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All eyes on MicroStrategy:
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) has dropped -40% over the past month and is now -68% below its record high.
The company currently holds 649,870 Bitcoin, purchased at an average price of $74,433.
Put simply, if Bitcoin declines by another 15%, MicroStrategy’s overall position will move into the red.
The question remains: Can Saylor keep buying?
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) has dropped -40% over the past month and is now -68% below its record high.
The company currently holds 649,870 Bitcoin, purchased at an average price of $74,433.
Put simply, if Bitcoin declines by another 15%, MicroStrategy’s overall position will move into the red.
The question remains: Can Saylor keep buying?
CryptoQuant CEO noted that according to on-chain metrics, the bullish cycle effectively ended earlier this year when Bitcoin approached the $100,000 level. From the perspective of classical cyclicality, the market usually returns to the realized price — currently around $56,000 — to form a bottom.
However, due to large holders like MicroStrategy, who are unlikely to sell, a significant portion of coins is effectively taken out of circulation. Therefore, he doubts that the price will drop to $56,000.
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🇯🇵 The Government of Japan approved an economic stimulus program worth $135 billion, which should lead to an inflow of additional liquidity into the financial system and may trigger more active market movements.
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🔮 The maximum pain in the market will occur when Bitcoin breaks $84,000 (the average IBIT price from BlackRock) and $73,000 (the base level for MicroStrategy) — Bitwise.
According to analysts, a drop to these levels would mean the end of the current cycle and the formation of the final bottom.
According to analysts, a drop to these levels would mean the end of the current cycle and the formation of the final bottom.
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The majority of the capitulation was driven by short-term holders.
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The fear and greed index remains in the extreme fear zone (11), with just over $350 million liquidated in the last 24 hours — not critical, but enough to maintain a tense atmosphere.
To put it simply: the market is holding its breath, digesting recent movements and waiting for a new trigger to choose a direction.
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According to his profile, he earned about $130,000 in a month with such microtrades, and since the beginning of 2025 — over $415,000, while also holding several large positions with yields of 30–40%.
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If approved, this level will be reached by early 2029 instead of 2032, and the potential emission will be reduced by approximately 22.3 million SOL ($3 billion) over six years.
The initiative should also reduce pressure on staking yields and increase the average lock-up time.
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Meanwhile, the CEO of VanEck stated that Bitcoin could become vulnerable to the development of quantum technologies in the future.
According to him, if it ever becomes clear that the system is "fundamentally broken," investors will be ready to completely abandon Bitcoin, even though their spot ETF has already attracted more than $1.2 billion.
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🇨🇳 Russian business is actively exploring the possibilities of the digital yuan (CBDC).
The Winklevosses are pioneers of the industry; over time, they have already recorded more than $1 billion in profits.
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