DeVol Network
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The marketโ€™s future expectation of volatility is now lower post ETF, and #Bitcoin at-the-money IVโ€™s have been crushed.

Buying vol has become a lot cheaper. ๐Ÿค‘

Looking at the price chart, we see the BTC has bounced off the bottom of the sideways channel itโ€™s (mostly) been in since early December. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ

If you think the bounce will hold over the next 2 days, you could buy an ATM short duration call spread that gives you a risk/reward profile of 2:1.

๐ŸŸข 2024-01-21, CALL, 41,578
๐Ÿ”ด 2024-01-21, CALL, 42,953
#NFA #OptionsTrading
Today, the two DeVol #Bitcoin pools have each doubled in size from 20K to 40K USDC. ๐Ÿฆพ

This increase represents a big first step in giving users the ability to execute larger multi-leg trades.

We welcome our new LPs who have made this increase possible. ๐Ÿค

Each pool backs a unique expiration date, & the pools are open for anybody to provide liquidity & generate passive yield.

More increases will be announced soon. ๐Ÿซง
Bitcoin has fallen a little below the 21-day exponential moving average (42,400) which has acted as support for over a week.

43,300 has acted as resistance since mid January.

If you believe that BTC will recover & stay within this range of 42,400 - 43,300 within the next 2 days, you could use short duration options to express this specific point of view.

๐ŸŸข 2024-02-07, PUT, 42,256
๐Ÿ”ด 2024-02-07, PUT, 42, 382
๐Ÿ”ด 2024-02-07, CALL, 43,273
๐ŸŸข 2024-02-07, CALL, 43,402

Max gain from 42,383 - 43,273
Breakeven points = 42,311, 43,347
Max loss < 42,257 or > 43,402

This is called an iron condor, and you can trade all four legs in a single execution only on DeVol, saving time and eliminating leg risk. ๐ŸคŒ
#Bitcoin has been holding around 52,000 for several days.

Looking at the charts, we see that this area acted as resistance in September and December 2021. ๐Ÿ“‰

We also know that US markets will be closed on Monday in observance of a holiday, and BTC ETF inflows wonโ€™t resume until Tuesday. ๐Ÿค”

Based on this information, if we believe BTC will stay below 52,000 for the next few days, we could either:

Sell a 2-day call spread or buy a 2-day put spread.

Hereโ€™s an example of the short call spread on DeVol:

๐Ÿ”ด 2024-02-18, CALL, 51,857
๐ŸŸข 2024-02-18, CALL, 52,043

Max gain < 51,857
Breakeven = 51,932
Max loss > 52,043

Hereโ€™s an example of the long put put spread on DeVol:

๐ŸŸข 2024-02-18, PUT, 51,671
๐Ÿ”ด 2024-02-18, PUT, 51,302

Max gain < 51,303
Breakeven = 51,500
Max loss > 51,672
#DeFi, #Options, #NFA
#Bitcoin has been trading sideways for over a week. ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ

Looking at the daily chart we see that short term resistance is at 53,000 & support is at 50,800. ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ

At-the-money implied volatility for the 2024-02-22 expiration is 50.

If you believe BTC will stay range bound within the next two days, you could simultaneously sell a call spread & a put spread on DeVol, collecting both premiums.

๐ŸŸข 2024-02-22, PUT, 50,587
๐Ÿ”ด 2024-02-22, PUT, 50,782
๐Ÿ”ด 2024-02-22, CALL, 52,977
๐ŸŸข 2024-02-22, CALL, 53,181

This four-legged option strategy is called an iron condor, & it will be profitable if the price stays between 50,709 and 53,049 by expiration in less than 2 days.

Max gain > 50,783 & < 52,978
Breakeven = 50,709 & 53,049
Max loss < 50,588 & > 53,182
#DeFi, #Options, #NFA
Advantages of the Bull Call Spread

A bull call spread is constructed by buying one call option and selling another call option further out of the money.

Itโ€™s a bullish strategy, similar to simply buying a call, but the max you can earn is limited to the width of the spread minus the amount you pay for the spread. The max you can lose is the price you pay for the spread.

Call Spread Pros:
๐ŸŸข A bull call spread has a higher chance of breaking even and being profitable than buying a call by itself.

๐ŸŸข Bull Call spreads have a much higher return potential.

๐ŸŸข The call spread will have much less exposure to losses from the passage of time.

Call Spread Cons:
๐Ÿ”ด The bull call spread has limited profitability if the price of the underlier blasts off to the moon before expiration.

Final Verdict - The Bull Call spread is better than simply buying a call.

DeVol is the only crypto options platform that allows you to trade #Bitcoin call spreads, or any type of multi-leg strategy, in a single execution.
#Bitcoin continues to chop sideways.๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ

DeVol Analytics shows that implied volatility is higher than realized vol by 33 points. ๐Ÿคฏ

Volatility is known to cluster, so selling vol could be a good short term strategy.

The daily chart shows resistance at 53,000 and support at 50,800. ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ

Based on this info, the team executes a multi-leg options strategy known as a butterfly spread on Crypto Options Action. The trade profits if BTC stays between 50,432 & 52,830 by expiration on 02/24. Max profit is at 51,631. โฑ๏ธ
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
#Bitcoin surges higher! ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Check out this weekโ€™s episode of Crypto Options Action where we
review last weekโ€™s successful short butterfly strategy, then dive into the charts & vol surface to plan a new options trade on DeVol.

With resistance at around 65K, & buying pressure high due to the spot ETF, the team decides to execute a 60,404 / 64,405 call spread that expires on 03/01. โฑ๏ธ

Max profit is above 64,406
Breakeven is at 61,389
Max loss is below 60,405.
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA