Araqchi: I will not go into details, but we enjoy excellent cooperation with China and Russia in political, economic, and even military fields.

😉

🌒@EastCalling

The National Interest:

Among most people in the financial world, the idea of a near-total halt in flows of oil through the Strait of Hormuz has long been considered a “fat tail” risk scenario: one that would be immensely important, but would probably never happen. The political risk consultants like me who they deal with were often seen as “crying wolf” when they had the idea that there was even a small probability of that happening. Time and again, there were brief periods where things looked like it was at least possible that the Persian Gulf would see a conflagration, with concerns about Israel going it alone in 2007 and 2012, President Donald Trump pulling out of the JCPOA in 2018, the 2019 Iranian drone attack against critical Saudi oil infrastructure at Abqaiq, the US killing of Gen. Qasem Soleimani in January 2020, and other episodes. None of them ended up having a major impact on the availability of oil. Those of us professionally involved in this even spoke of “Iran fatigue,” where clients would be eager to move on to the next subject during a presentation.

Now, however, the wolf is actually here.

...

What has proven to be the core logic of the situation is the unwillingness of tanker operators to take extreme risks with their vessels, their potential liability for oil spills, and the lives of their crews. I had picked up on this back in the late 2000s, when I dealt with some shipping industry and ship broker clients at a former employer, and had the opportunity to discuss this at length with senior managers there. Sending ships into dangerous waters is not merely a matter of obtaining insurance. Tanker companies and captains need to believe that they are not taking an imprudent level of risk. As long as Iran is able to strike against tankers in the Strait, with missiles, mines, fast boats, and the like, and has clear intent to do so, it will not be business as usual. The Trump administration clearly underestimated Iran’s asymmetric leverage here.

🌒@EastCalling

The Lanaiz refinery in the Erbil province of northern Iraq has been set on fire following an attack by kamikaze drones.

🌒@EastCalling

Via Tasnim:

Video showing the areas where sirens started in Occupied Palestine (Israel) due to missile and drone launches from the beginning of the war with Iran until 06:56 AM today

Red - launches from Iran
Yellow - launches from Lebanon

🌒@EastCalling

From the channel for the 105th regiment of the NM DPR:

Ukrainian media have confirmed the reality of the Iranian threat

Iran's ballistic missiles "Khorramshahr" and "Sajil", with a range of 2000 km, are capable of hitting any point in Ukraine.
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I consider this unlikely, but still))

🌒@EastCalling

Trump, perhaps, considers me his son, — Zelensky

Zelensky: Trump and I are not the same age. Maybe that's why he sees our relationship as a father-son one.
Reporter: Do you think he sees you as his son?
Zelensky: I don't know. Maybe not his favorite son. But why not?
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I have no further comment))

🌒@EastCalling

The EU should start negotiations with Russia on Ukraine, said Belgian Prime Minister De Wever.

According to him, Europe is not able to indefinitely support Ukraine and supply weapons to Kyiv without the participation of the USA.

A deal with Russia seems to be the only possible solution.

Source: RIA Novosti

🌒@EastCalling

When I'm on the normie-web, I'm shocked by the number of comments that I read accusing "Putin trolls" of supporting Trump. I can think of exactly 0 people who are simultaneously pro-Russia and pro-Trump. Really, I can't think of any person with an IQ above room temperature that is pro-Trump.

🌒@EastCalling

The air defense forces intercepted and destroyed 280 Ukrainian drones over Russian regions in 10 hours on Saturday, including 47 flying towards Moscow, the Defense Ministry reported.

🌒@EastCalling

Source: RIA Novosti

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi really is doing an amazing job.

This is the video where he responds to a question asking about Chinese and Russian support.

🌒@EastCalling

Tasnim reports:

A military informed source: The attack on the Lanaz refinery in Erbil was carried out by the US or Israel

🔹 A military informed source told Tasnim News Agency that the drone attack on the Lanaz refinery in Erbil, Iraq, reported by the English news agency Reuters, was not carried out by Iran or resistance groups.

🔹 He added: Our information indicates that this attack was carried out by the Americans or Israelis as a "false flag" operation, and its aim is to unnecessarily expand the war to targets that are not part of Iran and the resistance's target bank.

🔹 This informed source emphasized: If Iran or the resistance attacks any point, it will officially announce it. The interests of the US and Israel in the region are definitely among our targets, but these enemies want to destroy the infrastructures of other countries under the cover of war with Iran through false flag operations, and this is a warning to all countries in the region not to be deceived by the US and Israel.
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Not sure if this is true, but there you go.

🌒@EastCalling

Trump called on countries that receive oil through the Strait of Hormuz to ensure the safety of this route, and the American leader promised US assistance and coordination.

"The countries of the world that receive oil through the Hormuz Strait must take care of that passage, and we will help — A LOT!" Trump wrote on his social network Truth Social.

Trump believes that the safety of passage through the strait, "should always have been a team effort and now it will be."
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This is a bit like throwing a wild party when your roommate is out of town and then handing them a mop and a bucket when they return home to find the floor covered in vomit and beer.

🌒@EastCalling

Reportedly, this is video showing the flames raging inside the American base in Victoria, in the capital, Baghdad, after it was hit by a missile and several kamikaze drones.

🌒@EastCalling

"The US 'security umbrella' won't solve the problem of the Strait of Hormuz," Araghchi stated.

According to him, the United States is now "begging others, even China, to help them ensure the safety of [shipping] in the Strait of Hormuz."

🌒@EastCalling

Senator Chris Murphy, who has access to closed door security briefings, reports that Trump has lost control of the situation in Iran. (Did he ever have it?) It appears the future of the world depends on Trump admitting to a mistake and changing course.

We are screwed.

🌒@EastCalling

An additional 15 drones flying towards Moscow have been destroyed by the Defense Ministry's air defense forces, Sobyanin reported.

The attack of drones on Moscow was the largest since the beginning of the year, according to TASS's calculations.

Since the beginning of the day, 65 drones have been destroyed by air defense forces while approaching Moscow, all of which were shot down in less than 12 hours.

Source: TASS

🌒@EastCalling