📈 Is Bitcoin really “too risky”?

In 2025, the average 30-day volatility:

• Bitcoin: ~40%
• Tesla: ~73%
• Nvidia: ~55%
• Apple / Google / Amazon: 34%-42%

At the same time, about 12% of Americans own BTC, while 62% of the US population owns Tesla and Nvidia shares (including through pension funds).

It turns out that more volatile assets are held in the portfolios of the majority, who consider them “normal,” while the less volatile Bitcoin is still branded as a dangerous exotic asset.

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Bybit expands fiat infrastructure

Bybit is preparing to launch MyBank in February 2026, introducing direct fiat transfers via IBAN bank accounts.

The service will support 18 fiat currencies and allow instant conversion into crypto after deposits. Developed in cooperation with local banks, MyBank will require users to complete KYC checks with both Bybit and the banking partner.

Jurisdiction availability is still undisclosed.

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Epstein’s early view on Bitcoin

The “Epstein files” include a 2011 email where he acknowledged Bitcoin’s potential but highlighted its problems.

According to Ki Young Ju, Epstein invested in crypto but never believed BTC would become mainstream.

His skepticism remained, as shown by his 2017 response: “No.”

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Supply rotation in action

Large holders sold more than 80,000 BTC worth $5.3B over 8 days, reducing their share of supply to 68.04% — a 9-month low.

Small wallets keep stacking, lifting their share to 0.249%, the highest in 20 months.

Whales sell, retail buys.

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Another “bottom signal” appears for Bitcoin

X (Twitter) users are discussing a theory that every major crypto CEO conviction coincides with a Bitcoin bottom.
• 2018 — Vinnik.
• 2022–2023 — Do Kwon and SBF.
• 2024 — CZ.

On February 10, 2026, SafeMoon CEO Braden Karony was sentenced to 100 months in prison, while BTC trades below $70,000 after dropping from $126,000.

Is the bottom finally here?

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Vitalik Buterin calls for a reboot of prediction markets

Buterin argues that prediction markets are losing their purpose and sliding into gambling-style mechanics.

The rise is driven by naive users rather than serious demand, creating a low-quality mass product.

He suggests shifting the focus toward risk management and insurance use cases.

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📉 Altcoins under strong selling pressure

For the first time in a long period, the altcoin market has faced a particularly aggressive sell-off.

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Bloomberg: Apple pushes hard into AI hardware

Apple is ramping up development of smart glasses, a wearable pendant, and camera-enabled AirPods as part of its push to regain momentum in the AI space.

All devices will reportedly rely on a new, more advanced version of Siri.

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💵Dollar Outlook Amid New Risks

🟢The dollar’s outlook is currently seen as neutral and range‑bound. Despite intermittent pressure from the “AI losers” narrative and concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence on jobs, U.S. equities have not suffered a major hit, with indices still moving in a tight range.
​
🟢For the dollar, today’s releases, including ADP, consumer confidence, and speeches from Fed officials, will be key; a weak ADP print could exert mild pressure on the greenback. Overall, the dollar index is currently chopping sideways in the 97.50–98.00 range.

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🍀 Solo miner incredibly lucky

A solo miner, renting a small amount of power, was able to mine a Bitcoin block and receive 3.125 BTC (≈$200,000).

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⚠️ BlackRock restricts withdrawals from credit fund to $26b (Bloomberg)

Investors have started to massively pull money out of BlackRock’s HPS Corporate Lending Fund, which invests in the private credit market.

▪️ Investors requested withdrawals of 9.3% of assets 
▪️ Managers allowed only 5% to be withdrawn 
▪️ Instead of ~$1.2 billion, investors will receive about $620 million

Investor anxiety is growing in the $1.8 trillion private credit market.

Following the news, BlackRock’s shares dropped more than 7%, and other private credit sector managers also came under pressure.

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95% of Bitcoin supply already mined

The Bitcoin network has reached 20 million mined coins, about 95.2% of its maximum supply.

The final 1 million BTC will be released slowly over the next century-plus.

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🔼  California Gasoline Prices Up 18%

🟢Reuters: Gasoline in California now costs $5 per gallon and could reach $10, while the U.S. average stands at $3.63, amid the U.S.–Israel war with Iran.

🟢Over the past month, gasoline prices in California have risen by more than 18%.

🟢If the war continues, fuel output at California refineries will decline and West Coast states may have to cut fuel consumption by 20%.

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Buterin suggests faster Ethereum confirmations

Vitalik Buterin introduced a concept where transactions become final in ~12 seconds.
The system uses validator consensus instead of block depth.

This could streamline payments, deposits, and Layer 2 interactions.

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Polymarket launches world's first "Prediction Bar" for real-time monitoring 📍

The prediction giant is opening a venue designed for tracking global events. With Bloomberg terminals and Flight Radar on display, guests can stay updated on every major "situation" while engaging with Polymarket’s platform.

It’s the evolution of the newsroom — only with more drinks and actual skin in the game.

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🇺🇸 Crypto gets closer to US retirement accounts

A proposal to allow crypto in 401(k) plans has cleared final White House review. The Labor Department is expected to publish it in the coming weeks.

If approved, Americans will be able to hold crypto alongside stocks and bonds. The same framework opens access to private equity, private debt, and infrastructure investments.

The US retirement market is worth about $12T.

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From Founder to Sheriff: Justin Sun’s AI is tracking a billion dollars in crime

The era of hiding on-chain might be coming to an end. Justin Sun’s new AI detective system is here, and it’s already analyzed over $1 billion in criminal activity. Sun is backing the tech with a massive $100 million bounty program for those who help crack cases.

The project is leaning on international partnerships with authorities in the UAE, Hong Kong, China, and the US to bring high-profile crypto criminals to justice.

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