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MIchael Saylor on why Strategy sold $BTC.
"The market's position was the company is worthless. Bitcoin is going to zero because they can't sell."
"So we sold the Bitcoin at $59,000 and it traded up."
"The market's position was the company is worthless. Bitcoin is going to zero because they can't sell."
"So we sold the Bitcoin at $59,000 and it traded up."
Over the past 30 years, the S&P 500 has continued to rise after reaching an ATH (All-Time High) in 13 out of 17 cases – gaining an average of +6.3% over the following six months. That is precisely what Wall Street bankers are pricing into their forecasts: between 7,900 and 8,100 points by the end of the year
1064 days of growth, 364 days of decline.
Every cycle has lasted exactly the same:
From the 2015 bottom to the December 2017 peak, 1064 days passed, followed by a 364-day bear market into the December 2018 bottom.
Then another 1064 days to the November 2021 peak, followed by 364 days down to the November 2022 bottom.
Bitcoin set its latest ATH on October 6, 2025 — exactly 1064 days after the November 2022 bottom.
If this pattern remains intact, the end of the bear market and the next bottom should fall on October 5.
Getting ready to buy.
Every cycle has lasted exactly the same:
From the 2015 bottom to the December 2017 peak, 1064 days passed, followed by a 364-day bear market into the December 2018 bottom.
Then another 1064 days to the November 2021 peak, followed by 364 days down to the November 2022 bottom.
Bitcoin set its latest ATH on October 6, 2025 — exactly 1064 days after the November 2022 bottom.
If this pattern remains intact, the end of the bear market and the next bottom should fall on October 5.
Getting ready to buy.
👀 My BTC Outlook for the Next 2–3 Months
In July, we came close but ultimately failed to reclaim June’s high ($67.3k).
It would make sense to absorb that liquidity first, and only then move lower
(This isn’t a certainty, but it’s entirely possible).
It would also be good to test the 21-Week EMA again
$58k isn’t the bottom!
The final wave of this bear market’s decline is still ahead
In July, we came close but ultimately failed to reclaim June’s high ($67.3k).
It would make sense to absorb that liquidity first, and only then move lower
(This isn’t a certainty, but it’s entirely possible).
It would also be good to test the 21-Week EMA again
$58k isn’t the bottom!
The final wave of this bear market’s decline is still ahead
👀 A whale opened a long position on ASTER with 4x leverage worth $4.3 million, plus locked up another $2.42 million worth of tokens for 4 years.
An interesting move—worth keeping an eye on. Especially since Aster plans to add a HIP-3-like feature on Hyperliquid for stock trading, and that’s where most of the trading volume is currently concentrated.
Plus, Binance itself has been actively building up TradeFi in recent weeks. It’ll be interesting to see if the ASTER token makes a move against this backdrop or not.
An interesting move—worth keeping an eye on. Especially since Aster plans to add a HIP-3-like feature on Hyperliquid for stock trading, and that’s where most of the trading volume is currently concentrated.
Plus, Binance itself has been actively building up TradeFi in recent weeks. It’ll be interesting to see if the ASTER token makes a move against this backdrop or not.
👍 Soon, even millionaires won’t be able to afford 1 BTC
No market review today—the situation remains the same as yesterday. So, let’s do a little math.
As of today, 20.07 million BTC have been mined—95.6% of the total supply. Only 4.4% remains, which will be mined by the year 2140.
But the actual amount of BTC in circulation is even smaller:
16.7% of coins are considered lost forever, and 5.2% are in Satoshi’s wallets—meaning ~22% of the supply can effectively be ruled out. In reality, about 75% of all BTC is actually available.
And the available supply will continue to decline: look at how much BTC large companies and funds are snapping up, and another portion will be lost or burned.
And finally, the most interesting part—a comparison with M2 (global money supply), which is constantly growing: the economy and inflation are structured in such a way that there is always more money in the world.
The rest is simple: BTC issuance is limited, the money supply is growing → part of it flows into BTC → the price rises. No cycles, bull markets, or other factors. Just math.
And one day, there will come a time when even $1 million won’t be enough to buy 1 BTC. To some, this sounds like a fairy tale, but when BTC was worth $100, a price of $100k also seemed like a fairy tale.
No market review today—the situation remains the same as yesterday. So, let’s do a little math.
As of today, 20.07 million BTC have been mined—95.6% of the total supply. Only 4.4% remains, which will be mined by the year 2140.
But the actual amount of BTC in circulation is even smaller:
16.7% of coins are considered lost forever, and 5.2% are in Satoshi’s wallets—meaning ~22% of the supply can effectively be ruled out. In reality, about 75% of all BTC is actually available.
And the available supply will continue to decline: look at how much BTC large companies and funds are snapping up, and another portion will be lost or burned.
And finally, the most interesting part—a comparison with M2 (global money supply), which is constantly growing: the economy and inflation are structured in such a way that there is always more money in the world.
The rest is simple: BTC issuance is limited, the money supply is growing → part of it flows into BTC → the price rises. No cycles, bull markets, or other factors. Just math.
And one day, there will come a time when even $1 million won’t be enough to buy 1 BTC. To some, this sounds like a fairy tale, but when BTC was worth $100, a price of $100k also seemed like a fairy tale.
❗️ Trump is threatening to bomb Oman if it stands in the way of U.S. objectives in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz.
💴 According to CryptoQuant, altcoin trading volume has reached a two-year high.
In recent days, the market capitalization of altcoins, excluding ETH, has increased by approximately $135 billion.
Liquidity is actively shifting from BTC and ETH to riskier assets.
Historically, this shift in capital has served as an important indicator that alt season is approaching.
In recent days, the market capitalization of altcoins, excluding ETH, has increased by approximately $135 billion.
Liquidity is actively shifting from BTC and ETH to riskier assets.
Historically, this shift in capital has served as an important indicator that alt season is approaching.