📊 Is Bitcoin’s four-year cycle dead? Glassnode and Fasanara’s data suggests the market is evolving.
- 💰 Realized cap grew $737B this cycle, exceeding the previous three cycles combined.
- 📉 BTC’s 34% drawdown came with a relatively small realized-cap decline.
- 🧊 Market froth is lower, with short-term moved coins’ share falling to 21%.
- 🏦 Companies added 268K BTC in a year, while ETFs still hold around 1.3M BTC.
👉 The takeaway: Bitcoin’s market structure is maturing, but improving sentiment signals recovery — not yet a confirmed uptrend.
- 💰 Realized cap grew $737B this cycle, exceeding the previous three cycles combined.
- 📉 BTC’s 34% drawdown came with a relatively small realized-cap decline.
- 🧊 Market froth is lower, with short-term moved coins’ share falling to 21%.
- 🏦 Companies added 268K BTC in a year, while ETFs still hold around 1.3M BTC.
👉 The takeaway: Bitcoin’s market structure is maturing, but improving sentiment signals recovery — not yet a confirmed uptrend.
Crypto Analytic Z
Bitcoin is testing the support area and has managed to hold above it. Volume is low due to the weekend, and choppy movement is expected until the market opens on Monday.
Bitcoin is testing liquidity below the support area. Let's see how the market reacts today. The choppy movement continues.
📊 BTC is hovering near $80K, and selling pressure appears to be easing.
Glassnode’s CVD data shows selling pressure has dropped significantly compared with 2025. However, buying momentum remains weak, with CVD turning negative again across major exchanges.
👉 The key question: Can buyers absorb the remaining selling pressure? The early bull phase may continue with consolidation and pullbacks before a sustained uptrend begins.
Glassnode’s CVD data shows selling pressure has dropped significantly compared with 2025. However, buying momentum remains weak, with CVD turning negative again across major exchanges.
👉 The key question: Can buyers absorb the remaining selling pressure? The early bull phase may continue with consolidation and pullbacks before a sustained uptrend begins.
📊 Recent $BTC buyers have moved out of the major sell zone.
In late September, nearly all short-term holder supply was in profit. That figure has now cooled to around 70%, reducing some profit-taking pressure.
📈 This could create a more favorable setup for buyers compared with a month ago, provided demand returns and BTC regains its bullish momentum.
In late September, nearly all short-term holder supply was in profit. That figure has now cooled to around 70%, reducing some profit-taking pressure.
📈 This could create a more favorable setup for buyers compared with a month ago, provided demand returns and BTC regains its bullish momentum.
Crypto Analytic Z
Bitcoin continues to trade within the support area, and there is nothing new in the market. The price needs to remain above this support area; otherwise, the outlook will turn bearish.
Bitcoin was able to hold the support area and bounced from there. The next resistance is in the $82,500-$83,000 range, and the price needs to break above it to continue the upward movement.
📅 FOMC Rate Decision: 18:00 UTC today (October 28).
🎙 Fed Chair’s Press Conference: 18:30 UTC.
🎙 Fed Chair’s Press Conference: 18:30 UTC.
📊 Hyperliquid whales have turned net short on $BTC for the first time since March.
This group successfully caught the previous tom, but its positioning flipped last week. 📉
👉 The big question: Are whales anticipating a deeper correction, or could they get caught in a short squeeze if BTC moves higher?
The next price move will reveal whether the bears are right or positioned too early. 📈
This group successfully caught the previous tom, but its positioning flipped last week. 📉
👉 The big question: Are whales anticipating a deeper correction, or could they get caught in a short squeeze if BTC moves higher?
The next price move will reveal whether the bears are right or positioned too early. 📈
Crypto Analytic Z
📅 FOMC Rate Decision: 18:00 UTC today (October 28). 🎙 Fed Chair’s Press Conference: 18:30 UTC.
🇺🇸 BREAKING: The Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged.
Crypto Analytic Z
Bitcoin was able to hold the support area and bounced from there. The next resistance is in the $82,500-$83,000 range, and the price needs to break above it to continue the upward movement.
Bitcoin is again testing the support area, and let's see how it reacts there. A break below this zone will bring some selling in the market.
📊 Bitcoin is quiet, but the underlying market signals are shifting.
Long-term holders still hold BTC bought above $85K, though losses on each dip are getting smaller. Meanwhile, stocks are outtrading Bitcoin perpetuals on Hyperliquid, and altcoin breadth is weakening.
👉 The market remains at a critical point. Watch for a shift in demand and whether altcoins can regain momentum before BTC makes its next major move.
Long-term holders still hold BTC bought above $85K, though losses on each dip are getting smaller. Meanwhile, stocks are outtrading Bitcoin perpetuals on Hyperliquid, and altcoin breadth is weakening.
👉 The market remains at a critical point. Watch for a shift in demand and whether altcoins can regain momentum before BTC makes its next major move.
BREAKING: World’s largest crypto exchange Binance hacked with over $5.6 billion stolen:
• $1.45 billion #BTC
• $875 million #ETH
• $234 million #TRX
• $50 million #XAUT
• $1.57 billion #USDT
• $823 million #USDC
• $75 million #WBETH
• $88.5 million #RLUSD
+ $447.5 million additional cryptocurrencies This is the largest hack in crypto history.
• $1.45 billion #BTC
• $875 million #ETH
• $234 million #TRX
• $50 million #XAUT
• $1.57 billion #USDT
• $823 million #USDC
• $75 million #WBETH
• $88.5 million #RLUSD
+ $447.5 million additional cryptocurrencies This is the largest hack in crypto history.
Crypto Analytic Z
Bitcoin is again testing the support area, and let's see how it reacts there. A break below this zone will bring some selling in the market.
Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following news of the Binance hack. The price fell below the support level, indicating a liquidity grab. It is possible that the price may revisit the $76,000 support area to hunt for liquidity. Currently, the resistance level is around $80,000.
🚨 Binance Hack Update
Binance says it has reserved over $6.34 billion in company funds to cover the incident.
💰 $5 billion is already held in the exact token assets affected.
🔄 Binance is purchasing the remaining assets through market and OTC channels to cover any shortfalls. This may take time due to low liquidity in some tokens and OTC settlement delays.
Binance says it will share further updates as the process progresses.
The key focus now is restoring the affected assets and maintaining market confidence. 📊
Binance says it has reserved over $6.34 billion in company funds to cover the incident.
💰 $5 billion is already held in the exact token assets affected.
🔄 Binance is purchasing the remaining assets through market and OTC channels to cover any shortfalls. This may take time due to low liquidity in some tokens and OTC settlement delays.
Binance says it will share further updates as the process progresses.
The key focus now is restoring the affected assets and maintaining market confidence. 📊