The DEFCON Warning System
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Ongoing Geointel and Analysis in the theater of nuclear war. Established 1984
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Iran IRGC states that Iran will target Israeli nuclear sites with counterattack.
Iran says that the country's nuclear sites are "safe" and have not been impacted after Israeli strikes.
As a precaution, we are going to hold at Blue at least for the next couple weeks to see if Iran retaliates for Israel's attack on Iran territory. #DEFCON
Russia has moved its Iskander-M tactical nuclear missile systems to the border with Finland.
International Atomic Energy Agency says that Iran has tripled its uranium enrichment level to 60 percent and that Iran has no credible civilian justification for enrichment up to 60 percent.
DEFCON 5
Nuclear War Threat Assessment – 5/1/24 – The DEFCON Warning System - https://defconwarningsystem.com/2024/05/01/nuclear-war-threat-assessment-5-1-24-the-defcon-warning-system/
Russia orders tactical nuclear weapon drills. These are not normally a cause for concern, but we are watching for any further developments.
United States repeats its position that it sees no indication that Russia is preparing to use a nuclear weapon in Ukraine.
Iran says that it change its nuclear doctrine if Israel threatens its existence.
Integrated Deterrence: An Admission That America Is No Longer Militarily Dominant? - https://defconwarningsystem.com/2024/05/10/integrated-deterrence-an-admission-that-america-is-no-longer-militarily-dominant/
Media reports that Iran claims to have nuclear weapons are incorrect. The quoted source is stating an opinion, not a fact. ""In my opinion, we [Iran] have achieved nuclear weapons..."
Iran/Israel Conflict – Why DEFCON 4 – The DEFCON Warning System Digest - https://defconwarningsystem.com/2024/05/20/iran-israel-conflict-why-defcon-4-the-defcon-warning-system-digest/
The United Nations Security Council rejects resolution on banning weapons in space.