GM

Most people expect today to be a bearish event (Trump administration to announce global tariffs today at 4:00 PM EDT (22:00 CEST))

I see it differently. Most of the tariff news is likely already priced in. The market has been dropping for weeks.

Charts keep looking bullish for the short-term, and we’ve already seen some signs of strength. Could easily turn into a buy the news kind of day.

Let's see how the market reacts!

GM

Crazy PA yesterday... and this is exactly why I avoid leverage most of the time.

Right now, $BTC is just deviating above and below the $84k–85k area, flip-flopping and trying to find direction.

Indicators remain bullish for the short-term, so I still think a move up is more likely. But once again, we need to see a clean reclaim of $85k to confirm that.

As long as that happens, the target would be $92k-98k, which is the next strong resistance zone.

A lot of alts look like this. Usually a local bottom structure.

#TOTAL2 (ETH + ALTS)

Retesting the same support zone.

Crypto holding very well compared to the stock market. Could be another sign of strength.

$RENDER / BTC

Adding confluence for the setup against USD.

No changes.

We’re reaching extreme oversold and panic levels. Many are expecting a black swan tomorrow, but prices are reaching support.

I might be wrong—but in my opinion, selling here is a mistake.

''It’s usually when things look the worst… that bottoms are formed.''

And in case you're wondering:
I'm just holding. No active trades. Just spot bags.

Keeping 20% in stables, just in case.

In moments like this it's usually better to stay still. Most decisions made here are based on emotions, instead of rational thinking.

#SPX futures

Reaching the 2022 high, which is a key level and could act as support.

After such a strong sell-off, a DCB in the short-term is likely, same as for crypto. That said, this looks like the beginning of something bigger for the next months.

$BTC

This would be max pain scenario, and it's the most likely imo.

$ETH - Current view

Support: $1,500

Resistance zone: $2,000-2,300

Buy zone 2 (if later capitulation event): $1,000-1,100

$SOL update

We didn't see that move towards $180-200, but now it has reached the target of $100.

This is a strong support level, and as said before, a bounce from here is expected.

$RENDER update

Same setup basically, but with a double bottom formation.

Same target.

On the other hand, I’ve been thinking a lot about how I post on X and TG.

While sharing quick updates has worked so far, the format can get messy over time. Especially when it comes to tracking my current positioning, thesis updates, invalidations, or risk adjustments.

Sometimes I’ll post an analysis on a coin, enter a position, and then quickly change plans if the setup invalidates. But the nature of social media makes it easy for people to cherry-pick old posts and ignore everything that came after.

This isn’t about being “right” all the time. I’ve said it before: I don’t pretend to be perfect. The market evolves, and I adapt. That’s what trading is.

That’s why I’m working on changing how I structure my content going forward.

The goal is to make it easier to follow:

– Clear separation between market updates, setups, educational posts, mindset, offtopic, etc.
– Easier tracking of my current view and any changes
– Better context on why things shift and how I manage risk when they do

This should make everything more transparent and valuable. Not just for me, but for those who actually care about learning and improving in this space.

Open to suggestions. DMs on X are always welcome.

Thanks for the support as always!

GM!

Later I'm going to share my thoughts on what we can expect for the rest of 2025 and 2026. It’s not going to be what many want to hear, but that’s just how things are.

''$BTC reclaims $80k after Trump authorizes 90-day pause on tariffs.''

First the charts, then the news.