Hi everyone. A quick and to-the-point update on my current market position.
My bearish stance, which I first mentioned back in September, remains unchanged. Moreover, I'm now seeing the market set a perfect trap for retail traders, and I want you all to be prepared for it.
Here are my key points:
News is Noise. Forget about news as a catalyst for market moves. It's just the explanation you get after the fact. The chart already knows everything, and right now, it's pointing to a coming decline.
The Crowd is Trapped. Most are stuck in altcoins, waiting for a mythical "altseason." They don't realize that the brief 20-30% pump we saw was the altseason. Now, their liquidity is the fuel for the next leg down.
The BTC Chart Shows a Classic Trap. We are holding an obvious support trendline. This is being done intentionally to encourage buying and build up liquidity. When the trap springs, we will see a cascade of liquidations.
What I'm doing and what I recommend:
The answer is simple: Wait.
I'm not making any rash trades. I am waiting for the "Great Cleansing" of the market from junk projects, which is inevitably coming. After that, there will be fantastic opportunities to enter strong assets at excellent prices. Now is the time for research, not for panic moves.
For a Deep Dive: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/24Yf3Pkb-The-Market-is-at-80-C-What-Happens-at-100-C/
Stay patient and stay smart. Great opportunities are coming soon.
⚡ WhiteBIT 📈 Bybit
➡️YOUTUBE
🔗EXCAVO Academy 2025
♾ News Aggregator
My bearish stance, which I first mentioned back in September, remains unchanged. Moreover, I'm now seeing the market set a perfect trap for retail traders, and I want you all to be prepared for it.
Here are my key points:
News is Noise. Forget about news as a catalyst for market moves. It's just the explanation you get after the fact. The chart already knows everything, and right now, it's pointing to a coming decline.
The Crowd is Trapped. Most are stuck in altcoins, waiting for a mythical "altseason." They don't realize that the brief 20-30% pump we saw was the altseason. Now, their liquidity is the fuel for the next leg down.
The BTC Chart Shows a Classic Trap. We are holding an obvious support trendline. This is being done intentionally to encourage buying and build up liquidity. When the trap springs, we will see a cascade of liquidations.
What I'm doing and what I recommend:
The answer is simple: Wait.
I'm not making any rash trades. I am waiting for the "Great Cleansing" of the market from junk projects, which is inevitably coming. After that, there will be fantastic opportunities to enter strong assets at excellent prices. Now is the time for research, not for panic moves.
For a Deep Dive: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/24Yf3Pkb-The-Market-is-at-80-C-What-Happens-at-100-C/
Stay patient and stay smart. Great opportunities are coming soon.
⚡ WhiteBIT 📈 Bybit
➡️YOUTUBE
🔗EXCAVO Academy 2025
♾ News Aggregator
📊👀 #BTC Bitwise: While Long-terms holders continued to distribute bitcoins, there's been a gradual increase in whale holdings over the past 2 weeks.
Probably a bit too early to tell due to possible revisions but this is sth to keep an eye on...
Probably a bit too early to tell due to possible revisions but this is sth to keep an eye on...
❤1
🙅♂️ DappRadar announced a gradual closure due to financial difficulties.
🇺🇸🕹 The White House is currently reviewing a policy that allows the US IRS to look at citizens' offshore crypto assets.
📊👀 #BTC Glassnode Report: Overall, Bitcoin is experiencing a period of consolidation after a sharp drop: oversold and moderate outflows indicate early signs of stabilization. While profitability remains under pressure, the emergence of attrition signals suggests that the market may be forming a local bottom in the $94 to $100k range. Selling pressure in key cohorts is also easing.
📊 #ZEC Report Zcash Foundation for the third quarter of 2025:
- Have >$15.8M in liquid assets (including >$9M worth of ZEC);
- Q3 expenses totaled $598,131.
- Have >$15.8M in liquid assets (including >$9M worth of ZEC);
- Q3 expenses totaled $598,131.
📊👀 #BTC is heading towards two areas of high liquidity:
- BTC Liquidations heatmap: Long liquidations between 80 and 90K;
- CME gap (true gap, no wicks) 92.0 - 92.5K;
- Bitcoin has broken down the weekly supertrend and the EMA50.
90K should be a bounce area - from here we will see if this will translate into a breakout to the upside or if we are continuing towards mid-80Ks. x
- BTC Liquidations heatmap: Long liquidations between 80 and 90K;
- CME gap (true gap, no wicks) 92.0 - 92.5K;
- Bitcoin has broken down the weekly supertrend and the EMA50.
90K should be a bounce area - from here we will see if this will translate into a breakout to the upside or if we are continuing towards mid-80Ks. x
📉💸 #BTC CQ: Another wave of Short-Term Holder capitulation. 31,800 BTC just hit exchanges at a loss—signaling growing panic among recent buyers.
🤕 Sentiment: The vast majority of cryptocurrencies are now flashing extreme pain for average trading returns. Wallets active in the past 30 days have an average performance of:
#ADA: -19.7% (Extreme Buy Zone);
#LINK: -16.8% (Extreme Buy Zone);
#ETH: -15.4% (Extreme Buy Zone);
#BTC: -11.5% (Good Buy Zone);
#XRP: -10.2% (Good Buy Zone).
#ADA: -19.7% (Extreme Buy Zone);
#LINK: -16.8% (Extreme Buy Zone);
#ETH: -15.4% (Extreme Buy Zone);
#BTC: -11.5% (Good Buy Zone);
#XRP: -10.2% (Good Buy Zone).
📊🤔 #BTC Swissblock: The Risk-Off Signal has climbed back to selling pressure levels last seen in the late-Feb to early-Apr correction.
That phase was defined by persistent stress that delayed Bitcoin’s bottom until early April, with no return to low-risk until mid-month.
That phase was defined by persistent stress that delayed Bitcoin’s bottom until early April, with no return to low-risk until mid-month.
📉👀 #XRP Glassnode: The share of XRP supply in profit has fallen to 58.5%, the lowest since Nov 2024, when price was $0.53.
Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss — a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers.
Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss — a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers.