Tuesday January 21th - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ BTC recovered from $102k dip back up to $105-106k
β’ $TRUMP, $DOGE, and $BONK all file for ETFS with the SEC
β’ Fake Barron Trump coin goes live and hits $72m market cap, rugs within a minute
β’ The scammer deactivated their X, coin down 99%
β’ SEC announces new crypto task force
β’ Trump announces $500B AI investment, partnering with OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank
β’ Coinbase users are still experiencing severe delays moving solana
β’ Fear and Greed now at 66, taking a jump up from 59
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum - bounces up $100 from yesterday now above $3300 again
β’ Solana - bounced from yesterday, $256 now
β’ SUI - up a ncie 7% today, hopefully you guys scooped up that dip
β’ Avalanche- up 4% today
β’ Chainlink- up 4% today
β’ Hyperliquid - up a huge 20% today
β’ Alts recovering well today overall in the green
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΈ πΆ
β’ $TRUMP - recovering slightly, back up to $42 a coin
β’ $FARTCOIN - took a dip but getting crazy recognition around the media and market
β’ $MELANIA- isn't doing the same numbers as $TRUMP, dipped heavily down to $4
β’ $PEPE - up 4%, $6b market cap.
β’ $DOGE - still the #1 meme by market cap
β’ $WIF- up 5%
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL - back up to $35 million, hope you guys bought that $25m dip, great dip opportunity
β’ $LOFI - still down overall but showing good signs of recovery now around $80m
β’ $S (Agent S) - up 3x from the $5m bottom and 2x in the past day!
β’ $GIGA - still sitting around $700m after dipping down to $550m.
β’ $MOG -$100m market cap recovery from yesterday up to $688m now from $575
β’ Lot of great dips on all of our convictions being eaten up, still plenty of opportunity
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ What does Trump plan to do with his newly announced $500B AI investment?
β’ Lot of recoveries on alts and memes, will it continue?
β’ Future of DOGE with Elon and Trump working together
β’ When will Coinbase Solana woes be solved?
β’ Newly-announced Crypto task force sounds interesting
β’ Besides $Trump, $Doge, and $Bonk, will other large cap memes file for ETF's?
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ BTC recovered from $102k dip back up to $105-106k
β’ $TRUMP, $DOGE, and $BONK all file for ETFS with the SEC
β’ Fake Barron Trump coin goes live and hits $72m market cap, rugs within a minute
β’ The scammer deactivated their X, coin down 99%
β’ SEC announces new crypto task force
β’ Trump announces $500B AI investment, partnering with OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank
β’ Coinbase users are still experiencing severe delays moving solana
β’ Fear and Greed now at 66, taking a jump up from 59
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum - bounces up $100 from yesterday now above $3300 again
β’ Solana - bounced from yesterday, $256 now
β’ SUI - up a ncie 7% today, hopefully you guys scooped up that dip
β’ Avalanche- up 4% today
β’ Chainlink- up 4% today
β’ Hyperliquid - up a huge 20% today
β’ Alts recovering well today overall in the green
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $TRUMP - recovering slightly, back up to $42 a coin
β’ $FARTCOIN - took a dip but getting crazy recognition around the media and market
β’ $MELANIA- isn't doing the same numbers as $TRUMP, dipped heavily down to $4
β’ $PEPE - up 4%, $6b market cap.
β’ $DOGE - still the #1 meme by market cap
β’ $WIF- up 5%
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL - back up to $35 million, hope you guys bought that $25m dip, great dip opportunity
β’ $LOFI - still down overall but showing good signs of recovery now around $80m
β’ $S (Agent S) - up 3x from the $5m bottom and 2x in the past day!
β’ $GIGA - still sitting around $700m after dipping down to $550m.
β’ $MOG -$100m market cap recovery from yesterday up to $688m now from $575
β’ Lot of great dips on all of our convictions being eaten up, still plenty of opportunity
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ What does Trump plan to do with his newly announced $500B AI investment?
β’ Lot of recoveries on alts and memes, will it continue?
β’ Future of DOGE with Elon and Trump working together
β’ When will Coinbase Solana woes be solved?
β’ Newly-announced Crypto task force sounds interesting
β’ Besides $Trump, $Doge, and $Bonk, will other large cap memes file for ETF's?
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π₯15β€9π6π₯°1
Letβs take a look at how the DXY is reacting to Trumpβs inauguration. π
In 2016 we saw Trump win his first election, which was followed by a strong rally from the DXY, reaching a yearly high. Once it was time for Trump to be inaugurated in 2017, the DXY saw a large crash pretty much directly after that lasted all the way into 2018β¦
Three months ago, after Trump won the 2024 election, the DXY had a large rally in the months following also hitting a new yearly high, similar to 2016. Fast forward to today, Trump has officially been in office for 2 whole days following Monday's inauguration. And like in 2017, the DXY has seen a large dump in its price RIGHT after the ceremonyβ¦
Since Bitcoin and other risk assets tend to be anticorrelated to the DXY, this could very well be the start of the next leg for both crypto and the stock market if this trend continues. Definitely something to keep an eye on.π
In 2016 we saw Trump win his first election, which was followed by a strong rally from the DXY, reaching a yearly high. Once it was time for Trump to be inaugurated in 2017, the DXY saw a large crash pretty much directly after that lasted all the way into 2018β¦
Three months ago, after Trump won the 2024 election, the DXY had a large rally in the months following also hitting a new yearly high, similar to 2016. Fast forward to today, Trump has officially been in office for 2 whole days following Monday's inauguration. And like in 2017, the DXY has seen a large dump in its price RIGHT after the ceremonyβ¦
Since Bitcoin and other risk assets tend to be anticorrelated to the DXY, this could very well be the start of the next leg for both crypto and the stock market if this trend continues. Definitely something to keep an eye on.
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CryptoFrog's Gems ππΈ
$LOFI is looking prime for a rally hereβ¦ After bottoming out once again just under $100m mcap, $LOFI has recovered beautifully alongside the market! If you bought that dip, you'd already be up 50% on a 9 figure ATH coin! With their Twitter booming pastβ¦
$LOFI is looking like it wants to break outβ¦βοΈ
With the release of $Trump and the dip on SUI's native token, $LOFI took a pretty severe hit over the past week or so, dumping down from $165m to $45m over the past weekend.
I honestly think this was one of the most oversold projects, yet still holding up a lot better than the majority of the market. It took one of the hardest hits out of all the SUI memes, but in the last couple of days $LOFI has been able to find solid support around the $70-80m market cap range where it sits now.
They've announced some huge partnerships, highlighted by one with @fuckjerry on Instagram, an OG meme page since 2011 with 16m followers. They've also announced partnerships swith Houdini Swap for cross-chain swaps and Kado for Apple Pay swaps, and several more. π
Combined with their strong influencer backing and amazing content creation, $LOFI is a no-brainer at this entry point. We have the upcoming Phantom Integration too, which is a HUGE catalyst to push $LOFI to new heights!
With the release of $Trump and the dip on SUI's native token, $LOFI took a pretty severe hit over the past week or so, dumping down from $165m to $45m over the past weekend.
I honestly think this was one of the most oversold projects, yet still holding up a lot better than the majority of the market. It took one of the hardest hits out of all the SUI memes, but in the last couple of days $LOFI has been able to find solid support around the $70-80m market cap range where it sits now.
They've announced some huge partnerships, highlighted by one with @fuckjerry on Instagram, an OG meme page since 2011 with 16m followers. They've also announced partnerships swith Houdini Swap for cross-chain swaps and Kado for Apple Pay swaps, and several more. π
Combined with their strong influencer backing and amazing content creation, $LOFI is a no-brainer at this entry point. We have the upcoming Phantom Integration too, which is a HUGE catalyst to push $LOFI to new heights!
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Wednesday January 22nd - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ BTC took a small dump today down to $102k
β’ Jupiter airdrop goes live and is able to be claimed
β’ Coinbase CEO speaks out wanting to step up their game regarding Solana
β’ Trump pardoned Ross Ulbricht (Silk Road)
β’ Bitwise files $DOGE ETF
β’ Blackrock CEO Larry Fink he could see $BTC go to $700,000
β’ Fear and Greed at 60
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum - dips $100, back to $3200 again today
β’ Solana - still at $250, outperforming ALTS
β’ SUI - still down, $4.40 a coin
β’ Avalanche- sitting at #13 by market cap, a close edge on SUI
β’ Chainlink- sitting at #12 by market cap
β’ Alts all in the red today along with the overall market
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΆ πΈ
β’ $TRUMP - sideways price action still at $37
β’ $FARTCOIN - took a dip today down 15%
β’ $MELANIA- down 11% not looking great
β’ $PEPE - down 8% today, -20% on the week
β’ $DOGE - down 6% today, .35c
β’ $POPCAT - one of the only large caps up today, not moving w the market
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL - staying consistent at $35m, performing much better than majority of memes
β’ $LOFI - saw some recovery from the big dip but still around $70m mcap
β’ $S (Agent S) - holding around $10-15m mcap range
β’ $GIGA - saw a dip today as well down to $630m mcap
β’ $MOG -also on a dip down to $650m, good entry
β’ Lot of dips given to us once again, good opportunities to enter/DCA
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ Will $BTC go back under $100k?
β’ Lot of good dips on conviction plays
β’ Future of $DOGE ETF...
β’ Is this the end of the $trump and $melania tokens?
β’ Phantom Integration coming soon
β’ FOMC meeting in a week on the 29th
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ BTC took a small dump today down to $102k
β’ Jupiter airdrop goes live and is able to be claimed
β’ Coinbase CEO speaks out wanting to step up their game regarding Solana
β’ Trump pardoned Ross Ulbricht (Silk Road)
β’ Bitwise files $DOGE ETF
β’ Blackrock CEO Larry Fink he could see $BTC go to $700,000
β’ Fear and Greed at 60
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum - dips $100, back to $3200 again today
β’ Solana - still at $250, outperforming ALTS
β’ SUI - still down, $4.40 a coin
β’ Avalanche- sitting at #13 by market cap, a close edge on SUI
β’ Chainlink- sitting at #12 by market cap
β’ Alts all in the red today along with the overall market
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $TRUMP - sideways price action still at $37
β’ $FARTCOIN - took a dip today down 15%
β’ $MELANIA- down 11% not looking great
β’ $PEPE - down 8% today, -20% on the week
β’ $DOGE - down 6% today, .35c
β’ $POPCAT - one of the only large caps up today, not moving w the market
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL - staying consistent at $35m, performing much better than majority of memes
β’ $LOFI - saw some recovery from the big dip but still around $70m mcap
β’ $S (Agent S) - holding around $10-15m mcap range
β’ $GIGA - saw a dip today as well down to $630m mcap
β’ $MOG -also on a dip down to $650m, good entry
β’ Lot of dips given to us once again, good opportunities to enter/DCA
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ Will $BTC go back under $100k?
β’ Lot of good dips on conviction plays
β’ Future of $DOGE ETF...
β’ Is this the end of the $trump and $melania tokens?
β’ Phantom Integration coming soon
β’ FOMC meeting in a week on the 29th
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The market is certainly in a weird spot right now...
With the change of government, upcoming FOMC meeting, and overall macro environment, BTC has seen some rapid price fluctuations over the past week or so.π π
The night before the inauguration saw BTC take a dive down to $100k before pumping back up to $109k, a new ATH. From that point on, we saw $101k again yesterday, and then a pump back up to $106k this morning.
Now sitting back at $102k, it has just been announced that Trump signed a crypto executive order to create a national digital asset stockpile. The overall fluctuation represents crypto's sensitivity to political events and market sentiment. The initial surge was attributed to optimism about a pro-crypto government and a favourable policies, whereas the current bumpiness represents a market re-assessment of investors awaiting crucial actions from the administration.
I'm expecting this volatility to increase over the next coming weeks as the new government settles in and begins to implement new orders and policies. We still have yet to hear about the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, as well as expectations of more lenient regulations. The absence of immediate policy announcements had led to some uncertain sentiment, but it is still very early and patience here is key. π€
With the next FOMC meeting in 6 days, the next coming couple of weeks will be crucial in determining if Bitcoin's momentum can be sustain itself or we are due for a correction. We all know that interest rate decisions can severely affect the market, and a surprise cut would be a great way to end off the month!
With the change of government, upcoming FOMC meeting, and overall macro environment, BTC has seen some rapid price fluctuations over the past week or so.
The night before the inauguration saw BTC take a dive down to $100k before pumping back up to $109k, a new ATH. From that point on, we saw $101k again yesterday, and then a pump back up to $106k this morning.
Now sitting back at $102k, it has just been announced that Trump signed a crypto executive order to create a national digital asset stockpile. The overall fluctuation represents crypto's sensitivity to political events and market sentiment. The initial surge was attributed to optimism about a pro-crypto government and a favourable policies, whereas the current bumpiness represents a market re-assessment of investors awaiting crucial actions from the administration.
I'm expecting this volatility to increase over the next coming weeks as the new government settles in and begins to implement new orders and policies. We still have yet to hear about the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, as well as expectations of more lenient regulations. The absence of immediate policy announcements had led to some uncertain sentiment, but it is still very early and patience here is key. π€
With the next FOMC meeting in 6 days, the next coming couple of weeks will be crucial in determining if Bitcoin's momentum can be sustain itself or we are due for a correction. We all know that interest rate decisions can severely affect the market, and a surprise cut would be a great way to end off the month!
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Thursday January 23nd - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ Very volatile day for BTC, jumping from $101k to $105k
β’ Trump signs executive orders related to crypto
β’ Ivanka Trump tweets about a fake coin themed after her
β’ Solana becomes first chain in history to break $200b monthly volume
β’ BTC dominance still at 57%
β’ Bank of America ready for crypto payments
β’ Fear and Greed at 61
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum - back above $3300
β’ Solana - staying strong around $250
β’ SUI - still down, $4.40 a coin
β’ Avalanche- sitting at #13 by market cap,
β’ Chainlink- sitting at #12 by market cap, up 4%
β’ Small alt recoveries today with BTC pumping
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΈ πΆ
β’ $TRUMP - down another 8% todayβ¦$34
β’ $FARTCOIN - down another 8% today
β’ $MELANIA- down 20% today, now at $2.71
β’ $PEPE - up 4% today, but -18% on the week
β’ $WIF - up 3% today
β’ $POPCAT - $573m, up 3%
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL - took a small dip down to $30m, now at $32m, great entry
β’ $LOFI - took a bit of a hit today back down to $62m mcap
β’ $S (Agent S) - staying solid around $10-15m mcap range
β’ $GIGA - up nicely today 9%, one of the best performers
β’ $MOG -dipped further down to $611m, good entry
β’ Not a ton of movement today, but good DCA opportunities
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ Likely to see a lot of $BTC volatility with new policies incoming
β’ Still a lot of concrete decisions that haven't been addressed yet
β’ When do we anticipate alts beside solana to move upwards again?
β’ No future for CBDCs, Trump has banned the creation of them
β’ Price action heading into the first weekend with Trump in office
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ Very volatile day for BTC, jumping from $101k to $105k
β’ Trump signs executive orders related to crypto
β’ Ivanka Trump tweets about a fake coin themed after her
β’ Solana becomes first chain in history to break $200b monthly volume
β’ BTC dominance still at 57%
β’ Bank of America ready for crypto payments
β’ Fear and Greed at 61
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum - back above $3300
β’ Solana - staying strong around $250
β’ SUI - still down, $4.40 a coin
β’ Avalanche- sitting at #13 by market cap,
β’ Chainlink- sitting at #12 by market cap, up 4%
β’ Small alt recoveries today with BTC pumping
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $TRUMP - down another 8% todayβ¦$34
β’ $FARTCOIN - down another 8% today
β’ $MELANIA- down 20% today, now at $2.71
β’ $PEPE - up 4% today, but -18% on the week
β’ $WIF - up 3% today
β’ $POPCAT - $573m, up 3%
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL - took a small dip down to $30m, now at $32m, great entry
β’ $LOFI - took a bit of a hit today back down to $62m mcap
β’ $S (Agent S) - staying solid around $10-15m mcap range
β’ $GIGA - up nicely today 9%, one of the best performers
β’ $MOG -dipped further down to $611m, good entry
β’ Not a ton of movement today, but good DCA opportunities
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ Likely to see a lot of $BTC volatility with new policies incoming
β’ Still a lot of concrete decisions that haven't been addressed yet
β’ When do we anticipate alts beside solana to move upwards again?
β’ No future for CBDCs, Trump has banned the creation of them
β’ Price action heading into the first weekend with Trump in office
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The U.S. dollar is tanking right nowβ¦πΊπΈ
Granted the upcoming FOMC meeting doesn't surprise us with any bad news, I am expecting this downtrend to continue.
Any signs during the next FOMC meeting which hint towards more rate cuts coming throughout the year could lead this to a continuing downtrend.
Right after Trump's first electoral victory in 2016, the DXY had a strong rally. In 2017, prior to inauguration, the DXY saw a large crash that lasted up until 2018.π
Looking back at November 2024, just two months ago, the DXY had a large rally for the weeks and months coming, almost identical to 2016. Fast forward to now, after Trump's first few days in office, and the DXY has already see a large dump in its price.
As we all know, BTC and other risk assets tend to do the opposite of the DXY, which means this may be the start of the next leg up for crypto and the stock market if this trend continues! π
Granted the upcoming FOMC meeting doesn't surprise us with any bad news, I am expecting this downtrend to continue.
Any signs during the next FOMC meeting which hint towards more rate cuts coming throughout the year could lead this to a continuing downtrend.
Right after Trump's first electoral victory in 2016, the DXY had a strong rally. In 2017, prior to inauguration, the DXY saw a large crash that lasted up until 2018.
Looking back at November 2024, just two months ago, the DXY had a large rally for the weeks and months coming, almost identical to 2016. Fast forward to now, after Trump's first few days in office, and the DXY has already see a large dump in its price.
As we all know, BTC and other risk assets tend to do the opposite of the DXY, which means this may be the start of the next leg up for crypto and the stock market if this trend continues! π
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β€12π5π₯5π1
Friday January 24th - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ BTC surpasses 107k
β’ Coinbase pledges to provide better support for solana blockchain
β’ Fidelity posts about a crypto-based role, blockchain engineer
β’ Trump says memecoins and NFTS are collectibles
β’ Meteora #1 protocol for trading fees 24h
β’ Ross Ulbricht free, thanks Trump on twitter
β’ Fear and Greed at 61 again
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum - sitting $3300
β’ Solana - staying strong just under $250
β’ SUI - down quite a bit again, $4.15, good buying opportunity
β’ Avalanche- still sitting at $35, now 4 spots up on SUI
β’ Chainlink- 5 spots up on SUI , down 6%
β’ Most alts still in the red today
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΆ πΈ
β’ $TRUMP - down to $27, lowest it has seen since the initial first big dip
β’ $FARTCOIN - down another 13% today
β’ $MELANIA- down 70% on the weekβ¦$2.32, hope you guys didnβt get rekt here
β’ $PEPE - down 5% today, still-20% on the week
β’ $WIF - down 12% today
β’ $POPCAT - down 24%...big dip.
β’ Memes almost all in the red, lot of big dips on many.
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL - still holding well at $31m
β’ $LOFI - bouncing around but sitting at $67m mcap despite the SUI downtrend.
β’ $S (Agent S) - at $8m mcap now
β’ $GIGA - down 15% today
β’ $MOG -dipped to $550m mcap, good entries once again
β’ Lot of red today, but good DCA opportunities
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ Can Coinbase quickly take action on their Solana promises?
β’ Does ETH have its run?
β’ How long does this meme downtrend last?
β’ Trump signing executive orders, ball is rolling
β’ First weekend with new administration here, lots of red for alts and memes
β’ SEC rescinds SAB121 (crypto can now be held by banks on balance sheets)
β’ Implications on how crypto assets are custodied by financial institutions ^
β’ Very interesting in terms of crypto safety/security
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ BTC surpasses 107k
β’ Coinbase pledges to provide better support for solana blockchain
β’ Fidelity posts about a crypto-based role, blockchain engineer
β’ Trump says memecoins and NFTS are collectibles
β’ Meteora #1 protocol for trading fees 24h
β’ Ross Ulbricht free, thanks Trump on twitter
β’ Fear and Greed at 61 again
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum - sitting $3300
β’ Solana - staying strong just under $250
β’ SUI - down quite a bit again, $4.15, good buying opportunity
β’ Avalanche- still sitting at $35, now 4 spots up on SUI
β’ Chainlink- 5 spots up on SUI , down 6%
β’ Most alts still in the red today
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $TRUMP - down to $27, lowest it has seen since the initial first big dip
β’ $FARTCOIN - down another 13% today
β’ $MELANIA- down 70% on the weekβ¦$2.32, hope you guys didnβt get rekt here
β’ $PEPE - down 5% today, still-20% on the week
β’ $WIF - down 12% today
β’ $POPCAT - down 24%...big dip.
β’ Memes almost all in the red, lot of big dips on many.
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL - still holding well at $31m
β’ $LOFI - bouncing around but sitting at $67m mcap despite the SUI downtrend.
β’ $S (Agent S) - at $8m mcap now
β’ $GIGA - down 15% today
β’ $MOG -dipped to $550m mcap, good entries once again
β’ Lot of red today, but good DCA opportunities
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ Can Coinbase quickly take action on their Solana promises?
β’ Does ETH have its run?
β’ How long does this meme downtrend last?
β’ Trump signing executive orders, ball is rolling
β’ First weekend with new administration here, lots of red for alts and memes
β’ SEC rescinds SAB121 (crypto can now be held by banks on balance sheets)
β’ Implications on how crypto assets are custodied by financial institutions ^
β’ Very interesting in terms of crypto safety/security
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β€12π₯6π5π1
Dropped some massive alpha
WATCH
YouTube video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-lDK0jR9mA
Twitter: https://x.com/CryptoFrogCalls/status/1883198665495544121
WATCH
YouTube video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-lDK0jR9mA
Twitter: https://x.com/CryptoFrogCalls/status/1883198665495544121
β€21π4π€©4π₯2π2
The markets have some BIG news in store next weekβ¦ π
To start, we have the FOMC meeting on Wednesday the 29th at 2:00pm EST. In this meeting we will get the FEDβs interest rate decision. The markets have pretty much priced in this meeting to see NO NEW changes, as you can see in the image above.
If you also look a little further down that same graph, you can see that the markets are only expecting ONE more rate cut in 2025. The reason the markets are expecting this is due to a much more hawkish FED press conference.
The markets are already 97% sure we wonβt get a rate cut, so if we see rates stay at 425-450 it wonβt affect much. The most BULLISH case scenario from this event would be getting a dovish speech after the rate cut decision has been made. That would give people more of a reason for future optimism and would likely increase a lot of peopleβs risk tolerance in the markets.
Along with the FOMC meeting being the largest news, we will be getting back Durable Goods Orders reports on the 28th, GDP growth reports on the 20th, and core PCE reports on the 31st. All of these news events could have positive or negative effects on the risk asset markets depending on their reporting. Although we will most likely have an idea of those reports will look like from the post FOMC meeting speech.
With all that being said, Iβd highly recommend not playing with much leverage this week as Iβd expect some large swings in price going either direction. This should be a VERY volatile week. π€
To start, we have the FOMC meeting on Wednesday the 29th at 2:00pm EST. In this meeting we will get the FEDβs interest rate decision. The markets have pretty much priced in this meeting to see NO NEW changes, as you can see in the image above.
If you also look a little further down that same graph, you can see that the markets are only expecting ONE more rate cut in 2025. The reason the markets are expecting this is due to a much more hawkish FED press conference.
The markets are already 97% sure we wonβt get a rate cut, so if we see rates stay at 425-450 it wonβt affect much. The most BULLISH case scenario from this event would be getting a dovish speech after the rate cut decision has been made. That would give people more of a reason for future optimism and would likely increase a lot of peopleβs risk tolerance in the markets.
Along with the FOMC meeting being the largest news, we will be getting back Durable Goods Orders reports on the 28th, GDP growth reports on the 20th, and core PCE reports on the 31st. All of these news events could have positive or negative effects on the risk asset markets depending on their reporting. Although we will most likely have an idea of those reports will look like from the post FOMC meeting speech.
With all that being said, Iβd highly recommend not playing with much leverage this week as Iβd expect some large swings in price going either direction. This should be a VERY volatile week. π€
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β€14π₯13π4π€©2π1π€―1π1
Saturday January 25th - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ BTC slightly dipped but sitting well at $105k
β’ Virtuals Protocol expanding to Solana
β’ Jupiter launches new swap website in beta
β’ Jupiter also acquires a majority stake in moonshot
β’ Solana protocols take up 6 of the top 10 spots in highest generated fees in 24h
β’ Fear and Greed at 60
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum - sitting at $3350
β’ Solana - small pump to $258
β’ SUI - still down, sitting at $4.20, scooping up more here tbh
β’ Avalanche- healthy 5% gain today
β’ Hyperliquid- up a nice 8% today, one of the biggest alt gainers
β’ Most alts slightly in the green today
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΆ πΈ
β’ $TRUMP - recovered a bit back to $30 a coin
β’ $PENGU- up a solid 8%
β’ $FARTCOIN - recovered 13% today
β’ $PEPE - down 5% today, still-20% on the week
β’ $TOSHI- up 80% today, huge gainer
β’ $MELANIA - pumped alongside $Trump, up 14%
β’ Memes mostly in the green today, down significantly more on the weekly
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL - dipped back down to $27m, no-brainer entry/DCA point
β’ $LOFI - still sitting at $67m mcap
β’ $S (Agent S) - sitting at $7m
β’ $GIGA - small recovery of 5% on this one
β’ $MOG - up a little bit from yesterday $565m
β’ Still generational entry points on a lot of memes
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ Slow weekend in the markets today
β’ Big week ahead of us with the FOMC meeting on the 29th
β’ Phantom Integration for SUI is also soon, keep an eye
β’ Solana DEXs showing their strength volume wise
β’ DXY on a downtrendβ¦
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ BTC slightly dipped but sitting well at $105k
β’ Virtuals Protocol expanding to Solana
β’ Jupiter launches new swap website in beta
β’ Jupiter also acquires a majority stake in moonshot
β’ Solana protocols take up 6 of the top 10 spots in highest generated fees in 24h
β’ Fear and Greed at 60
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum - sitting at $3350
β’ Solana - small pump to $258
β’ SUI - still down, sitting at $4.20, scooping up more here tbh
β’ Avalanche- healthy 5% gain today
β’ Hyperliquid- up a nice 8% today, one of the biggest alt gainers
β’ Most alts slightly in the green today
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $TRUMP - recovered a bit back to $30 a coin
β’ $PENGU- up a solid 8%
β’ $FARTCOIN - recovered 13% today
β’ $PEPE - down 5% today, still-20% on the week
β’ $TOSHI- up 80% today, huge gainer
β’ $MELANIA - pumped alongside $Trump, up 14%
β’ Memes mostly in the green today, down significantly more on the weekly
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL - dipped back down to $27m, no-brainer entry/DCA point
β’ $LOFI - still sitting at $67m mcap
β’ $S (Agent S) - sitting at $7m
β’ $GIGA - small recovery of 5% on this one
β’ $MOG - up a little bit from yesterday $565m
β’ Still generational entry points on a lot of memes
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ Slow weekend in the markets today
β’ Big week ahead of us with the FOMC meeting on the 29th
β’ Phantom Integration for SUI is also soon, keep an eye
β’ Solana DEXs showing their strength volume wise
β’ DXY on a downtrendβ¦
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Scooping up more $AXOL before the next rallyβ¦ π
The next few weeks should be pretty big for the $SUI chain as we are seeing huge catalysts such as the phantom integration and other big market news coming soon. With $SUI being back below 4 dollars, I think that itβs become VERY oversold.
The team here has been constantly grinding, building more and more for the community every single week. We have just seen the release of the custom $AXOL pfp generator! where you can customize your pfp with $AXOL features, or even make memes using the features.
Along with that, the $AXOL team has SO much more in the works that will be coming soon... This current dip at 24m Mcap is looking like the bottom, and could end up being the cheapest entry for $AXOL ever again. Load up while you still can...π
The next few weeks should be pretty big for the $SUI chain as we are seeing huge catalysts such as the phantom integration and other big market news coming soon. With $SUI being back below 4 dollars, I think that itβs become VERY oversold.
The team here has been constantly grinding, building more and more for the community every single week. We have just seen the release of the custom $AXOL pfp generator! where you can customize your pfp with $AXOL features, or even make memes using the features.
Along with that, the $AXOL team has SO much more in the works that will be coming soon... This current dip at 24m Mcap is looking like the bottom, and could end up being the cheapest entry for $AXOL ever again. Load up while you still can...
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Sunday January 26th - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ BTC falls below $100k during the late night hours
β’ Markets dumping hard everything in the red
β’ General consensus it that Nvidia is overvalued
β’ People also worried about Deepseek which is causing a stock market sell off
β’ ETH protocols out of top 10 in 24H volume now
β’ Fear and Greed dips down 55
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum - down to $3100
β’ Solana - down to $230 from $258, 10%
β’ SUI - down to $3.68, down hard
β’ Avalanche- down 9%
β’ XRP- falls under $3
β’ Every alt like BTC, is down hard right now
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΆ πΈ
β’ $TRUMP - down to $26 a coin, 18% dip. Expected with memecoins like this.
β’ $PENGU - down 10%
β’ $FARTCOIN - down a HUGE 25%, huge dump
β’ $PEPE - down 17% on the day, $5.3B Mcap
β’ $TOSHI- only big memecoin that's green right now, crazy
β’ $MELANIA - farm
β’ Memecoins taking a huge hit as always when the markets dumps
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL - holding up much better compared to majority of memecoins
β’ $LOFI - took a hit down to around $55m
β’ $S (Agent S) - down to $5
β’ $GIGA - down 11% on the day
β’ $MOG - dipped under $500m
β’ Scary dips but great buying opportunities for bulls
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ Slow weekend in the markets turned ugly Sunday night
β’ Chinese product interfering with the market
β’ Very crucial FOMC meeting coming up on Wednesdayβ¦
β’ Dovish meeting would likely send the markets green while a hawkish one would make things uglier
β’ Deepseek, a direct competitor to ChatGPT, with same functions but apparently better, was made for a fraction of the cost
β’ Because of this, price of NVIDIA is questioned regarding being overbought and overpriced
β’ DXY still on a downtrendβ¦
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ BTC falls below $100k during the late night hours
β’ Markets dumping hard everything in the red
β’ General consensus it that Nvidia is overvalued
β’ People also worried about Deepseek which is causing a stock market sell off
β’ ETH protocols out of top 10 in 24H volume now
β’ Fear and Greed dips down 55
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum - down to $3100
β’ Solana - down to $230 from $258, 10%
β’ SUI - down to $3.68, down hard
β’ Avalanche- down 9%
β’ XRP- falls under $3
β’ Every alt like BTC, is down hard right now
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $TRUMP - down to $26 a coin, 18% dip. Expected with memecoins like this.
β’ $PENGU - down 10%
β’ $FARTCOIN - down a HUGE 25%, huge dump
β’ $PEPE - down 17% on the day, $5.3B Mcap
β’ $TOSHI- only big memecoin that's green right now, crazy
β’ $MELANIA - farm
β’ Memecoins taking a huge hit as always when the markets dumps
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL - holding up much better compared to majority of memecoins
β’ $LOFI - took a hit down to around $55m
β’ $S (Agent S) - down to $5
β’ $GIGA - down 11% on the day
β’ $MOG - dipped under $500m
β’ Scary dips but great buying opportunities for bulls
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ Slow weekend in the markets turned ugly Sunday night
β’ Chinese product interfering with the market
β’ Very crucial FOMC meeting coming up on Wednesdayβ¦
β’ Dovish meeting would likely send the markets green while a hawkish one would make things uglier
β’ Deepseek, a direct competitor to ChatGPT, with same functions but apparently better, was made for a fraction of the cost
β’ Because of this, price of NVIDIA is questioned regarding being overbought and overpriced
β’ DXY still on a downtrendβ¦
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Deepseek has heavily hurt the market.
Crypto started to take a dive last night with Bitcoin dumping from $105k to $98k. Altcoins were also hit hard, diving -5-10% for many of the top tokens in just a couple of hours. Memes of course took the hardest hit, with many high conviction holdings nuking as well.π
This was caused by a stock market selloff of NVIDIA, which just saw the largest single-day loss of market cap in US history at $600 billion, falling more than 15%.
Deepseek, a Chinese AI platform, topped U.S. App Store downloads as a rival of ChatGPT. The people behind the platform are claiming it only cost them approximately $5-10m for the open-source platform, leading investors to question the valuations of GPU platforms. π€
This led to a $1 trillion dollar sell-off in tech stocks. As we know, crypto are risk-on assets, and the volatility prompted a huge selloff, with about $920B liquidated from the markets in the past 24 hours.
What does this mean for the market? As with any sell off, great buying opportunities are generated. I'm taking this opportunity to scoop up more high-conviction bags while the market is still red. A dovish FOMC meeting on Wednesday could severely change the market sentiment, stay alertβοΈ
Crypto started to take a dive last night with Bitcoin dumping from $105k to $98k. Altcoins were also hit hard, diving -5-10% for many of the top tokens in just a couple of hours. Memes of course took the hardest hit, with many high conviction holdings nuking as well.
This was caused by a stock market selloff of NVIDIA, which just saw the largest single-day loss of market cap in US history at $600 billion, falling more than 15%.
Deepseek, a Chinese AI platform, topped U.S. App Store downloads as a rival of ChatGPT. The people behind the platform are claiming it only cost them approximately $5-10m for the open-source platform, leading investors to question the valuations of GPU platforms. π€
This led to a $1 trillion dollar sell-off in tech stocks. As we know, crypto are risk-on assets, and the volatility prompted a huge selloff, with about $920B liquidated from the markets in the past 24 hours.
What does this mean for the market? As with any sell off, great buying opportunities are generated. I'm taking this opportunity to scoop up more high-conviction bags while the market is still red. A dovish FOMC meeting on Wednesday could severely change the market sentiment, stay alertβοΈ
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Tuesday January 28th - Market Overview
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKETπ°
β’ BTC staying stable around the $101-102k level
β’ Most of the bleeding stopped worst of it was initial dump Sunday night
β’ Lots of great buying opportunities still
β’ Department of Government Efficiency is apparently saving the US Government $1B per day
β’ Malicious attacks hitting DeepSeek
β’ Jupiter Exchange becomes biggest 24hgainer among top 100 tokens by market cap
β’ Fear and Greed dips down 53
ALTCOINSπΉ πͺ πͺ
β’ Ethereum β sitting at $3100 still
β’ Solana β down to $233
β’ SUI β great dip buy at $3.70
β’ XRP- only major alt up today, 4% at $3.11
β’ Avalanche- down 3%
β’ Alts mainly down 2-3% today
LARGE CAP MEMESπΆ πΆ πΈ
β’ $DOGE β down 3%
β’ $PEPE β down 7% today
β’ $BONK β also down 7% today
β’ $FARTCOIN β another big dip, down 23% today
β’ $WIF- down a big 12%
β’ $PENGU β huge dip down 25% today
β’ Memecoins down a lot right now
FROGS CONVICTIONSπΈ
β’ $AXOL β had a small rally to $29m from $23m but back at $27m, great entry point
β’ $LOFI β struggling right now, down to $48m
β’ $S (Agent S) - down to $4 million mcap great entry point
β’ $GIGA β holding up around $530m market cap
β’ $MOG β generational entry here at $400m
β’ Big dips here plenty of opportunity
LOOKING FORWARD πβ‘οΈ
β’ BIG FOMC meeting tomorrow, could make or break the markets right now
β’ Lots of attention still on Deepseek and AI
β’ Bitwise files for spot $DOGE ETF
β’ Dovish meeting would likely send the markets green while a hawkish one would make things uglier
β’ Do we see $BTC dominance falling?
BITCOIN AND OVERALL MARKET
β’ BTC staying stable around the $101-102k level
β’ Most of the bleeding stopped worst of it was initial dump Sunday night
β’ Lots of great buying opportunities still
β’ Department of Government Efficiency is apparently saving the US Government $1B per day
β’ Malicious attacks hitting DeepSeek
β’ Jupiter Exchange becomes biggest 24hgainer among top 100 tokens by market cap
β’ Fear and Greed dips down 53
ALTCOINS
β’ Ethereum β sitting at $3100 still
β’ Solana β down to $233
β’ SUI β great dip buy at $3.70
β’ XRP- only major alt up today, 4% at $3.11
β’ Avalanche- down 3%
β’ Alts mainly down 2-3% today
LARGE CAP MEMES
β’ $DOGE β down 3%
β’ $PEPE β down 7% today
β’ $BONK β also down 7% today
β’ $FARTCOIN β another big dip, down 23% today
β’ $WIF- down a big 12%
β’ $PENGU β huge dip down 25% today
β’ Memecoins down a lot right now
FROGS CONVICTIONS
β’ $AXOL β had a small rally to $29m from $23m but back at $27m, great entry point
β’ $LOFI β struggling right now, down to $48m
β’ $S (Agent S) - down to $4 million mcap great entry point
β’ $GIGA β holding up around $530m market cap
β’ $MOG β generational entry here at $400m
β’ Big dips here plenty of opportunity
LOOKING FORWARD π
β’ BIG FOMC meeting tomorrow, could make or break the markets right now
β’ Lots of attention still on Deepseek and AI
β’ Bitwise files for spot $DOGE ETF
β’ Dovish meeting would likely send the markets green while a hawkish one would make things uglier
β’ Do we see $BTC dominance falling?
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π¨FOMC MEETING AND PRESS CONFERENCE UPDATE:
The FED has decided to keep interest rates at 4.25-4.50 points while continuing QT until further notice. None of this news was surprising as it was the most likely outcome.
During the speech, Chairman Powell discussed their satisfaction with progress towards achieving the 2% inflation target while also mentioning their satisfaction with the labor markets and how inflation has eased significantly over the past two years. However, Powell did say they are in βno rushβ to cut rates, which aligns with his earlier statements last year.
The Chair also said they do not need to wait until their inflation goal of 2% to continue the rate cut cycle. Even though we didnβt get a specific estimate on how many cuts we would see throughout 2025, this gave an overall optimistic outlook on more rate cuts in the future as long as we stay on this trend.
Near the end of the meeting, a question was asked about bitcoin. This led Powell to say that he thinks banks should be able to serve customers who hold crypto if they understand the risks. While saying heβs not against any of the innovation from crypto, heβd like to see some better regulatory framework around crypto. This overall gave the crypto markets a great pump, sending bitcoin back above $104.5k post meeting.
Overall this meeting was very bullish for the crypto markets. If we continue to see inflation data get better and better, we can look forward to even better news in March at the next FOMC meeting. For now, enjoy this pump π€
The FED has decided to keep interest rates at 4.25-4.50 points while continuing QT until further notice. None of this news was surprising as it was the most likely outcome.
During the speech, Chairman Powell discussed their satisfaction with progress towards achieving the 2% inflation target while also mentioning their satisfaction with the labor markets and how inflation has eased significantly over the past two years. However, Powell did say they are in βno rushβ to cut rates, which aligns with his earlier statements last year.
The Chair also said they do not need to wait until their inflation goal of 2% to continue the rate cut cycle. Even though we didnβt get a specific estimate on how many cuts we would see throughout 2025, this gave an overall optimistic outlook on more rate cuts in the future as long as we stay on this trend.
Near the end of the meeting, a question was asked about bitcoin. This led Powell to say that he thinks banks should be able to serve customers who hold crypto if they understand the risks. While saying heβs not against any of the innovation from crypto, heβd like to see some better regulatory framework around crypto. This overall gave the crypto markets a great pump, sending bitcoin back above $104.5k post meeting.
Overall this meeting was very bullish for the crypto markets. If we continue to see inflation data get better and better, we can look forward to even better news in March at the next FOMC meeting. For now, enjoy this pump π€
β€19π7π₯5π₯°2π2
$AXOL is holding up better than the majority of the market. π
Sitting around $27M market cap, $AXOL has established a nice floor despite the market volatility and dump we witnessed on Sunday. This just goes to show how strong of a foundation $AXOL has, down only 60% from ATH whereas many other tokens are down 80%β¦
$AXOL is very close to flipping $LOFI, which became the largest memecoin on the SUI chain shooting up to $250m market cap at its peak. I'm envisioning $AXOL to become the #1 memecoin on SUI, it's only a matter of time. π
With that being said, this entry on $AXOL isn't going to get much lower, so load up while you still can. With a shaky market like this, you are best off DCA'ing your convictions and holding until markets look up.
Sitting around $27M market cap, $AXOL has established a nice floor despite the market volatility and dump we witnessed on Sunday. This just goes to show how strong of a foundation $AXOL has, down only 60% from ATH whereas many other tokens are down 80%β¦
$AXOL is very close to flipping $LOFI, which became the largest memecoin on the SUI chain shooting up to $250m market cap at its peak. I'm envisioning $AXOL to become the #1 memecoin on SUI, it's only a matter of time. π
With that being said, this entry on $AXOL isn't going to get much lower, so load up while you still can. With a shaky market like this, you are best off DCA'ing your convictions and holding until markets look up.
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$Strip is the hangout where memes, crypto, and bad decisions collide. Strippy, the black sheep of the Doge family, once had dreams of becoming a crypto icon but unfortunately was not successful.
Realizing her pole dancing career wasn't covering her lifestyle, Strippy launched $Strip. With $Strip, she is able to fund all of her degen lifestyle activities!
Tax - 0/0 | Ca Renounced
I like the meme here, a super degen narrative but with solid branding. They have a plan for each quarter from Q1-Q4, which can be found towards the bottom of their website. Shilled this at $300k on my twitter and Alpha Chat, with the Alphas up nicely already. Big gamble, $550k mcap now!
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β€10π₯5π4