Bitcoin is again moving up, following the momentum, with expectations of a further rise toward the $90,000 area. More gains are yet to come, but this week has less news and more focus on fundamental speeches. More clarity is needed once the statements are released.



​

Bull market: confirmed.

Bitcoin closed above its 365-day moving average for the first time since March 2023 — the line that has called every bull market since 2019.

Next resistance: $88K–$90K.

On-chain data called this in mid-August. Bitcoin's cleared its supply wall.



​

Bull market: confirmed.

Bitcoin closed above its 365-day moving average for the first time since March 2023 — the line that has called every bull market since 2019.

Next resistance: $88K–$90K.

On-chain data called this in mid-August. Bitcoin's cleared its supply wall.



​

For the second time in 2026, Bitcoin's MVRV MA30d has broken out of its accumulation zone, surpassing its May high. Following six months within this range, a break past the yearly high of ~1.62 would confirm a bear market reversal and target a new all-time high of $126k.



​

Bitcoin attempted to retest the zone but slightly missed the area. This miss indicates that liquidity is building up, leading to the support being tested. Therefore, a short-term movement toward support is expected, followed an upward move sooner.



​

ADA gave a closing over the resistance area but retraced a little too. Now, we can wait for additional confirmation, such as the price closing over the $0.2540 level, which can be an indication that the market is ready for longs.



​

Corporate treasuries were a big buyer through 2025, and they have stepped back. Net purchases listed companies total about 5.9K BTC over the past three months, against 89K BTC in July 2025 alone. Their average entry, the Corporate Treasury Cost Basis, sits at $80.5K, about 6% above spot, so the group as a whole is under water.

Price has tested that line twice since it fell below it in January 2026: in May, and again on September 3, 2026. It turned down h times. A buyer that has stopped buying and holds a paper loss is not support. A reclaim of $80.5K would put the treasuries back in profit and remove one layer of overhead supply; until then their entry is one more ceiling.



​

Bitcoin is moving sideways on the hourly timeframe while building liquidity over the zone. An expected tap into the zone is anticipated before an up-move. The weekend might slow down the market slightly due to lower volume, so a breakout might take some time.



​

RENDER had a breakout of the downtrend line but was rejected at major resistance. Eventually, price moved as per the plan, with a sharp up move after the break and retest of the pattern. Even after entering the long position on a clean break, we could still capture a great move. More was expected to come till $2.14 and $2.45 and hold the longs if loaded.



​

$BTC spot demand is still negative, but the decline is slowing. Futures demand continues to rise, while total demand is starting to recover.

Net outflows are shrinking, and price action is turning positive.

Demand is still below zero, but the trend is improving. If this momentum continues, spot demand could turn positive — potentially signaling the start of a stronger rally.



​

Bitcoin is moving sideways, and the market is slow as expected for the weekend. I anticipate similar movement until the global markets open on Monday.



​

LPT has moved as expected, and the long positions provide a profit of over 23%. The market looks promising, and we can anticipate a continuation of upward movement.



​

🚨 UPDATE: Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle is showing signs of breaking down, with the current bear market proving much shallower than the previous three, according to Glassnode.

📊 This suggests Bitcoin’s market structure may be evolving, with deeper liquidity, broader participation, and changing investor behavior potentially reshaping the traditional cycle pattern.

👉 The big question now is whether this cycle continues to diverge from Bitcoin’s historical four-year pattern.



​

FLOW analysis:

Price is testing the resistance area, and a break above it will lead to significant upward movement in the market.

Resistance Area: $0.03360-$0.03460



​