Digital Chartist
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High-quality crypto market analysis, swing setups & macro-driven insights

No pumps. No noise. Just structure and probabilities

Educational posts, technical breakdowns & major market updates

πŸ”Not financial advice. DYOR
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During Q2, Bitcoin maintained its inverse relationship with the U.S. dollar and moved in tandem with a declining gold market, but failed to join the S&P 500's rally despite their high correlation, held back by tighter monetary policy expectations and crypto-specific selling pressures.
Over the past 365 days, Bitcoin wallets that had been inactive for more than 7 years have transferred 144,470 πŸ’°#BTC (~$9 billion).
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πŸ“Š Bitcoin ETF flows have flipped from 500,000+ BTC in net inflows in 2024 to roughly 120,000 BTC in cumulative net outflows in 2026.
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πŸ“Š Bitcoin holders have become less likely to sell their coins at a loss.

Losses for investors who bought the cryptocurrency in 2024–2025 have begun to decline. In the past, this trend often appeared before the end of a sell-off.

Glassnode calls this an early signal, but not confirmation of a bottom. The next key level will be $69,000β€”around this mark, many recent buyers will break even and may start selling.
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Only 13.5% of πŸ’°#BTC held in short-term holders’ (STH) wallets is currently in the black. About 86.5% is in the red.
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Long-Term Holders now control a record 16.75M πŸ’° #BTC, equivalent to 83.5% of the total supply.

That figure is currently growing by around 180,000 BTC every month as coins continue to age into the cohort.

The stronger hands continue to grow stronger.
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The vast majority of stablecoin activity relates to trading, derivative collateral transfers, protocol mechanics, and intermediary routing, while only 7% (approximately $350–$550B) represents real-world payments
πŸ’° PlanB Sees #Bitcoin Potentially Reaching $500,000

PlanB, a well-known analyst, believes the current Bitcoin cycle's peak at $126,000 is not the final top.

According to PlanB, the Stock-to-Flow model allows for Bitcoin to rise to $500,000, with a possible range between $250,000 and $1 million. He also warns of a deep correction, where Bitcoin's price could fall below its realized value, currently around $53,000, before the next surge.
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πŸ“° Key Updates You Need to Know
#XNOUSDT1D

#XNO is trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. Trading volume has increased significantly, and the price is currently facing strong resistance from both the Ichimoku Cloud and the upper boundary of the channel. A confirmed breakout above these resistance levels could open the way toward the following upside targets:

🎯 $0.391
🎯 $0.419
🎯 $0.446
🎯 $0.485
🎯 $0.535

⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
πŸ’° 84% OF BITCOIN IS NOW HELD BY LONG TERM HOLDERS.

Short term holder supply just hit its lowest level since 2016.
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Over the past 30 days, long-term holders have significantly increased their purchases of #BTC. They now hold approximately 16.3 million πŸ’°BTC.
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#GMXUSDT 1D

#GMX is testing both the descending trendline resistance and the 200-day SMA on the daily timeframe. A confirmed breakout above these key resistance levels could trigger a bullish move toward the following upside targets:

🎯 $7.37
🎯 $8.01
🎯 $8.65
🎯 $9.56
🎯 $10.72

⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
#ONDOUSDT 1D

#ONDO is trading within a bullish flag pattern on the daily timeframe. The price remains above the 50-day SMA and the flag's midline, indicating continued bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the flag resistance could lead to the following upside targets:

🎯 $0.3920
🎯 $0.4226
🎯 $0.4662
🎯 $0.5217

⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
#YBUSDT 1D

#YB has broken above the falling wedge resistance and the 50-day SMA on the daily timeframe. However, it is now approaching the Ichimoku Cloud, which remains a key resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above the cloud could pave the way for the following upside targets:

🎯 $0.1097
🎯 $0.1361
🎯 $0.1574
🎯 $0.1788
🎯 $0.2091
🎯 $0.2478

⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
πŸ’° #BTC spot demand has been mostly negative since last October.

Selling in the spot market is driving the decline. And most of the selling occurred from retail investors.
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πŸ“Š Bitcoin is still below the realized price of the 18-month-to-two-year UTXO cohort.
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Glassnode: The STH Cost Basis Distribution heatmap indicates a fresh wave of supply shifting to new buyers in the $62k-$65k range during the rally from $57k.

This situation presents a double-edged structure: while aggressive buying could establish a cost basis floor to support a further test of $66k and above, the concentration of accumulation towards the end of the rally raises the risk of a local top formation if the price fails to convincingly breach $66k.

The $66k level serves as the near-term arbiter between these two scenarios.