Events that, in my opinion, may occur in the near future and affect the value of all assets are listed below in descending order of probability:
1️⃣ strict regulation of cryptocurrencies in the USA (they will leave only the most “flexible” to the requirements);
2️⃣ bankruptcy of US banks with the sale of their assets + recession with the launch of the printing press;
3️⃣ Poland and Romania (NATO countries) will enter the territory of western Ukraine under the pretext of assistance, occupy territories, after which they will say everywhere that this is the beginning of the 3rd world war between NATO and the Russian Federation, but the NATO charter does not oblige to support countries that themselves enter into conflict and foreign territory (as a result, NATO countries will receive land for their help + BlackRock has already bought out all the black soil and signed a memorandum of understanding, everything has already been divided and predetermined);
4️⃣ in response to the supply of ammunition with combined uranium to Ukraine, the Russian Federation will conduct nuclear tests, or strike low-yield nuclear weapons at the accumulation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for example, in the city of Bakhmut (after low-yield nuclear weapons, you can safely move around in a couple of days);
5️⃣ new conflict of countries with nuclear weapons: Iran - Israel, China - Taiwan, North. Korea - South;
6️⃣ new outbreaks of deadly viruses will appear around the world;
7️⃣ the strongest natural disasters in developed countries.
If you are not interested in politics, it does not mean that politics is not interested in you!
🚨I think we will see at least 2 events, which means there will be a strong shake-up of all markets!

#BTC, we are at the global resistance, there are divergences, the situation is now similar to March 2021, I bet the least on the movement into the red zone, 2 weekly candles closed in Doji, the movement of the arrows showed conditionally, the main goal, I think that the bottom is not passed!

#AAPL, like Bitcoin, is looking down, rested on the top of the channel, copied the movement of April 2022, do not forget that Apple is the engine of US shares, respectively, when it falls, it will pull the entire market down (but, when it breaks up, we go to update the highs).

#BTC have retested the Head and Shoulders, we are going down in the channel.

Here the channel was broken, the script is canceled.

As expected, the alta sank well and this is just the beginning of a strong fall, for example #APT 02/10/2023 recommended to sell at the very highs, now -63% and will fall by at least 40%, no matter what rebounds there will be, we will see most altos -40% -60% from current. I remind you that since the opening of the channel, I have never made a mistake on the crypt (for BTC, the goals are the same)👍

BTC is at its highs over the past year, with most altcoins near their lows or renewing the bottom. Everything happened in the same way in past cycles, for example #DOGE , from past highs to growth momentum, on average, it takes 1100 days, from a sharp drop to an 800-day momentum, so accumulation can occur until about July 2024 (by the US elections), but the market becomes large and accumulation can take much longer. Pay attention while DOGE kept in one range, EOS, XRP etc... continued to fall, and now while some are consolidating in one range, others are flying down ALGO 1INCH CAKE etc...
🚀Now we are only in the middle of accumulation, in the coming year we will in any case see even lower prices for many alts...

We have approached the key level of $46,250 #BTC; this price will be the annual resistance of the candle body. In 2019 we did a retest of this level, and now it’s possible to do the same. The whole story was an ascending candle, then corrections, then accumulation and growth with breaking through the level. If the year consolidates above $46,250, we will go up.

Why would the launch of an ETF be a bad sign for crypto?
In the summer, I already talked about the negative effect of the #BTC ETF, on the screen the launch of new trading outside the crypto market and always after the launch there was a drain. Now they promise to resolve the issue with the launch - on January 10th, as a result this will become a negative for the crypt (but in the short term, short-term growth is possible from those who perceive this as a positive), in the event of the next transfer of the ETF - there will be disappointment, which will turn into either a flat or slow fall.
Why is there a drain on ETF launch? Because ETFs can be shorted!

Please note that all the old violas have divers and they are similar to the false rebound of 2019, earlier I said that I was waiting for a selective rebound on the viola, at the moment this happened, the new viola shot well. On the #ETH chart as an example, on many alts and Bitcoin you can see a divergence even during the week. Please note that divergences can only be used from a touch/breakout of the trend RSI, otherwise the price may drag on for a long time.
❗️Today from 16:00 to 18:00 New York time the SEC will announce a decision, my post above explains why the result for the crypt will be one fall, even if the ETF is accepted, the rebound will be maximum in the small time.
❗️Pay attention to all this clownery with constant Twitter hacks, they don’t even bother with the idea of how to manipulate the market, those who in the market have only hope for the ETF and this news is only fueled by promises and fake stuff every day. According to Bitka, Gary’s feet were shot beautifully.

#GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) is the main Bitcoin fund on the exchange market, pay attention to the record surge in volumes, at the highs and what this led to earlier (highlighted in red), the funds were clearly unloaded on the hype of the ETF launch. I expect a drop from the current one, according to BTS without updating $50t, according to #SPX no higher than $5000, ideally from the current one down to a serious correction.

For alta, I expect approximately a movement into the green zone, in order to knock out stops; altcoins with such a chart are now the majority, that is, I expect a drawdown from the current ones of approximately 50% from a regular alta and up to 70% from an alto that has been shot. According to TA, we will be below accumulation, to which analysts will say that we have hit resistance, but essentially the situation will be the same as in 2020. Ideally, to see a strong strait (capitulation), in the next post I will explain what this will be connected with and why so many negative events have been happening in the world over the past 2 years.

In the last video, I talked about buying viola, focusing on dex, from that moment the alta gave 50-100% profit. I believe that if there are no stablecoins to buy in case of a collapse, then it is better to fix half of the altcoins now.
According to #BTC, there is euphoria and it is extremely difficult to guess the peak of such a movement, but you can pay attention to the divergence on the weekly chart and an attempt to close with a red reversal candlestick. In general, there are a lot of prerequisites for a correction in Bitcoin, the asset is extremely overheated, especially in comparison with most altcoins...