This is a big announcement. Leftists have had their own free legal representation for decades. Conservatives haven’t.

This is because traditionally, conservatives have thought of politics as winning the debate. It’s comfortable. It’s institutional. They don’t have to be “mean” to anyone.

Until, enter Oversight Project ( @ItsYourGov ). Think of them as an actiontank instead of thinktank. The first such organization for conservatives to meet leftists on their own terms.

Creating the first-ever home for conservatives affected by lawfare is just the start.

The best AI safety we can do is stop the Anthropic IPO. It’s blatant that the EA people are going to cash in their billions and then spend it all taking over the world in the pursuit of a twisted ideology. It could dwarf the Soros and Singham monetary ecosystems.

Heed this warning.

Booyah. EA will be preserved for posterity.

EA/AI milestone: known-poster profile backfill completed and validated. 14,261 of 14,636 stable poster accounts now have full profile snapshots (97.44%); 375 nonreturns remain explicitly unexplained, and one profile has an unavailable alias field. 298 HTTP attempts used, within the 320 cap; zero inflight or unknown outcomes. This covers known posters, not every public account. Next is a cached feasibility check for broader profile enumeration. Local people-to-forum lookup is advancing to its next bounded test, preserving held identities.

AI makes sovereignty cheaper. That’s the threat. Sovereignty abhors competition.

I went to Budapest to research original materials on how the refugee / immigration infrastructure was set up.

George Soros and ARC set it all up, and Open Society continued building on that infrastructure since. MacArthur and Open Society were the two foundations in trailblazing the idea of migration-as-right. They were virtually alone in operating in this space up to that point.

Their perspective was not accepted widely until after the Arab Spring disasters, which soundly destroyed the Western perception on liberalism as a universal ideal that could be exported. But the West couldn't let go of the idea that Freedom Fries could be taught to the Taliban, so they started importing the Middle East to them en masse, starting with a bunch of EU court rulings. These became "international law" which Biden's administration then borrowed heavily.

The so-called "America First" crowd isn't difficult to understand. They believe America and globalists should withdraw from worldwide power projection, and the pro-Western globalists in particular are responsible for many ills.

Fine. But what they will never answer outright is - who fills in the regional gaps, if the answer is to withdraw from the world stage entirely while still preserving the position that globalists are the source of all immorality?

And now you get around to why Russia, Gulf states, and other foreign governments butter up these so-called America First influencers, and why they always become coy when it comes to foreign subversives like DSA, Neville Singham, and seemingly deny Muslim nations' role in intentionally running our countries over with illegal migrants. And, oh boy, do they get showered in a lot of money and accolades. Maybe they started out genuine in wanting to withdraw from the world stage, but somehow so many of them end up being courted with anti-Western state entities.

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AI's response when you ask AI to organize the network of Effective Altruists and AI safetyists

Also: EA insular gate-keeping is a feature, not a bug. The network/money between companies and nonprofits and policy is so circular, and their ethics likewise loose. I strongly suspect that Sam Bankman-Fried is the rule, not the exception.

🇺🇸🗳️ 23-Sept North Carolina Early Voting Update: The First Tea Leaves 🗳️

The DataRepublican North Carolina map is LIVE and is updating on a daily cron job.

Before any numbers: In 2022, Democrats led mail returns by 55 points at this stage and by 41 at the end, and Republicans went on to win the state's statewide races that year. So my analysis judges 2026 against the same point in 2022.

Shift from the same point in 2022 (42 days out):

🔴 R share of mail: −1.8
🔵 D share of mail: −4.9
🟡 I share of mail: +6.7

Raw D–R margin: 🔴+3.1 shift toward Republicans
With independents split by each county's R/D mail split: 🔵+1.3

Democrats are losing share faster than Republicans, and independents are taking it. The reason I still forecast an overall Democratic shift is because I assume those independents break the way their county's mail does, and so far they are breaking Democratic. In 2024, independents broke Republican. That is a big flag to watch here.

Military and overseas ballots, sent by email, are 29% of returns this year, compared with 8% in 2022, and they run about D+47 (unchanged). Without them:

🔴 Domestic D–R margin: 🔴+7.4 shift toward Republicans (D+29.8, against D+37.2 in 2022)
🔴 Urban domestic mail (the 7 biggest metro counties): 🔴+6.3 (D+56.8, against D+63.1)
⚪ White domestic mail: roughly flat (D+35.1, against D+34.6)

Raw counts so far (2022 same point in brackets):

🔴 R : 1,120 [1,501]
🔵 D : 3,971 [5,186]
🟡 I : 3,078 [3,011]

🟡 I leaning 🔴 R: 659
🟡 I leaning 🔵 D: 2,419

Caveats:
- Tiny sample. 8,169 ballots in a state that cast about 3.8M in the last midterm.
- 2022 is the best available comparison, but it still had COVID-era mail habits. That baseline is inflated for Democrats.
- 2024 can't be compared yet. NC mailed its civilian ballots 18 days late that year, after reprinting them to take RFK Jr. off, so almost everything back by this point in 2024 was military and overseas.
- NC has no permanent mail list, so every civilian ballot here was requested for this election. Early returners are mostly habitual mail voters: 58% are 65 or older.
- The overseas surge makes Democrats look better statewide than they are on domestic mail. Which picture holds depends on what the civilian returns do over the next few weeks.

This doesn't rule out a Democratic wave. It also doesn't show one. The real signal starts when in-person early voting opens in mid-October.

Website link below: 👇