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🔒 In April, altcoins for $3,880,000,000+ will be unblocked - Tokenomist

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#tradewar
🔽 The US stock market at the moment.

▫️BTC ~ $84,200. The S&P 500 index decreased by 1.3%.

▫️Reuters: China will take decisive countermeasures if the United States damages the interests of the country with its upcoming mutual duties.

▫️Inflation is higher than expected. The PCE base index (the key indicator of inflation in the United States) increased by 0.4% per month - this is the maximum for the year - Bloomberg

▫️»The threat of further tariff increases remains a key problem, but our economic forecasts do not foreshadow a recession in the United States» - UBS Global Wealth Management.

▫️General uncertainty about the impact of duties helps explain why the Fed left interest rates unchanged last week.

▫️Bloomberg: Donald Trump announced new duties on cars. The EU is preparing for negotiations, but so far all this is an additional stress for the markets.

▫️It is expected that trade relations between the EU and the United States will deteriorate - even if they agree, it will not be possible to fully return to the previous trade conditions.

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😯 FDIC allowed banks to work with cryptocurrency without prior approval - release

⊹ The main condition is effective risk management and compliance with reliability standards.

⊹ The old manual of 2022 has been canceled.

⊹ FDIC plans to issue additional guidance and replace outdated interdepartmental documents on crypto assets.

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#avax #gel
🤝 Avalanche and Gelato launch corporate blockchains - CT

Gelato offers a blockchain as a service (RaaS) service, with which institutional customers can quickly and inexpensively deploy their own networks based on Avalanche InterChain Messaging (ICM).

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#wlfi
🇺🇸 Democratic senators demand clarification from regulators about the #USD1 stablecoin associated with Donald Trump - release

- The launch of #USD1 from World Liberty Financial raises concerns about a possible conflict of interest in the presidential administration.

- The GENIUS bill, discussed in Congress, may provide Donald Trump with leverage over the actions of the Fed and the OCC, which threatens the independence of financial regulators.

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🇯🇵 Japan plans to equate cryptocurrency with financial products - nikkei

The Japanese financial regulator (FSA) intends to change the status of the cryptocurrency by 2026 - from a means of payment to a financial product.

The decision is related to the growth of fraud cases in the crypto industry.

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#Calendar
⚡️ Calendar of key events for this week:

Monday, March 31:
- nothing important

Tuesday, April 1:
🇪🇺 EU - counter-trade duties on goods from the United States come into force
🇺🇸 USA - The Fed begins to slow down the pace of balance sheet reduction (#QT)
🇪🇺 EU - Consumer inflation CPI (March) - 12:00
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Manufacturing PMI (March) - 16:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (March) - 17:00
❗️USA - Number of open vacancies in the JOLTS labor market (Feb) - 17:00

Wednesday, April 2:
🇺🇸 USA - «mutual duties» come into force for all countries
🇺🇸 USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment (March) - 15:15

Thursday, April 3:
🇺🇸 USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 15:30
🇺🇸 USA - S&P Services/Composite PMI (March) - 16:45
🇺🇸 USA - ISM Services PMI (March) - 17:00
🇺🇸 USA - Fed Balance Sheet - 23:30

Friday, April 4:
🇨🇳🇭🇰 China/Hong Kong - no bidding (Qingming Festival)
❗️USA - Nonfarm Payrolls (March) - 15:30
❗️USA - Unemployment rate (March) - 15:30
❗️USA - Speech by J. Powell (heads of the Fed) - 18:25

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#doge
🇺🇸 Elon Musk: «D.O.G.E. (Department of Government Efficiency) does NOT plan to use Dogecoin».

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🤑 SoSoValue: Net inflow of funds to spot Bitcoin ETFs for the past week = $196,480,000.

In Ethereum ETF, the net outflow of money last week amounted to $8,640,000.

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#x2y2
🚫 NFT marketplace X2Y2 will stop working on April 30, 2025 - blog

The total trading volume of the platform for three years was $5,600,000,000.

The X2Y2 team has been working on a new crypto project based on AI technologies for a year.

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#onchain
📊 Sentiment: 30,000 BTC ($2.4b) were withdrawn from crypto exchanges in the last week.

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#opinion
🧸 10x Research analysts predict BTC correction below $80,000 this week - original

Reasons: annual inflation expectations jumped to 5%, escalation of the trade war (April 2) + if the labor market remains strong, this may delay the Fed rate reduction.

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🥳 #HBAR Institutional private blockchain HashSphere based on Hedera debuts in the 3rd quarter of 2025 - coindesk

Purpose: to provide asset managers, banks and payment service providers with access to cross-border transactions with stablecoins.

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#usdc #inside
🔥 Fortune: Circle is going to apply for IPO to the SEC at the end of April!

«The issuer USDC is working on its long-awaited IPO with banking giants JPMorgan and Citi.»

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🤑 The Bitcoin Policy Institute offers the U.S. Treasury Department to buy BTC for $200,000,000,000 in reserves - document

Financing scheme: issue of «BTC bonds» (BitBonds).

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#Opinion
😯 MP Dragonfly Capital: «The current pessimism in the crypto market resembles the mood of 2018-2019.»

At that time, it was also believed that the industry would no longer bring profit. But the market recovered, and those who kept faith in cryptocurrency subsequently saw growth.

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#opinion
🤔 Arthur Hayes: «Bitcoin will exceed $250,000 by the end of the year.»

The analyst published a new essay claiming that the U.S. Federal Reserve no longer controls monetary policy.

In his opinion, the Fed, under pressure from the Ministry of Finance, is moving from the fight against inflation to public debt financing.

The main theses from the essay:

▪️#QT (balance reduction) slows down:
From $25b/month to $5b/month is +$240b of annual dollar liquidity.

▪️#QE (printing press) will probably resume in the coming months, which will create a potential liquidity of +$420b/year.

▪️By analogy with 2008–2009: Gold grew faster than stocks after the launch of QE. Now the same thing can happen with BTC.

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🔥 Grayscale has applied for Digital Large Cap Fund ETF - document

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🧐 CEO of DWF Labs: «If your project has suffered from Wintermute’s actions, please contact us - we are ready to allocate funds for redemption and develop a recovery plan for your token.

Daniele: «Wintermute has a big deal with World Liberty Financial and now they are getting rid of assets that do not fit into their new institutional image.

They have options for these assets, the profit is already fixed, so you can safely close the positions.»

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🔥 U.S. macro data:

▪️ Number of open vacancies in the JOLTS labor market (February)

FACT: 7,568M
FORECAST: 7,690M
PRE.: 7,762M

▪️ Manufacturing Sector Business Activity Index (PMI) from ISM (Mar)

FACT: 49.0
FORECAST: 49.5
PRE.: 50.3

▪️ Price index in the manufacturing sector from ISM (Mar)

FACT: 69.4
FORECAST: 64.6
PRE.: 62.4

▪️ Index of new production orders from ISM (Mar)

FACT: 45.2
PRE.: 48.6

▪️ Employment index in the manufacturing sector from ISM (Mar)

FACT: 44.7
PRE.: 47.6

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🤔 CEO of Wintermute: «We are not responsible for market fluctuations and are currently closely monitoring further developments. Our actions did not lead to the collapse of #ACT and other tokens, Wintermute was only engaged in arbitrage of the AMM pool after sharp price fluctuations.»

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