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🎙 HASSETT: "EXTENDED WAR WON'T HURT THE U.S. ECONOMY"
Hassett on extended war risks once said: “If the war were to be extended, it wouldn’t really disrupt the U.S. economy very much at all. It would hurt consumers… but that’s really the last of our concerns right now.”
Hassett on extended war risks once said: “If the war were to be extended, it wouldn’t really disrupt the U.S. economy very much at all. It would hurt consumers… but that’s really the last of our concerns right now.”
The CB Weekly Market Recap (March 29th - April 4th, 2026) ⚡️
🔴 The five-week losing streak of the U.S. stock markets is finally over.
🔴 The S&P 500 posted its first weekly gain since the war began, rising 3.4% on the week while the Dow added ~3% and the Nasdaq surged 4.4%. It’s also worth noting this trading week was shorter than usual with markets being closed on April 3rd for Good Friday.
🔴 The week's standout trading session was Tuesday – all three indices posted their best day since May 2025. The rally was brought about by reports of a possible diplomatic resolution to the ongoing Iran war.
🔴 Specifically, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump told aides he was willing to end U.S. military operations in Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remained closed. Shortly after, an unconfirmed report said Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was open to ending the war with security guarantees.
🔴 This momentum was further bolstered by the release of two economic data points on Wednesday. Retail sales came in better than expected for February at +0.6% (vs. +0.5% estimate), showing consumers held up ahead of the Iran war. ADP payrolls also showed that 62,000 private sector jobs were added in March, which is well above the consensus estimate of 39,000 jobs.
🔴 Though, it’s important to note that much of this optimism has since been tempered. Trump has since intensified his rhetoric against Iran, threatening to hit Iran "extremely hard over the next two to three weeks" if no deal is reached. Specifically, he threatened to target the country's infrastructure including bridges and power plants, while Iran reportedly struck additional sites in Arab Gulf states.
🔴 These developments have seen the price of oil remain elevated. By Thursday, WTI had spiked to $111.29, settling above the $100 price level for the first time since July 2022. It has also overtaken the global Brent benchmark in price – a rare market inversion that comes as the market bets on prolonged U.S. military engagement.
🔴 That said, there are signs that negotiations between Iran and other countries may be progressing smoothly. Notably, by the end of the week, we saw multiple ships linked to Japan, France and Oman passing through the Strait of Hormuz for the first time since the Iran war shut it down. We also saw a total of 13 ships cross the Strait since Friday morning, with 10 exiting the Persian Gulf and 3 entering. This is the highest weekly flow since the war began.
🔴 As for crypto, BTC remains stuck trading range-bound between $65K and $70K. Among major altcoins, Solana took a relatively big hit this week as news of Drift Protocol’s $200M+ hack created uncertainty and fear of possible contagion effects on other protocols on the chain.
🔴 Looking ahead, investors are waiting for the markets to react on Monday to the economic data releases that came out on Good Friday - the NFP jobs report and the unemployment rate. Notably, Friday's jobs report shows the economy added 178,000 jobs in March, nearly three times the market forecast of 59,000. Unemployment also ticked down to 4.3%, though largely from a shrinking labour force. That said, Monday (April 6th) is also the day of Trump's deadline for Iran to agree to terms or face strikes on its power grid.
🔴 Beyond that, we have the PCE inflation data (due Thursday) and the CPI release (due Friday) to look forward to. Notably, the CPI release this coming Friday will be the first print capturing the full impact of the oil shock on consumer prices. A hotter-than-expected CPI wo...
🔴 The five-week losing streak of the U.S. stock markets is finally over.
🔴 The S&P 500 posted its first weekly gain since the war began, rising 3.4% on the week while the Dow added ~3% and the Nasdaq surged 4.4%. It’s also worth noting this trading week was shorter than usual with markets being closed on April 3rd for Good Friday.
🔴 The week's standout trading session was Tuesday – all three indices posted their best day since May 2025. The rally was brought about by reports of a possible diplomatic resolution to the ongoing Iran war.
🔴 Specifically, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump told aides he was willing to end U.S. military operations in Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remained closed. Shortly after, an unconfirmed report said Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was open to ending the war with security guarantees.
🔴 This momentum was further bolstered by the release of two economic data points on Wednesday. Retail sales came in better than expected for February at +0.6% (vs. +0.5% estimate), showing consumers held up ahead of the Iran war. ADP payrolls also showed that 62,000 private sector jobs were added in March, which is well above the consensus estimate of 39,000 jobs.
🔴 Though, it’s important to note that much of this optimism has since been tempered. Trump has since intensified his rhetoric against Iran, threatening to hit Iran "extremely hard over the next two to three weeks" if no deal is reached. Specifically, he threatened to target the country's infrastructure including bridges and power plants, while Iran reportedly struck additional sites in Arab Gulf states.
🔴 These developments have seen the price of oil remain elevated. By Thursday, WTI had spiked to $111.29, settling above the $100 price level for the first time since July 2022. It has also overtaken the global Brent benchmark in price – a rare market inversion that comes as the market bets on prolonged U.S. military engagement.
🔴 That said, there are signs that negotiations between Iran and other countries may be progressing smoothly. Notably, by the end of the week, we saw multiple ships linked to Japan, France and Oman passing through the Strait of Hormuz for the first time since the Iran war shut it down. We also saw a total of 13 ships cross the Strait since Friday morning, with 10 exiting the Persian Gulf and 3 entering. This is the highest weekly flow since the war began.
🔴 As for crypto, BTC remains stuck trading range-bound between $65K and $70K. Among major altcoins, Solana took a relatively big hit this week as news of Drift Protocol’s $200M+ hack created uncertainty and fear of possible contagion effects on other protocols on the chain.
🔴 Looking ahead, investors are waiting for the markets to react on Monday to the economic data releases that came out on Good Friday - the NFP jobs report and the unemployment rate. Notably, Friday's jobs report shows the economy added 178,000 jobs in March, nearly three times the market forecast of 59,000. Unemployment also ticked down to 4.3%, though largely from a shrinking labour force. That said, Monday (April 6th) is also the day of Trump's deadline for Iran to agree to terms or face strikes on its power grid.
🔴 Beyond that, we have the PCE inflation data (due Thursday) and the CPI release (due Friday) to look forward to. Notably, the CPI release this coming Friday will be the first print capturing the full impact of the oil shock on consumer prices. A hotter-than-expected CPI wo...
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⚠️ HUGE: POWELL WARNS OF ZERO PRIVATE SECTOR JOB CREATION
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says the central bank is concerned about zero net private sector job growth, as Middle East war uncertainty clouds the U.S. economic outlook.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell says the central bank is concerned about zero net private sector job growth, as Middle East war uncertainty clouds the U.S. economic outlook.
❓ CHINA PROPOSES RULES FOR “DIGITAL HUMANS”
Draft regulations would require clear labeling of virtual human content and ban “virtual intimate relationships” for users under 18.
Public comments are open until May 6.
Draft regulations would require clear labeling of virtual human content and ban “virtual intimate relationships” for users under 18.
Public comments are open until May 6.
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▶️ LATEST: US and Israel reportedly struck Iran’s Fajr 1 and Fajr 2 utility facilities in the Bandar Imam petrochemical zone.
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‼️ CHARLES SCHWAB TO LAUNCH SPOT BTC & ETH
Charles Schwab plans to roll out spot BTC and ETH trading in the first half of 2026 via its Premier Bank unit.
This enables the $11.9T platform's users to trade crypto alongside traditional assets as it competes with major exchanges.
Charles Schwab plans to roll out spot BTC and ETH trading in the first half of 2026 via its Premier Bank unit.
This enables the $11.9T platform's users to trade crypto alongside traditional assets as it competes with major exchanges.
Forwarded from Molly_dsg
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The market moves in signals, but most people are just hearing noise.
Get the Free Future Signals that actually hit.
🔥 Why join us?
Don’t just watch the charts...dominate them!
📡 Join the Channel: @altcointrading
💬 Enter the Chat: @Altcointradingchat
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👀 U.S. GOV’T ASKS SATELLITE FIRMS TO WITHHOLD IRAN WAR IMAGES
Planet Labs says the U.S. government asked satellite imagery providers to indefinitely withhold images of the conflict region, according to an email sent to customers, per Reuters.
Planet Labs says the U.S. government asked satellite imagery providers to indefinitely withhold images of the conflict region, according to an email sent to customers, per Reuters.
🚨 BREAKING: Conflicting claims emerge over U.S. aircraft losses in Iran.
WSJ reports two U.S. C-130s were deliberately destroyed by American forces during a rescue mission.
Officials did not explain how the aircraft became stranded but said it was necessary to destroy them.
Meanwhile, Iran’s IRGC claims it shot down a U.S. aircraft searching for a missing officer over southern Isfahan, per Fars.
Fars also shared images of thick smoke rising from a field, saying “Trump’s desperate attempt to cover up a huge defeat.”
WSJ reports two U.S. C-130s were deliberately destroyed by American forces during a rescue mission.
Officials did not explain how the aircraft became stranded but said it was necessary to destroy them.
Meanwhile, Iran’s IRGC claims it shot down a U.S. aircraft searching for a missing officer over southern Isfahan, per Fars.
Fars also shared images of thick smoke rising from a field, saying “Trump’s desperate attempt to cover up a huge defeat.”
🚨 BREAKING: New footage shows wreckage of U.S. C-130s, as Iran claims it downed the aircraft during the American search for a missing F-15E crew member, Iran's Fars NA reported.
U.S. officials, however, say the transport planes got stuck on the ground and were deliberately destroyed by American forces to prevent them from being captured by the enemy.
U.S. officials, however, say the transport planes got stuck on the ground and were deliberately destroyed by American forces to prevent them from being captured by the enemy.
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🕯 76% OF TRADERS BET ON $120 WTI OIL THIS APRIL
A growing majority of traders now expect WTI crude oil to reach $120 this month, while 56% are pricing in a move to $130 as geopolitical risks tighten supply expectations.
A growing majority of traders now expect WTI crude oil to reach $120 this month, while 56% are pricing in a move to $130 as geopolitical risks tighten supply expectations.