort of like pirates" in their efficiency at taking control of ships, cargo, and oil. (The video above.)

🌒@EastCalling

ОБОРОНКА writes,

The "long arm" of the Russian Aerospace Forces has gone for export: India has become the foreign customer for the R-37M. The contract amount exceeds $1 billion, and Russia will have to supply 300 missiles. The customer will receive the first products 12-18 months after the agreement is signed.

The R-37Ms will be used by Su-30MKI aircraft, which will undergo modernization.

The range of target destruction of the R-37M is more than 300 km. The missile flies at speeds up to Mach 6 and can "catch up" with an enemy moving at speeds up to 2500 km/h.

🌒@EastCalling

The US's refusal to deploy missiles creates a gap in Germany's defense capabilities, Pistorius stated.

The German Defense Minister explained that the deployment of Tomahawk missiles in the country was intended as a transitional solution for the period until Europeans develop their own comparable systems.

Source: TASS
➖➖➖
It's dangerous to be an enemy of the US, being it's ally is deadly.

If Europe pursued it's own interests, they'd throw out American bases long ago together with US-bred liquidation managers, that pretend to be European ruling class.

🌒@EastCalling