🇺🇸 US macro data (PCE):
▪️ Basic price index of personal consumption expenditures (YoY) (May)
FACT: 2.6%
FORECAST: 2.6%
PREV: 2.8%
▪️ Basic price index of personal consumption expenditures (MoM) (May)
FACT: 0.1%
FORECAST: 0.1%
PREV: 0.3%
▪️ Price index of personal consumption expenditures (y/y) (May)
FACT: 2.6%
FORECAST: 2.6%
PREV: 2.7%
▪️Personal consumption expenditure price index (MoM) (May)
FACT: 0.0%
FORECAST: 0.0%
PREV: 0.3%
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🇺🇸 After the debate with Joe Biden, the chances of Donald Trump winning the US presidential election increased to 64%. (based on rates on Polymarket)
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Consensys is accused of “unregistered securities sales” in the MetaMask wallet (Ethereum staking).
+ “As an unregistered broker, the company collected $250,000,000+ in commissions.”
ConsenSys is an Ethereum developer and the parent company of MetaMask.
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🇺🇸 The US Supreme Court helps the crypto industry.
▫️The US Supreme Court struck down the Chevron doctrine, limiting the powers of federal agencies (such as the SEC).
▫️Chevron gave regulators leeway to interpret the laws they were charged with enforcing—i.e. allowed its rules to be adopted until Congress passed a new law.
❕It will become more difficult for the SEC to take enforcement action against crypto companies due to the almost complete lack of legal and regulatory clarity in the crypto industry.
FOX: “This is a huge win for the crypto industry and other industries.”
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▪️Bostic, Fed Chairman:
– I think the Fed will cut interest rates once this year and four times in 2025.
▪️Daley, Fed Chairman:
- Good US macro data (PCE) came out today, but for now the Fed needs to continue the fight against inflation.
▪️Bowman, Fed Chairman:
- I am still not ready to support a Fed rate cut as inflation pressure remains elevated.
▪️IMF:
- The Fed should wait to ease monetary policy until the end of 2024.
- We predict one Fed rate cut this year.
- July 31: Pause.
- September 18: decrease by 25 bp. up to 5.00-5.25%.
- November 7: Pause.
- December 18: decrease by 25 bp. up to 4.75-5.00%.
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Long-term holders' average breakeven is still a long way off.
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- Bitcoin and Ethereum have surpassed Nasdaq, S&P 500, oil, gold, USD, government bonds, etc. in profitability.
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#calendar
⚡️ Calendar of key events for this week:
Monday 1 July:
🇭🇰Hong Kong - no trading
🇨🇦Canada - no bidding
🇺🇸USA - Manufacturing PMI (June)
🇺🇸USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (June)
Tuesday 2 July:
🇪🇺EU - CPI consumer inflation (June)
🔥USA - Speech by J. Powell
🔥USA - Number of open vacancies on the JOLTS labor market (May)
Wednesday 3 July:
🇺🇸USA - Nonfarm Payrolls from ADP (June)
🇺🇸USA - Initial Jobless Claims
🇺🇸USA - Services/Composite PMI (June)
🇺🇸USA - ISM Services PMI (June)
🇺🇸Minutes from the last Fed meeting
Thursday 4 July:
🇺🇸USA - no trading - Independence Day
Friday 5 July:
🔥USA - Nonfarm Payrolls (June)
🇺🇸USA - Lv. unemployment (June)
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#finflows
▫️Capital outflow from the crypto industry in a week = $30,000,000.
▫️Inflow of capital into crypto products related to #BTC = $10,000,000.
🩸Capital outflow from #ETH-related crypto products = $60,700,000.
▫️Last week there was a slight influx of capital into crypto products related to #SOL, #LTC, #LINK and #XRP.
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Those. the giant bought the Amber Japan crypto exchange (Sony's market capitalization is $100,000,000,000+).
Amber Japan is a rebranding of the Japanese crypto exchange DeCurrent, which market maker Amber Group acquired in 2022.
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A partnership agreement has been signed with the local crypto company BTguru.
The goal is educational activities, the introduction of payment programs (in the private and public sector) and tokenization of real assets (RWA).
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🇪🇺 Macrodata #ECB (Eurozone) - CPI:
▪️Consumer Price Index (CPI) (YoY) (June)
FACT: 2.5%
FORECAST: 2.5%
PREV: 2.6%
▪️Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) (June)
FACT: 0.2%
PREV: 0.2%
▪️Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (YoY) (June)
FACT: 2.9%
FORECAST: 2.8%
PREV: 2.9%
▪️Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) (June)
FACT: 0.3%
PREV: 0.4%
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#etf #finflows
💵 The inflow of funds into American Bitcoin ETFs continues, yesterday – +$129.45 million.
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✔ The United States has sustained economic growth and a strong labor market.
✔ We have made significant progress in the fight against inflation.
✔ More macro data is needed to decide on an interest rate cut.
✔ We have the opportunity to take our time and do everything right.
✔ The disinflation process has resumed.
✔ The Fed recognizes the risk of easing monetary policy too early or too late.
✔ The risks of the Fed's dual mandate are becoming more balanced.
✔ The Fed will respond to a weakening labor market.
✔ Inflation in the services sector is usually more stable.
✔ Inflation could return to 2% next year or in 2026.
✔ The US budget deficit is very large + its dynamics are unstable.
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#insider #listing
🇺🇸 Bloomberg: Robinhood is considering listing cryptocurrency futures in the US and Europe.
— It is planned to launch futures for BTC and ETH on the CME exchange.
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#not #ton
“Telegram Gaming Accelerator” is aimed at helping developers of mini-applications in Telegram - this should provoke a “new wave of games” on the TON blockchain.
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Media is too big
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The thing is that along with the keychain there is also a crypto wallet.
To avoid this situation, always save your seed phrase in a safe place.
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