💰 Fun Fact: Less than 10% of the global population is invested in crypto.
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🐳 $BTC is trading below two of the most-watched on-chain support zones. Most people are panicking, but a few aren’t.
What the on-chain layer is saying:
— Price ~$77.5K, below Active Realized Price (~$89.4K) and True Market Mean (~$82.4K)
— Large addresses absorbed ~270,000 $BTC over the last 30 days (~$23B)
— Our Whale vs Retail Delta turned net-positive weeks ago
— MVRV-Z compressing into the historical accumulation band
— Smart Money Flow quietly rotated up while Crypto F&G was at YTD low of 10
— F&G has since ripped 10 → 60. The chair filled while the room was empty.
This is the texture of time-based accumulation, not momentum exit.
Joao Wedson has been saying it for months: this environment rewards patience over reflex. ARP and TMMP are the lines that historically frame mid-cycle accumulation, not terminal capitulation.
See ARP, TMMP, MVRV-Z and W-R Delta on one screen → link
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What the on-chain layer is saying:
— Price ~$77.5K, below Active Realized Price (~$89.4K) and True Market Mean (~$82.4K)
— Large addresses absorbed ~270,000 $BTC over the last 30 days (~$23B)
— Our Whale vs Retail Delta turned net-positive weeks ago
— MVRV-Z compressing into the historical accumulation band
— Smart Money Flow quietly rotated up while Crypto F&G was at YTD low of 10
— F&G has since ripped 10 → 60. The chair filled while the room was empty.
This is the texture of time-based accumulation, not momentum exit.
Joao Wedson has been saying it for months: this environment rewards patience over reflex. ARP and TMMP are the lines that historically frame mid-cycle accumulation, not terminal capitulation.
See ARP, TMMP, MVRV-Z and W-R Delta on one screen → link
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🇺🇸👀 #BTC There’s now less than 24 hours until the world’s largest Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas!
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 US Navy Seizes Iranian Tanker Transporting $380,000,000 Worth of Oil.
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🚀 Bitcoin's two consecutive bear markets (Q4 2025 and Q1 2026) mirror the tightening collapse of 2022.
#BTC was tested by tariff shock after a 30% drop from the $126,272 ATH.
Historically, what follows is an explosive recovery, indicating a repeating pattern. #tradewars link
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#BTC was tested by tariff shock after a 30% drop from the $126,272 ATH.
Historically, what follows is an explosive recovery, indicating a repeating pattern. #tradewars link
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🇺🇸🤔 Arthur Hayes: $15 Trillion in Credit Will Drive a $1 Million BTC
On April 10, 2026, BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes spoke at Korea Blockchain Week, analyzing the potential money-printing trajectory of the Fed and the US Treasury. He expressed that due to fears of issuing long-term debt, the US government is utilizing the Genius Act and stablecoin regulations to find price-inelastic buyers for short-term Treasury bills.
Hayes believes that if the government gains full control of monetary policy levers, it will lead to an estimated $15.2 trillion in credit expansion by 2028. He stated that this extreme macroeconomic easing will break the traditional four-year cycle and drive Bitcoin past the $1 million mark. #stablecoin link link
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On April 10, 2026, BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes spoke at Korea Blockchain Week, analyzing the potential money-printing trajectory of the Fed and the US Treasury. He expressed that due to fears of issuing long-term debt, the US government is utilizing the Genius Act and stablecoin regulations to find price-inelastic buyers for short-term Treasury bills.
Hayes believes that if the government gains full control of monetary policy levers, it will lead to an estimated $15.2 trillion in credit expansion by 2028. He stated that this extreme macroeconomic easing will break the traditional four-year cycle and drive Bitcoin past the $1 million mark. #stablecoin link link
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❤1
🤝 Babylon Foundation announced it will deposit 3 million USDT into Aave, with 2 million USDT allocated to V3 and 1 million USDT to V4. This move demonstrates support and confidence in Aave and DeFi. Any interest earned will be returned to the Aave ecosystem through Aave x Babylon integration incentives to support both current recovery and future adoption. link
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💰 Smart trader pension-usdt.eth is now down over $15.86M on his 1K $BTC ($78.88M) and 20K $ETH ($47.61M) shorts.
His total profit has dropped from $33.28M to $14.73M.
Can he turn it around, or will he end up like James Wynn and Machi Big Brother — giving back all profits and losing principal too? link
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His total profit has dropped from $33.28M to $14.73M.
Can he turn it around, or will he end up like James Wynn and Machi Big Brother — giving back all profits and losing principal too? link
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🗽 From April 20 to April 24 (ET), spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $824 million, marking four consecutive weeks of net inflows.
Spot Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $155 million, marking three consecutive weeks of net inflows.
Spot SOL ETFs recorded net inflows of $9.44 million, while spot XRP ETFs saw net inflows of $15.74 million. link
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Spot Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $155 million, marking three consecutive weeks of net inflows.
Spot SOL ETFs recorded net inflows of $9.44 million, while spot XRP ETFs saw net inflows of $15.74 million. link
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🔮 According to research, experienced traders on Polymarket make up only 3% of market participants, while all others fund their profits. link
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🇺🇸🤔 Traditional cross-border remittance giant Western Union’s CEO and President Devin McGranahan announced that its Solana-based, U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin USDPT is in the final stages of preparation and is expected to launch next month. USDPT will serve as an alternative to SWIFT for settlements with agents, initially in select countries with key partners. Western Union will also launch the Digital Asset Network to connect crypto wallets with its retail and agent network, and plans to roll out a USD Stable Card later this year across dozens of markets. #stablecoin link
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🔓 According to Tokenomist, major one-time token unlocks over the next seven days, with unlock values above $5 million, include SUI, JUP, SIGN, EIGEN, OMNI, and GUN.
Major linear unlocks over the same period, with daily unlock values above $1 million, include RAIN, SOL, CC, TRUMP, and WLD.
The total unlock value exceeds $330 million. link
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Major linear unlocks over the same period, with daily unlock values above $1 million, include RAIN, SOL, CC, TRUMP, and WLD.
The total unlock value exceeds $330 million. link
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