Digital Chartist
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High-quality crypto market analysis, swing setups & macro-driven insights

No pumps. No noise. Just structure and probabilities

Educational posts, technical breakdowns & major market updates

πŸ”Not financial advice. DYOR
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The share of tokenized stocks in the total RWA market cap has climbed from ~1.4% to over 15% YoY (July 2025 to July 2026)
BlackRock sees a shift in sentiment around Bitcoin.

According to head of digital assets Robert Mitnick, #BTC has started to perform noticeably better against the backdrop of the AI sector's decline β€” and this reinforces its role as a diversification tool.
πŸ’° The median STH cost basis and densest supply cluster both sit at ~$64K, with 967,099 BTC concentrated around this level.

That helps explain why price has been so sticky here.

There is an enormous amount of recent investor cost basis packed into a very tight range.
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#ONGUSDT 1D

#ONG has broken above the descending resistance on the daily timeframe with strong volume. It is currently testing the 50-day SMA, which we expect it to break above soon as well. A confirmed breakout above the SMA50 could trigger a bullish move toward the following upside targets:

🎯 $0.04855
🎯 $0.05352
🎯 $0.05754
🎯 $0.06155
🎯 $0.06727
🎯 $0.07456

⚠️ Always use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
βš–οΈ According to the SOPR indicator, there has not yet been a real "mass" (short-term + long-term holders) in BTC, which means there is still room for a decline.
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πŸ“ˆ Binance whale inflow ratio just hit an all time high.

A fairly quiet week on the macro front, yet the whale inflow ratio on Binance just hit a new record.
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The second channel is more mechanical. Three-month futures basis, the yield on the cash-and-carry trade that anchors institutional participation in crypto, has been paying less than a 2-year Treasury since February. Only one other stretch on record has run this long, from August 2022 into January 2023, and it ended at the cycle low.

When Treasuries out-yield the basis, the desks that supply leverage, depth and volume to this market have little reason to be here. Much of what follows in the off-chain section looks downstream of that one spread.
πŸ’° Bitcoin is now trading in its "Cost of Production" zone, typically the sign of a bear market bottom.
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πŸ’° Conviction buyers doing what they do best: absorbing in downturns.

Accumulating straight through a -49% drawdown, and now holding ~4M BTC.
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πŸ’° Bitcoin hashrate is now 17% below its all-time high as miners pivot toward AI, according to a CryptoQuant analyst.
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Sentiment that "crypto is dead" is rapidly growing on social media.
πŸ’° Gemini discloses adding 1,689 BTC Bitcoin to their treasury, now totaling 5,528 BTC
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πŸ’° CryptoQuant: BTC Is Poised to Break Out of Its Consolidation Period.

The Choppiness Index for BTC has reached its highest level in several years.
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πŸ“Š BTC futures OI has climbed past a full day of futures volume, just shy of last September's record.

Plenty of positions, thin turnover. On a tape this thin, liquidations meet little resistance in either direction.
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#NILUSDT 1D

#NIL has broken above the 200-day SMA with strong volume and is now testing the descending resistance. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger a bullish move toward the following upside targets:

🎯 $0.05880
🎯 $0.07533
🎯 $0.10468
🎯 $0.12840
🎯 $0.15211
🎯 $0.18588
🎯 $0.22890

⚠️ Always use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
πŸ’° Transfer volume across the network has risen 23%, but nearly half of all coins are still at a loss.

The share of coins in profit is 53%, compared with a 10-year average of 82%. Network activity is already above its yearly norm.
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