US Q4 GDP price index rose 3.7% annualized QoQ, above the 2.9% estimate.
December PCE price index increased 0.4% MoM versus 0.3% expected, and 2.9% YoY versus 2.8% forecast.
The GDP price index reflects broad inflation pressures in the economy. PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
December PCE price index increased 0.4% MoM versus 0.3% expected, and 2.9% YoY versus 2.8% forecast.
The GDP price index reflects broad inflation pressures in the economy. PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
That reduces the urgency for rate cuts and supports a higher-for-longer policy stance.
For markets, that is typically negative for risk assets and supportive for the dollar and yields in the short term.
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BREAKING: Trump plans to impose tariffs in a different way after his loss at the Supreme Court, per NYT
Trump plans to invoke new trade authorities after ruling.
Trump plans to invoke new trade authorities after ruling.
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💵 A falling dollar is not the crisis headlines claim
The US dollar dropped about 9% against major currencies in 2025 and lost another 1.5% in the first weeks of 2026. Media coverage frames this as a problem.
➡️ The mechanics point elsewhere. When returns fade in traditional dollar safe havens like US Treasuries, capital does not wait. It moves further out on the risk curve, including into crypto.
➡️ The last comparable dollar slide was in 2017. That year, $BTC went from roughly $1,000 to $20,000.
➡️ The market is much larger now, so broad 20x moves are unlikely. Still, if $DXY keeps sliding toward the 90 area, the pressure will show up in asset prices.
A weaker dollar is not a headwind for risk.
It tends to act like fuel.
The US dollar dropped about 9% against major currencies in 2025 and lost another 1.5% in the first weeks of 2026. Media coverage frames this as a problem.
➡️ The mechanics point elsewhere. When returns fade in traditional dollar safe havens like US Treasuries, capital does not wait. It moves further out on the risk curve, including into crypto.
➡️ The last comparable dollar slide was in 2017. That year, $BTC went from roughly $1,000 to $20,000.
➡️ The market is much larger now, so broad 20x moves are unlikely. Still, if $DXY keeps sliding toward the 90 area, the pressure will show up in asset prices.
A weaker dollar is not a headwind for risk.
It tends to act like fuel.
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🦞 AI bot sent $270K to a random commenter
An OpenAI developer known as Pash launched an experiment with OpenClaw, giving a bot called Lobstar Wilde a $50,000 budget and a goal to turn it into $1M.
The model had access to X, a crypto wallet, and other tools, and quickly gained attention online.
Soon, unknown users created a meme token called $LOBSTAR and made the AI the recipient of trading fees.
At one point, the bot controlled about 5% of the token supply.
After Pash reset the model due to technical issues, Lobstar suddenly sent 52M LOBSTAR tokens, worth about $270,000 at the time, to a commenter asking for 4 SOL for “uncle’s treatment.”
The AI had forgotten its balance context and transferred its full holdings instead of the intended equivalent.
Within an hour, market cap recovered and moved above pre-incident levels. The initial loss reportedly grew toward $450,000 before the recovery.
An OpenAI developer known as Pash launched an experiment with OpenClaw, giving a bot called Lobstar Wilde a $50,000 budget and a goal to turn it into $1M.
The model had access to X, a crypto wallet, and other tools, and quickly gained attention online.
Soon, unknown users created a meme token called $LOBSTAR and made the AI the recipient of trading fees.
At one point, the bot controlled about 5% of the token supply.
After Pash reset the model due to technical issues, Lobstar suddenly sent 52M LOBSTAR tokens, worth about $270,000 at the time, to a commenter asking for 4 SOL for “uncle’s treatment.”
The AI had forgotten its balance context and transferred its full holdings instead of the intended equivalent.
Within an hour, market cap recovered and moved above pre-incident levels. The initial loss reportedly grew toward $450,000 before the recovery.
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JUST IN: Ⓜ️ Meta is planning a stablecoin comeback in late 2026 by integrating existing stablecoins like USDC for payments on Instagram and WhatsApp.
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All planning must happen before the session.
During the session: execute.
If you’re “figuring it out” live, you’re gambling.
During the session: execute.
If you’re “figuring it out” live, you’re gambling.
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JPMorgan $JPM CEO Jamie Dimon said he is starting to see parallels between today's market and the era before the 2008 financial crisis.
"Unfortunately, we did see this in ’05, ’06 and ’07, almost the same thing - the rising tide was lifting all boats, everyone was making a lot of money.”
"Unfortunately, we did see this in ’05, ’06 and ’07, almost the same thing - the rising tide was lifting all boats, everyone was making a lot of money.”
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To stop overtrading you have to reprogram your mind to not associate productivity with activity.
Most of you overtrade because you’re uncomfortable doing nothing.
You can’t sit on your hands.
Most of you overtrade because you’re uncomfortable doing nothing.
You can’t sit on your hands.
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‼️ $75B crypto scam king extradited to China
Chen Zhi was extradited from Cambodia to China after authorities linked him to roughly $75B in crypto scams and related fraud over the past 5–10 years.
US law enforcement seized 126 properties and about $15B in BTC. Part of the funds were converted into Monero, while some members of the network fled abroad and avoided arrest.
Chen controlled scam operations at scale, ran thousands of social media accounts, and expanded into luxury goods through his holding company Prince Group, including control over parts of the Cuban cigar trade.
Chinese authorities released arrest footage and are treating the case as a major crackdown on crypto-enabled crime.
Chen Zhi was extradited from Cambodia to China after authorities linked him to roughly $75B in crypto scams and related fraud over the past 5–10 years.
US law enforcement seized 126 properties and about $15B in BTC. Part of the funds were converted into Monero, while some members of the network fled abroad and avoided arrest.
Chen controlled scam operations at scale, ran thousands of social media accounts, and expanded into luxury goods through his holding company Prince Group, including control over parts of the Cuban cigar trade.
Chinese authorities released arrest footage and are treating the case as a major crackdown on crypto-enabled crime.
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This is the first crypto adoption catalyst in a LONG time with clear positive impact on price.
When bad news hit outside of normal trading hours the only option was selling BTC/ETH.
But onchain stocks are inevitable.
Coins become easier to hold when you can hedge your stocks 24/7.
When bad news hit outside of normal trading hours the only option was selling BTC/ETH.
But onchain stocks are inevitable.
Coins become easier to hold when you can hedge your stocks 24/7.
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📈 Extreme debt cycles and gold’s role
Periods of extreme debt have historically coincided with rising geopolitical tension. That pattern has repeated across major global turning points.
If deglobalization is structural rather than temporary, portfolio construction shifts with it. Politically neutral hard assets move from tactical exposure to core allocation.
Periods of extreme debt have historically coincided with rising geopolitical tension. That pattern has repeated across major global turning points.
If deglobalization is structural rather than temporary, portfolio construction shifts with it. Politically neutral hard assets move from tactical exposure to core allocation.
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