This move resulted in the largest single-day liquidation event on record, with over $19 billion in positions wiped out across the market.

Following the record $19B liquidation event, the key question now is how long it will take for market sentiment and liquidity conditions to stabilize and support a sustained recovery.

The number of destroyed trader accounts reached over 1.66 million — far surpassing typical liquidation events, which usually affect ~200,000 accounts.

Contributing factors included macro-political tensions, such as U.S. tariff threats against China, which exacerbated market volatility.

Some individual traders gained enormously: one notable whale reportedly closed ~90% of their BTC short and fully exited their ETH short for a ~$190–200 million profit.

Binance, once regarded as one of the more stable exchanges, appeared to experience the deepest price deviations during the recent crash — triggering widespread liquidations and raising renewed concerns over spreads, order-book depth, and potential insider activity. This episode underscores growing skepticism about structural stability within the crypto ecosystem.

The broader market now resembles a carousel of volatility, with increasing numbers of participants stepping back or losing confidence. The key question emerging is whether this correction represents a generational buying opportunity or signals a deeper structural decline for the crypto market.

We anticipate one additional downside move before the market attempts to revisit higher levels. Widespread panic has spread across the market, with liquidity thinning out as order books remain unfilled — a direct consequence of the extensive liquidations triggered during the recent crash.

We anticipate a minor market correction followed by a strong upward move—similar to Bitcoin’s performance 12 years ago. This could represent a favorable opportunity for spot entries and moderate leveraged positions (x1–x3).

As expected, after a brief rally to $116,000, the market is pulling back again. We anticipate further downside toward the $105K–$111K range. Caution is advised, gradual DCA into spot positions remains the most prudent approach at this stage.

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111k ✔️

107k ✔️

105k ✔️

Once the second correction is complete, we anticipate a short-term rebound toward the $114K–$116K range.

The $114K target was reached as anticipated, capturing a solid upward move before retracing back to $107K. At this stage, we’re not opening any new trades patience is key as we wait for the next quality setup. Stay tuned for the next move.

With today’s CPI data release, we’re waiting patiently for a clear entry setup. If Bitcoin reaches the $114K–$116K range, we plan to enter short positions. No trades will be taken at the current $110K level.

Cpi numbers


U.S. CPI: +3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +3.1%)
U.S. CORE CPI: +3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +3.1%)

$116K was reached on the second push. A possible scenario now is a move down toward $110K (CME gap) or lower, to trigger liquidation of trapped long positions. A daily close above $116K is needed to keep the path open toward $120K — otherwise, further downside remains likely.

After topping at $116K, Bitcoin has retraced to $112K. With the FOMC meeting today, it’s best to avoid leveraged trading increased volatility is expected, and the market could swing sharply in both directions.

110888$ reached ✔️

43minutes left for the Fomc

The FOMC announced a 25bps rate cut, with no indication of further cuts in upcoming meetings. Following the decision, the market dipped to $107,850. We’ve entered small long positions on alts and Bitcoin, targeting $116K as the first resistance level. If this level holds, a move toward $120K remains possible.

We continue to hold our Bitcoin long positions from the $107K area and have initiated additional low-leverage longs on selected altcoins:

$ASTER at $0.90

$MNT at $1.20

$ENA at $0.32

$SEI at $0.16

$ETC at $15


Our approach remains cautious, focusing on gradual accumulation with controlled leverage.