This applies to users who have done something recently on Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum, Polygon or Avalanche networks.
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#records
🔽 Nvidia (#NVDA) has already lost more than $250,000,000,000 market capitalization today...
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#inside
🇺🇸 The Senate is preparing for consideration of the CLARITY bipartisan bill on the structure of the crypto market in the period from December 8 to 14 (Eleanor Terrett)
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Eric Trump: «I would really like it to be true, but I didn’t say that.»
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#eth #rail
🥸 Vitalik Buterin transferred 1006 ETH ($2.93m) to Railgun - arkham
Railgun is a privacy protocol for anonymous transactions.
@Сryptoz ₿
Railgun is a privacy protocol for anonymous transactions.
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#hoodx #ftt
🔮 Robinhood and Susquehanna are launching their own forecast exchange.
Companies buy 90% of LedgerX, a regulated derivatives exchange previously owned by FTX. This gives them their own infrastructure for listing and clearing contracts for the outcome of events.
• The demand for event contracts is growing - in the 3rd quarter of 2025, Robinhood customers concluded 2.3b transactions.
• More than half of Kalshi’s turnover was accounted for by traffic from Robinhood.
• Now Robinhood will start promoting its products directly, and Susquehanna will become a liquidity provider from day one.
@Сryptoz ₿
Companies buy 90% of LedgerX, a regulated derivatives exchange previously owned by FTX. This gives them their own infrastructure for listing and clearing contracts for the outcome of events.
• The demand for event contracts is growing - in the 3rd quarter of 2025, Robinhood customers concluded 2.3b transactions.
• More than half of Kalshi’s turnover was accounted for by traffic from Robinhood.
• Now Robinhood will start promoting its products directly, and Susquehanna will become a liquidity provider from day one.
@Сryptoz ₿
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#mon #scam
⚠️ Monad users are attacked with fake translations.
The company’s technical director James Hansaker warned that attackers are trying to substitute addresses to intercept real user tokens.
How the scheme works:
• Fraudsters create vanity addresses that coincide with the first and last characters of the victim.
• Send zero fake transfers to get into the transaction history.
• Expect that the victim will copy this fake address at the next bridge or transfer and send real tokens to it.
@Сryptoz ₿
The company’s technical director James Hansaker warned that attackers are trying to substitute addresses to intercept real user tokens.
How the scheme works:
• Fraudsters create vanity addresses that coincide with the first and last characters of the victim.
• Send zero fake transfers to get into the transaction history.
• Expect that the victim will copy this fake address at the next bridge or transfer and send real tokens to it.
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The attacker pretended to be a courier, rang the doorbell and asked to «sign the delivery».
As soon as the owner opened the door, the criminal broke into the house, took out a gun, tied the man with scotch tape and for ~90 minutes, under torture and threats, forced him to empty his crypto wallets.
The house belongs to venture investor Lahi Groom, who used to meet Sam Altman. A second tech investor lives with him - it was he who opened the door.
This is part of the trend of «wrench attack» - when the owners of the crypt are attacked not by hackers, but by real people with threats.
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Elja: Huge amounts of ETH were transferred from the Gnosis Safe wallet to the exchanges. After years of sermons about «hold» and «technology first», he presses the sell button while the market bleeds. Is it again for «donations» or is it diversifying the portfolio? The chosen moment is incredibly suspicious.
Some crypts are sure that this is a standard storage reorganization scheme - no sales, transfers to the exchange and impact on ETH.
P.S. Vitalik Buterin transferred only 1006 ETH ($2.93m) to Railgun.
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🇺🇸 U.S. macro data:
▪️ Number of primary applications for unemployment benefits
FACT: 216K
FORECAST: 226K
PREG.: 222K
▪️ Basic orders for durable goods (m/m) (Sep)
FACT: 0.6%
PREVIOUS: 0.5%
▪️ Volume of orders for durable goods (m/m) (Sep)
FACT: 0.5%
FORECAST: 0.5%
PRECE.: 3.0%
@Сryptoz ₿
▪️ Number of primary applications for unemployment benefits
FACT: 216K
FORECAST: 226K
PREG.: 222K
▪️ Basic orders for durable goods (m/m) (Sep)
FACT: 0.6%
PREVIOUS: 0.5%
▪️ Volume of orders for durable goods (m/m) (Sep)
FACT: 0.5%
FORECAST: 0.5%
PRECE.: 3.0%
@Сryptoz ₿
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#Calendar
⚡️ Calendar of key events for this week:
Monday, December 1:
🔥 USA - Fed completes QT program
🇪🇺 EU - Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 12:00
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 18:00
Tuesday, December 2:
🔥 USA - Conference with J. Powell - 04:00
🇪🇺 EU - Consumer inflation CPI (nov) - 13:00
🔥 USA - Number of open vacancies in the JOLTS labor market (Sep) - 18:00
Wednesday, December 3:
🇪🇺 EU- Services/Composite PMI (Nov) - 12:00
🇪🇺 EU - PPI Prominflation (Oct) - 13:00
🇺🇸 USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment (Novem) - 16:15
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Services/Composite PMI (Oct) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Services PMI (oct) - 18:00
Thursday, December 4:
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30
Friday, December 5:
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Balance - 00:30
🇪🇺 EU - GDP (3Q) - 13:00
🔥 USA - PCE Price index (Sep) - 18:00
🇺🇸 USA - Consumer inflation expectations (Dec) - 18:00
@Сryptoz ₿
Monday, December 1:
🇪🇺 EU - Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 12:00
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (nov) - 18:00
Tuesday, December 2:
🇪🇺 EU - Consumer inflation CPI (nov) - 13:00
Wednesday, December 3:
🇪🇺 EU- Services/Composite PMI (Nov) - 12:00
🇪🇺 EU - PPI Prominflation (Oct) - 13:00
🇺🇸 USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment (Novem) - 16:15
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Services/Composite PMI (Oct) - 17:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Services PMI (oct) - 18:00
Thursday, December 4:
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30
Friday, December 5:
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Balance - 00:30
🇪🇺 EU - GDP (3Q) - 13:00
🇺🇸 USA - Consumer inflation expectations (Dec) - 18:00
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⊹ Bitcoin ETF (#BTC) = +$70,050,000.
⊹ Ethereum ETF (#ETH) = +$312,620,000.
⊹ Solana ETF (#SOL) = +$108,340,000.
⊹ Ripple ETF (#XRP) = +$243,950,000.
⊹ Hedera ETF (#HBAR) = +$4,220,000.
⊹ Litecoin ETF (#LTC) = +$414,950.
⊹ Dogecoin ETF (#DOGE) = +$2,160,000.
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Purchase price: ~$89,960.
Now on the balance of Strategy is 650,000 BTC ($55.7b).
The company announced the creation of a dollar reserve of $1,440,000,000 (❗️) to pay dividends on preferred shares and interest on outstanding debts.
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https://t.me/MpamBet
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▪#BTC = +$58,500,000.
▪#ETH = -$9,910,000.
▪#SOL = +$45,770,000.
▪#XRP = +$67,740,000 (12 green trading days in a row).
▪#HBAR = +$1,780,000.
▪#DOGE = +$513,430.
▪#LTC = $0.
The trading volume of Bitcoin ETF IBIT from BlackRock yesterday exceeded $3.7b and bypassed VOO from Vanguard - the largest ETF on the S&P 500 index ($3.2b).
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🇺🇸 U.S. macro data:
▪️ Change in the number of employees in the non-agricultural sector from ADP (Nov)
FACT: -32K
FORECAST: 5K
PRE.: 47K
@Сryptoz ₿
▪️ Change in the number of employees in the non-agricultural sector from ADP (Nov)
FACT: -32K
FORECAST: 5K
PRE.: 47K
@Сryptoz ₿
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🤑 The Fed's balance sheet increased by $17,659,000,000 in one week!
▪️Miran, Fed Chair:
- I advocate for faster rate cuts to get closer to a neutral level.
- The Fed's monetary policy should be focused on 2027, not on past data.
- The growing role of stablecoins is increasing due to foreign demand.
▪️Williams, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy has shifted from moderately restrictive to neutral.
- I expect inflation to be 2.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027.
- The Fed is not conducting QE; current asset purchases are not aimed at long-term rate reduction.
▪️ Waller, Fed Chair:
- The labor market signals that the Fed can continue cutting rates without rushing or making drastic moves.
- The Fed's balance sheet is at a comfortable level, with reserves close to adequate.
- New asset purchases are not stimulating, and markets are barely reacting to them.
- I don't consider AI a bubble.
- Stablecoins will increase demand for the US dollar.
▪️ Goolsbee, Fed Chair:
- The rate could be cut quite significantly if it becomes clear that inflation is returning to 2%.
- In the long term, the rate level will be significantly lower than the current one.
- I don't support premature rate cuts without robust inflation data.
▪️ Bostic, Fed Chair:
- I supported the latest rate cut, but the decision was difficult.
- I would prefer to keep the Fed's monetary policy unchanged for now. - I don't include a rate cut in my 2026 forecast, expecting GDP growth of around 2.5%.
📌 Market expectations (#FedRates):
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- April 29, 2026: PAUSE.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 29, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.00-3.25%.
- September 16, 2026: PAUSE.
@Сryptoz ₿
▪️Miran, Fed Chair:
- I advocate for faster rate cuts to get closer to a neutral level.
- The Fed's monetary policy should be focused on 2027, not on past data.
- The growing role of stablecoins is increasing due to foreign demand.
▪️Williams, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy has shifted from moderately restrictive to neutral.
- I expect inflation to be 2.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027.
- The Fed is not conducting QE; current asset purchases are not aimed at long-term rate reduction.
▪️ Waller, Fed Chair:
- The labor market signals that the Fed can continue cutting rates without rushing or making drastic moves.
- The Fed's balance sheet is at a comfortable level, with reserves close to adequate.
- New asset purchases are not stimulating, and markets are barely reacting to them.
- I don't consider AI a bubble.
- Stablecoins will increase demand for the US dollar.
▪️ Goolsbee, Fed Chair:
- The rate could be cut quite significantly if it becomes clear that inflation is returning to 2%.
- In the long term, the rate level will be significantly lower than the current one.
- I don't support premature rate cuts without robust inflation data.
▪️ Bostic, Fed Chair:
- I supported the latest rate cut, but the decision was difficult.
- I would prefer to keep the Fed's monetary policy unchanged for now. - I don't include a rate cut in my 2026 forecast, expecting GDP growth of around 2.5%.
📌 Market expectations (#FedRates):
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- April 29, 2026: PAUSE.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 29, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.00-3.25%.
- September 16, 2026: PAUSE.
@Сryptoz ₿
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#altcoins
❌ Is the alt-season canceled?
From the market review from the market maker Wintermute - retail investors have started rotation from altcoins back to BTC and ETH. Institutionals have been steadily buying BTC and ETH since the summer.
➤ BTC domination is growing steadily throughout the second half of the year.
➤ Altcoins are sinking under the burden of token unlocking.
➤ Capital is concentrated only in BTC and ETH.
➤ The market is on the side due to holidays and low liquidity.
Conclusion: The alt season is possible, but not now. First, BTC should gain a foothold higher and show strength. In the short term - sideways and shake-ups from liquidations. In the medium term, institutionals will ensure growth.
@Сryptoz ₿
From the market review from the market maker Wintermute - retail investors have started rotation from altcoins back to BTC and ETH. Institutionals have been steadily buying BTC and ETH since the summer.
➤ BTC domination is growing steadily throughout the second half of the year.
➤ Altcoins are sinking under the burden of token unlocking.
➤ Capital is concentrated only in BTC and ETH.
➤ The market is on the side due to holidays and low liquidity.
Conclusion: The alt season is possible, but not now. First, BTC should gain a foothold higher and show strength. In the short term - sideways and shake-ups from liquidations. In the medium term, institutionals will ensure growth.
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