🇺🇸🔮 Polymarket traders now price a 33% chance of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026, down 11% from recent highs. #macro

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🇺🇸⚖️ MLB has named Polymarket its official prediction market exchange and signed an MOU with the CFTC to establish an information-sharing and integrity framework. Regulatory uncertainty remains, as the American Gaming Association argues that such markets fall under state-level sports betting rules. The agreement includes a termination clause if courts rule that prediction markets violate state laws. #regulation link

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😱🤑 Fear & Greed Index for #ETH

🐳 This mysterious whale spent another $36.75M in $USDT to buy 17,084 $ETH at $2,151.

According to Arkham's labels, this whale may be linked to ShapeShift founder Erik Voorhees. link link

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🐳 Whales are accumulating $ETH!

0xEb2a withdrew another 2,004 $ETH ($4.24M) from Binance 7 hours ago, and now holds 37,468 $ETH ($80.3M).

0xC551 withdrew another 2,150 $ETH ($4.63M) from Kraken 3 hours ago, and now holds 6,683 $ETH ($14.33M). link link

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🐳 A whale switched from short to long and opened 20x long positions in $BTC and $ETH, making over $4M by doing this frequently.

Stats:
- 9,336 $ETH ($20M)
- 284.68 $BTC ($20M) link

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💸 According to Bloomberg, crypto exchange Gemini has cut about 30% of its workforce since the start of the year, reducing headcount to around 445. The company reported a 2025 net loss of about $585 million, with Q4 revenue of roughly $60 million but widening losses. Previously, it had announced ~25% layoffs, exited the UK, EU, and Australia, and replaced several senior executives. link

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🕵️ UXLINK Exploiter has sold 5,496 $ETH for $11.82M $DAI in the past 1 hour.

#UXLINK got hit on September 22, 2025 when attackers took over its multisig wallet, draining more than $44M in the process. link

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🆕 $PHA listed on Bithumb spot link

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🇺🇸🤔 Morgan Stanley has filed a second amended S-1 for its spot bitcoin ETF with the SEC, confirming the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust will list on NYSE Arca under the ticker MSBT.

The filing discloses a basket size of 10,000 shares and an initial seed of 50,000 shares, expected to raise about $1 million. The amendment signals progress but does not guarantee approval; if approved, Morgan Stanley could become the first major U.S. bank to directly issue a spot bitcoin ETF. #regulation link

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🆕 $EDGE listed on Bybit pre-market link

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😱🤑 Fear & Greed Index for #BTC

🕵️ #RWA Coinbase has moved its Bitcoin Yield Fund to the Base blockchain.

It has launched a tokenized class of shares for this fund in partnership with the financial company Apex Group.

cointelegraph link

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🕵️ BillΞ.eth sold another 5,571 $ETH for $11.76M at an average price of $2,111, resulting in a $760K loss.

Buy high, sell low. link

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💼 Anchorage Digital launches collateral management services on the Atlas platform for institutional investors. link

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🚀 Mantle's lending and borrowing market has hit a new all-time high of $1.35B, ranking #3.

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💰 #ETHFI #PLUME EtherFi invested $25 million in the Nest protocol, based on #RWA from Plume. link

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📊 March 20 Options Data

23,000 BTC options expired, with a put-call ratio of 0.88, a maximum pain point of $70,000, and a notional value of $1.6 billion.

176,000 ETH options expired, with a put-call ratio of 1.04, a maximum pain point of $2,150, and a notional value of $370 million. link

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🆕 #BNB Binance Will Support the Dai (DAI) Token Swap and Rebranding to USDS (USDS) Binance Support

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📊 #BTC Crypto Market — Now Is the Time to Prepare

“Based on Realized Price and profit/loss metrics, Bitcoin is currently positioned slightly above the cycle lows seen in past market bottoms.” link link

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💼 #SOL Forward Industries, whose shares are listed on the exchange and whose treasury strategy is focused on Solana, has launched a share buyback program funded by a crypto-backed loan from Galaxy Digital LLC. This move underscores the growing use of digital assets in traditional corporate finance. link

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