Data's Inner Circle πŸ‘‘ (WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST)
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https://x.com/TheCryptoData

The Inner Circle is where I share my thought process on the overall market, including technical analysis, altcoins, and narrative rotations πŸ’Ž

Nothing shared is financial/investment advice and should not be taken as such.
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πŸ“Š Market Update | September 11th

Fear and Greed fell to 56 from 69, still in Greed after Thursday's drop. August core inflation (minus food and energy) rose 0.3% against 0.2% expected, lifting odds of a Fed rate hike on Wednesday the 16th to nearly 90%. The crypto market and stocks bounced anyway.

πŸ“° Key News Events
β€’ The Senate's first vote on the revised Clarity Act is Tuesday the 15th, needing 60 votes.
β€’ Blockstream refused a ransom for the 598.5 BTC (about $47 million) Liquid's hackers still hold.
β€’ Apple pulled the Pump.fun app from US and India stores, and PUMP fell 12%.
β€’ Bitwise will close its Dogecoin ETF on October 14th after gathering about $722,000.

✍️ Summary
Every major bounced and Ethereum is leading, so I remain tentatively bullish. With the hike nearly priced in, I am not chasing into Wednesday's Fed press conference. I am bidding only major support on the daily and weekly timeframes.

Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
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πŸ“Š Market Update | September 12th

Fear and Greed rose to 63 from 56 and the crypto market held its gains. A Fed hike on Wednesday the 16th is near 86% priced, and the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.97%, its highest since October 2023, so cash pays almost 5% risk free.

πŸ“° Key News Events
β€’ A fake government email got Revolut to hand over passports and full Bitcoin histories.
β€’ Brent settled at $104 after Iran agreed to Gulf talks in Oman on Monday the 14th. Oil drove August inflation.
β€’ Ben Delo and Christopher Harborne gave Β£36 million each to Reform UK, which may write Britain's crypto rules.
β€’ Ripple sees a $13 trillion treasury opportunity for RLUSD across 1,200 corporate clients.

✍️ Summary
Every major holds above its daily moving averages with momentum reset, so I remain tentatively bullish. I am not adding size before Wednesday and will bid major support on the daily and weekly timeframes.

Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
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πŸ“Š Market Update | September 13th

Fear and Greed is 61 (greed), down from 63, and the crypto market is quiet ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Goldman Sachs, the last major bank to switch, now expects a 25 basis point hike, priced above 86%.

πŸ“° Key News Events
β€’ Chainflip lost 736,442 USDT to replayed TRON transactions. The network is paused and users will be repaid.
β€’ The Senate's CLARITY Act test vote is Tuesday the 15th, but 7 Democrats still want changes, so passage is uncertain.
β€’ Circle's $400 million Tazapay deal pushes USDC into emerging economies, where Tether leads.
β€’ TRM Labs found most of the $52.7 million paid over x402 is not from AI agents, so real agent use is small.

✍️ Summary
Bitcoin and Solana are oversold on major support while Ethereum is weakest, so I remain tentatively bullish. I am not adding size before the Fed and will bid major support on the daily and weekly timeframes.

Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
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↗️ Altcoin Trade ↗️

COIN - Robinhood Chain

Reason: COIN recently launched with a thesis similar to USELESS (except on RH): Create a token with no immediate value but the token itself. It’s a recognized ticker and is supposedly run by a good team that’s starting marketing soon. As with anything, manage risk accordingly, DCA along the way, and only invest what you can afford to lose.

βœ… Buy/Bridge on the Robinhood chain using the BasedBot: https://t.me/based_eth_bot?start=r_CryptoData_b_0x6292521dda4240b585b9bfe5ee587f4f5d33e256

- Set buy/sell slippage to 5%

CA: 0x6292521dDa4240B585b9BFE5ee587f4f5D33E256

❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌
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🚨 MASSIVE WEEK AHEAD β€” EXPECT VOLATILITY 🚨

Everyone needs to be paying VERY close attention to the market this week.

We have a major macro/policy catalyst essentially every single day, and when you stack this many important events together, you can get some extremely aggressive moves across Bitcoin, Ethereum, alts, equities, bonds, the dollar, and global risk markets.

This is NOT the type of week where you want to be blindly overleveraged or ignoring the calendar.

Here’s what we’re watching:

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ MONDAY β†’ CHINA MONETARY ANNOUNCEMENT

China kicks off the week.

Any major shift in liquidity, stimulus, rates, or broader monetary policy can immediately impact global risk sentiment.

Crypto trades 24/7, so if China surprises the market, we could see volatility hit before the U.S. trading session even gets going.

πŸ› TUESDAY β†’ U.S. CLARITY ACT VOTE

This could be a major day specifically for the crypto market.

Regulatory clarity in the U.S. remains one of the biggest catalysts hanging over this industry, and traders will be watching both the outcome AND the language surrounding the vote.

Expect headlines to potentially move individual sectors and the broader crypto market very quickly.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ WEDNESDAY β†’ FOMC INTEREST RATE DECISION

This is arguably the biggest macro event of the week.

The market will be watching:

β€’ The interest-rate decision
β€’ The Fed’s language
β€’ Inflation commentary
β€’ Economic-growth expectations
β€’ Future rate-cut expectations
β€’ Warsh's press conference

Remember: sometimes the initial move immediately after FOMC is NOT the real move.

BTC can pump, dump, reverse, liquidate both sides and then establish the actual direction after Warsh starts speaking.

Be extremely careful with leverage around this window.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ THURSDAY β†’ JAPAN INTEREST RATE DECISION

Do NOT underestimate this one.

Japan’s monetary policy has become increasingly important to global markets because of the yen, Japanese bond yields and the massive amount of capital tied to global carry trades.

Unexpected hawkish or dovish policy can create volatility far outside of Japan.

Crypto will absolutely be watching.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FRIDAY β†’ FED ANNOUNCEMENT

And we finish the week with another Fed catalyst.

By Friday, the market will already have absorbed several potentially market-moving events, which means positioning could be extremely sensitive.

If the Fed gives the market something unexpected, we could see another major repricing heading into the weekend.

⚠️ THE BIG PICTURE

This is one of those weeks where the market could change character VERY quickly.

A setup that looks perfect technically can get completely invalidated by a single headline.

We could see:

β€’ Large BTC swings
β€’ Altcoin volatility increase dramatically
β€’ Sudden liquidation cascades
β€’ Fake breakouts in both directions
β€’ Rapid shifts in BTC dominance
β€’ Large moves in the dollar and yields
β€’ Increased correlation between crypto and equities
β€’ Opportunities created by overreactions

The biggest mistake this week would be getting complacent.

Manage leverage. Keep dry powder. Know exactly when these announcements are happening. Use stops. Don’t chase massive candles.

There will likely be plenty of opportunity, but surviving the volatility is more important than trying to catch every single move.

I’ll be watching the price action, liquidity levels, news and positioning throughout the week and updating everyone as these events unfold πŸ‘
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πŸ“Š Market Update | September 14th

Fear and Greed is 57 (greed), down from 61. The crypto market rose Monday as stocks fell on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's call to slow AI development. The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5%, highest since 2023, pulling money from risk assets.

πŸ“° Key News Events
β€’ Trump agreed to tougher CLARITY Act ethics rules. Tuesday's Senate vote needs 60, so at least 7 Democrats must cross over.
β€’ State attorneys general led by New York's Letitia James urged senators to reject it.
β€’ Brent topped $108 after Saudi Arabia shut its East-West pipeline, reviving inflation fears before Wednesday's expected Fed hike.
β€’ Bitmine added 27,180 ETH last week, holding 4.9% of Ethereum's supply.

✍️ Summary
Bitcoin, Solana and HYPE bounced from oversold readings while Ethereum holds its range, so I remain tentatively bullish, bidding only major support on the daily and weekly timeframes into Wednesday.

Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
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🚨 Weekly Market Overview Is Live

Bitcoin is pressing $79K heading into a massive catalyst week.

Inside:
πŸ“Š Clarity Act, FOMC + Japan rate decision
β‚Ώ BTC / ETH / SOL / HYPE setups
πŸ’° ETF flows + Fear & Greed
🎯 My BTC levels: $80.2K upside / $77K key support
⚠️ Why Japan could be the real wildcard

I’m still long from $75.6K with stops at breakeven.

πŸ“Ί Watch the full breakdown now: https://youtu.be/1RQJa9BZnZQ?is=Oa-jrBEx31-IIXKr
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πŸ“Š Market Update | September 15th

Fear and Greed rose to 69 from 57 (greed), but the crypto market gave back Monday's bounce as the US 10-year yield climbed above 5%, its highest since 2007, pulling money from risk assets.

πŸ“° Key News Events
β€’ CLARITY Act odds on Polymarket fell from around 30% to 14% after Republicans rejected the Democrats' counteroffer. It needs 60 Senate votes this afternoon.
β€’ CoinEx is shutting down after 9 years, with withdrawals open until December 22nd.
β€’ A House crypto tax bill would end the sell and rebuy tax write-off, with markup Wednesday.
β€’ An attacker drained about $7.8 million of rsETH through a flawed helper contract.

✍️ Summary
Monday's bounce did not hold and Ethereum shows real selling, so I've moved from tentatively bullish to neutral until the Senate vote and Wednesday's expected Fed hike. Bitcoin and Solana are oversold on support, where I'd bid once both clear.

Trade on Blofin: https://partner.blofin.com/d/CryptoData
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