#Calendar
⚡️ Calendar of key events for this week:
Monday, December 1:
🔥 USA - Fed completes QT program
🇪🇺 EU - Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 12:00
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 18:00
Tuesday, December 2:
🔥 USA - Conference with J. Powell - 04:00
🇪🇺 EU - Consumer inflation CPI (nov) - 13:00
🔥 USA - Number of open vacancies in the JOLTS labor market (Sep) - 18:00
Wednesday, December 3:
🇪🇺 EU- Services/Composite PMI (Nov) - 12:00
🇪🇺 EU - PPI Prominflation (Oct) - 13:00
🇺🇸 USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment (Novem) - 16:15
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Services/Composite PMI (Oct) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Services PMI (oct) - 18:00
Thursday, December 4:
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30
Friday, December 5:
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Balance - 00:30
🇪🇺 EU - GDP (3Q) - 13:00
🔥 USA - PCE Price index (Sep) - 18:00
🇺🇸 USA - Consumer inflation expectations (Dec) - 18:00
@Сryptoz ₿
Monday, December 1:
🇪🇺 EU - Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 12:00
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 18:00
Tuesday, December 2:
🇪🇺 EU - Consumer inflation CPI (nov) - 13:00
Wednesday, December 3:
🇪🇺 EU- Services/Composite PMI (Nov) - 12:00
🇪🇺 EU - PPI Prominflation (Oct) - 13:00
🇺🇸 USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment (Novem) - 16:15
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Services/Composite PMI (Oct) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Services PMI (oct) - 18:00
Thursday, December 4:
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30
Friday, December 5:
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Balance - 00:30
🇪🇺 EU - GDP (3Q) - 13:00
🇺🇸 USA - Consumer inflation expectations (Dec) - 18:00
@Сryptoz ₿
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⊹ Bitcoin ETF (#BTC) = +$70,050,000.
⊹ Ethereum ETF (#ETH) = +$312,620,000.
⊹ Solana ETF (#SOL) = +$108,340,000.
⊹ Ripple ETF (#XRP) = +$243,950,000.
⊹ Hedera ETF (#HBAR) = +$4,220,000.
⊹ Litecoin ETF (#LTC) = +$414,950.
⊹ Dogecoin ETF (#DOGE) = +$2,160,000.
@Сryptoz ₿
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Purchase price: ~$89,960.
Now on the balance of Strategy is 650,000 BTC ($55.7b).
The company announced the creation of a dollar reserve of $1,440,000,000 (❗️) to pay dividends on preferred shares and interest on outstanding debts.
@Сryptoz ₿
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https://t.me/MpamBet
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▪#BTC = +$58,500,000.
▪#ETH = -$9,910,000.
▪#SOL = +$45,770,000.
▪#XRP = +$67,740,000 (12 green trading days in a row).
▪#HBAR = +$1,780,000.
▪#DOGE = +$513,430.
▪#LTC = $0.
The trading volume of Bitcoin ETF IBIT from BlackRock yesterday exceeded $3.7b and bypassed VOO from Vanguard - the largest ETF on the S&P 500 index ($3.2b).
@Сryptoz ₿
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🇺🇸 U.S. macro data:
▪️ Change in the number of employees in the non-agricultural sector from ADP (Nov)
FACT: -32K
FORECAST: 5K
PRE.: 47K
@Сryptoz ₿
▪️ Change in the number of employees in the non-agricultural sector from ADP (Nov)
FACT: -32K
FORECAST: 5K
PRE.: 47K
@Сryptoz ₿
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🤑 The Fed's balance sheet increased by $17,659,000,000 in one week!
▪️Miran, Fed Chair:
- I advocate for faster rate cuts to get closer to a neutral level.
- The Fed's monetary policy should be focused on 2027, not on past data.
- The growing role of stablecoins is increasing due to foreign demand.
▪️Williams, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy has shifted from moderately restrictive to neutral.
- I expect inflation to be 2.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027.
- The Fed is not conducting QE; current asset purchases are not aimed at long-term rate reduction.
▪️ Waller, Fed Chair:
- The labor market signals that the Fed can continue cutting rates without rushing or making drastic moves.
- The Fed's balance sheet is at a comfortable level, with reserves close to adequate.
- New asset purchases are not stimulating, and markets are barely reacting to them.
- I don't consider AI a bubble.
- Stablecoins will increase demand for the US dollar.
▪️ Goolsbee, Fed Chair:
- The rate could be cut quite significantly if it becomes clear that inflation is returning to 2%.
- In the long term, the rate level will be significantly lower than the current one.
- I don't support premature rate cuts without robust inflation data.
▪️ Bostic, Fed Chair:
- I supported the latest rate cut, but the decision was difficult.
- I would prefer to keep the Fed's monetary policy unchanged for now. - I don't include a rate cut in my 2026 forecast, expecting GDP growth of around 2.5%.
📌 Market expectations (#FedRates):
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- April 29, 2026: PAUSE.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 29, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.00-3.25%.
- September 16, 2026: PAUSE.
@Сryptoz ₿
▪️Miran, Fed Chair:
- I advocate for faster rate cuts to get closer to a neutral level.
- The Fed's monetary policy should be focused on 2027, not on past data.
- The growing role of stablecoins is increasing due to foreign demand.
▪️Williams, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy has shifted from moderately restrictive to neutral.
- I expect inflation to be 2.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027.
- The Fed is not conducting QE; current asset purchases are not aimed at long-term rate reduction.
▪️ Waller, Fed Chair:
- The labor market signals that the Fed can continue cutting rates without rushing or making drastic moves.
- The Fed's balance sheet is at a comfortable level, with reserves close to adequate.
- New asset purchases are not stimulating, and markets are barely reacting to them.
- I don't consider AI a bubble.
- Stablecoins will increase demand for the US dollar.
▪️ Goolsbee, Fed Chair:
- The rate could be cut quite significantly if it becomes clear that inflation is returning to 2%.
- In the long term, the rate level will be significantly lower than the current one.
- I don't support premature rate cuts without robust inflation data.
▪️ Bostic, Fed Chair:
- I supported the latest rate cut, but the decision was difficult.
- I would prefer to keep the Fed's monetary policy unchanged for now. - I don't include a rate cut in my 2026 forecast, expecting GDP growth of around 2.5%.
📌 Market expectations (#FedRates):
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- April 29, 2026: PAUSE.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 29, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.00-3.25%.
- September 16, 2026: PAUSE.
@Сryptoz ₿
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#altcoins
❌ Is the alt-season canceled?
From the market review from the market maker Wintermute - retail investors have started rotation from altcoins back to BTC and ETH. Institutionals have been steadily buying BTC and ETH since the summer.
➤ BTC domination is growing steadily throughout the second half of the year.
➤ Altcoins are sinking under the burden of token unlocking.
➤ Capital is concentrated only in BTC and ETH.
➤ The market is on the side due to holidays and low liquidity.
Conclusion: The alt season is possible, but not now. First, BTC should gain a foothold higher and show strength. In the short term - sideways and shake-ups from liquidations. In the medium term, institutionals will ensure growth.
@Сryptoz ₿
From the market review from the market maker Wintermute - retail investors have started rotation from altcoins back to BTC and ETH. Institutionals have been steadily buying BTC and ETH since the summer.
➤ BTC domination is growing steadily throughout the second half of the year.
➤ Altcoins are sinking under the burden of token unlocking.
➤ Capital is concentrated only in BTC and ETH.
➤ The market is on the side due to holidays and low liquidity.
Conclusion: The alt season is possible, but not now. First, BTC should gain a foothold higher and show strength. In the short term - sideways and shake-ups from liquidations. In the medium term, institutionals will ensure growth.
@Сryptoz ₿
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🇫🇷 Cryptocrime continues in France!
Three armed, masked men broke into a house in Manosque, tied up a woman, and stole a USB drive containing her partner's cryptocurrency.
The attackers acted quickly and purposefully. They weren't interested in cash, but in access to crypto assets.
✦ Last year, 14 "wrench attacks" were recorded in France.
✦ There were over 70 such attacks worldwide.
✦ The country is becoming a European hub for violent attacks against crypto owners.
A "wrench attack" is the use of physical violence or threats to gain access to digital assets.
@Сryptoz ₿
Three armed, masked men broke into a house in Manosque, tied up a woman, and stole a USB drive containing her partner's cryptocurrency.
The attackers acted quickly and purposefully. They weren't interested in cash, but in access to crypto assets.
✦ Last year, 14 "wrench attacks" were recorded in France.
✦ There were over 70 such attacks worldwide.
✦ The country is becoming a European hub for violent attacks against crypto owners.
A "wrench attack" is the use of physical violence or threats to gain access to digital assets.
@Сryptoz ₿
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#usdt
Tether has registered a trademark in Russia (ria)
The application for registration of the trademark "Hardon" was filed in October 2025.
In January 2026, Rospatent approved the registration.
The exclusive right is valid until October 2035.
The trademark can be used in the Russian Federation to work with:
• Financial services on the blockchain.
• Crypto payments and transfers.
• Exchange of cryptocurrencies.
• Consulting and trading in the field of crypto assets.
Hadron is a tokenization platform for real and digital assets (stocks, bonds, funds, etc.) The project was launched by Tether in 2024.
@Сryptoz ₿
Tether has registered a trademark in Russia (ria)
The application for registration of the trademark "Hardon" was filed in October 2025.
In January 2026, Rospatent approved the registration.
The exclusive right is valid until October 2035.
The trademark can be used in the Russian Federation to work with:
• Financial services on the blockchain.
• Crypto payments and transfers.
• Exchange of cryptocurrencies.
• Consulting and trading in the field of crypto assets.
Hadron is a tokenization platform for real and digital assets (stocks, bonds, funds, etc.) The project was launched by Tether in 2024.
@Сryptoz ₿
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