"90% of traders lose. What separates the 10% of winners from the 90% of losers is which brain they are listening to. It took me many years to realize this. I developed a system for my mind—a training program that enabled me to withstand the influences of the emotional subconscious brain on my trading decisions."
— Tom Hougaard, Best Loser Wins
— Tom Hougaard, Best Loser Wins
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“Success in financial market speculation is not about being the best, coming first, or winning.
Instead, it's about losing. Your relationship with fear and adversity will to a very high degree define your life.
And that's why I win. I win because I'm really good at losing. In trading, unlike life, it's the best loser that wins. Do you think a dentist, or a doctor would be in business if they had a 60% win rate? Of course not. But a trader as long as they are can thrive and prosper on that kind of success rate prepared for it. Most are not.”
— Tom Hougaard, Best Loser Wins
Instead, it's about losing. Your relationship with fear and adversity will to a very high degree define your life.
And that's why I win. I win because I'm really good at losing. In trading, unlike life, it's the best loser that wins. Do you think a dentist, or a doctor would be in business if they had a 60% win rate? Of course not. But a trader as long as they are can thrive and prosper on that kind of success rate prepared for it. Most are not.”
— Tom Hougaard, Best Loser Wins
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"In trading, less is more, and slow is fast. Patience and simplicity lead to clarity, while haste and complexity breed mistakes."
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🌐 The Market Crash of 2026: Are You Ready?
🚨 5 Warning Signs of a Potential Crash:
Buffett Indicator: Stocks are highly overvalued, nearing all-time highs (~200%).
Interest Rates: Fed's historically high rates could lead to a recession.
100-Year Trend Line: The market is at a resistance level seen before major crashes (1929, 2000).
Housing Bubble: Inflation-adjusted house prices are above the 2006 peak.
Crypto Cycles: Bitcoin's 4-year pattern suggests a crash is likely in 2026.
💡 Investor Strategy:
Take inspiration from Warren Buffett, who’s 50% in stocks and 50% in cash equivalents. This approach balances potential market gains while keeping cash ready for opportunities during a crash.
📊 Key Takeaway: Prepare now—allocate wisely to protect yourself and take advantage of market shifts!
🔗 Stay informed and ready for what’s ahead!
🚨 5 Warning Signs of a Potential Crash:
Buffett Indicator: Stocks are highly overvalued, nearing all-time highs (~200%).
Interest Rates: Fed's historically high rates could lead to a recession.
100-Year Trend Line: The market is at a resistance level seen before major crashes (1929, 2000).
Housing Bubble: Inflation-adjusted house prices are above the 2006 peak.
Crypto Cycles: Bitcoin's 4-year pattern suggests a crash is likely in 2026.
💡 Investor Strategy:
Take inspiration from Warren Buffett, who’s 50% in stocks and 50% in cash equivalents. This approach balances potential market gains while keeping cash ready for opportunities during a crash.
📊 Key Takeaway: Prepare now—allocate wisely to protect yourself and take advantage of market shifts!
🔗 Stay informed and ready for what’s ahead!
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In a few sentences, explain why most traders either don't make money or aren't able to keep what they make:
- Emotional decision-making, driven by fear and greed, leads to impulsive trades and poor risk management.
- Lack of discipline results in traders abandoning well-tested strategies or over-leveraging their positions.
- Frequent trading incurs high transaction costs and taxes, which erode profits.
- Unrealistic expectations and failure to continuously learn and adapt contribute to long-term losses.
- Emotional decision-making, driven by fear and greed, leads to impulsive trades and poor risk management.
- Lack of discipline results in traders abandoning well-tested strategies or over-leveraging their positions.
- Frequent trading incurs high transaction costs and taxes, which erode profits.
- Unrealistic expectations and failure to continuously learn and adapt contribute to long-term losses.
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"In the very long run, your results at the poker table will approach the sum of all your opponents' mistakes, less the sum of your mistakes"
Dan Harrington,
1995 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Champion
Dan Harrington,
1995 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Champion
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$BTC Analysis
On the 1H timeframe, $BTC has lost its short-term uptrend and is sliding lower.
Key support now sits at $111,565. A breakdown there could open the door to the next major zone around $107,367.
With price trading below $113K, market structure looks fragile. Fear is elevated, momentum fading.
Some traders view this as a healthy dip, while others warn of a deeper correction to close gaps from the previous rally.
Critical question: Can $BTC hold above $110K, or are we gearing up for another leg down?
On the 1H timeframe, $BTC has lost its short-term uptrend and is sliding lower.
Key support now sits at $111,565. A breakdown there could open the door to the next major zone around $107,367.
With price trading below $113K, market structure looks fragile. Fear is elevated, momentum fading.
Some traders view this as a healthy dip, while others warn of a deeper correction to close gaps from the previous rally.
Critical question: Can $BTC hold above $110K, or are we gearing up for another leg down?
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1. Current Market Overview
The crypto market is experiencing a correction, but this is not the end of the bull market.
2. Short-Term Volatility (Next 10 Days)
The next 10 days could bring further downside due to:
Historical cycle patterns showing volatility in late September.
Key inflation data (PCE) release for August, which could result in:
A bad reading leading to a market drop over the weekend.
A good reading stabilizing the market and marking the bottom.
This period could set the stage for a crypto rally beginning in October.
3. Historical and Technical Analysis
Current market cycle resembles 2017 and aligns with the average of past cycles.
October historically marks the start of significant crypto rallies.
Bitcoin could hit $150,000 in October, with further growth in November and December, potentially crossing $200,000.
The crypto market is experiencing a correction, but this is not the end of the bull market.
2. Short-Term Volatility (Next 10 Days)
The next 10 days could bring further downside due to:
Historical cycle patterns showing volatility in late September.
Key inflation data (PCE) release for August, which could result in:
A bad reading leading to a market drop over the weekend.
A good reading stabilizing the market and marking the bottom.
This period could set the stage for a crypto rally beginning in October.
3. Historical and Technical Analysis
Current market cycle resembles 2017 and aligns with the average of past cycles.
October historically marks the start of significant crypto rallies.
Bitcoin could hit $150,000 in October, with further growth in November and December, potentially crossing $200,000.
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"The discipline to wait for the right entry, combined with the knowledge of past price behaviour, will set you apart from the majority of traders. They are unlikely to have done the same level of preparation."
______ The Best Loser Wins, Tom Hougaard
______ The Best Loser Wins, Tom Hougaard
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10x in 3 Months Challenge
The current support zone for the wave-iv pullback lies between $121,456 and $114,920. Set your buy limit positions: 1- $BTC ($115,200). 2- $ETH ($3,731). Remember that waiting for the right entry will set you apart from 90% of traders who lose their money…
Set your limits and don't forget to enjoy your weekend :)
1- $BTC ($115,200).
2- $ETH ($3,731).
1- $BTC ($115,200).
2- $ETH ($3,731).
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🚨 The Biggest Crypto Crash in History: What Happened and How to Recover? 💥
Yesterday's events were nothing short of historic for the crypto market. Massive volatility led to one of the largest crashes ever recorded, causing extensive liquidations and heavy losses for traders worldwide.
What Happened?
Bitcoin dropped to $102,000.
Ethereum fell by 20%, while other coins like Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano crashed between 23% and 85%!
ATOM plummeted by 99% on Binance, leaving traders shocked.
Why Did This Happen?
1️⃣ Market Manipulation by Whales: One of the biggest Bitcoin whales entered heavy short positions before the crash, profiting $160M in just 24 hours.
2️⃣ Political Fear: Statements from Trump about worsening U.S.-China relations caused panic selling.
3️⃣ System Failures: Major trading platforms and market makers failed, leading to widespread auto-liquidations.
Key Lessons for Traders
✅ Focus on Major Assets: Stick to reliable coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and BNB.
✅ Manage Risks: Always keep sufficient margin reserves to avoid liquidation during volatility.
✅ Stay Calm: Avoid revenge trading—take time to reevaluate your strategies.
Looking Ahead
Despite the chaos, the crypto market often recovers strongly after major crashes. Historically, Bitcoin enters prime buying zones after moments like this. However, proceed with caution and focus on assets you believe in long-term. 💡
Yesterday's events were nothing short of historic for the crypto market. Massive volatility led to one of the largest crashes ever recorded, causing extensive liquidations and heavy losses for traders worldwide.
What Happened?
Bitcoin dropped to $102,000.
Ethereum fell by 20%, while other coins like Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano crashed between 23% and 85%!
ATOM plummeted by 99% on Binance, leaving traders shocked.
Why Did This Happen?
1️⃣ Market Manipulation by Whales: One of the biggest Bitcoin whales entered heavy short positions before the crash, profiting $160M in just 24 hours.
2️⃣ Political Fear: Statements from Trump about worsening U.S.-China relations caused panic selling.
3️⃣ System Failures: Major trading platforms and market makers failed, leading to widespread auto-liquidations.
Key Lessons for Traders
✅ Focus on Major Assets: Stick to reliable coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and BNB.
✅ Manage Risks: Always keep sufficient margin reserves to avoid liquidation during volatility.
✅ Stay Calm: Avoid revenge trading—take time to reevaluate your strategies.
Looking Ahead
Despite the chaos, the crypto market often recovers strongly after major crashes. Historically, Bitcoin enters prime buying zones after moments like this. However, proceed with caution and focus on assets you believe in long-term. 💡
Most traders have completely lost their entire portfolios, but thankfully, we’re in a much better position. We’ve only lost a few days’ worth of gains and are still up about 31% in our challenge, which isn’t a major issue. Once market conditions stabilize, we’ll recover and continue to succeed. To be honest, the crypto market has become extremely manipulative lately. The Trump narrative and other external factors have only added to the challenges facing the entire industry.
Now, getting back to the point, I will personally monitor the market closely over the next week. Crypto is likely to remain highly volatile, with potential for both sharp upward and downward movements, so caution is essential. In short, if you’ve experienced losses but still have some funds left, don’t worry. Take your time—you’ll recover with patience. Just be sure to avoid gambling your remaining capital in an attempt to recover losses quickly.
Honestly, I’ve never seen a crash like this in my life—it’s one of the worst days I’ve ever witnessed in crypto. However, the good news is that we’ve only lost around 36% of our gains, and once the market stabilizes, we’ll come back stronger and move forward at full speed again.
Now, getting back to the point, I will personally monitor the market closely over the next week. Crypto is likely to remain highly volatile, with potential for both sharp upward and downward movements, so caution is essential. In short, if you’ve experienced losses but still have some funds left, don’t worry. Take your time—you’ll recover with patience. Just be sure to avoid gambling your remaining capital in an attempt to recover losses quickly.
Honestly, I’ve never seen a crash like this in my life—it’s one of the worst days I’ve ever witnessed in crypto. However, the good news is that we’ve only lost around 36% of our gains, and once the market stabilizes, we’ll come back stronger and move forward at full speed again.
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For people still don't know how bad yesterday was, here quick summary:
$ATOM went from $4 to $0.001
$SUI went from $3.4 to $0.56
$APT went from $5 to $0.75
$SEI went from $0.28 to $0.07
$LINK went from $22 to $8
$ADA went from $0.8 to $0.3
Top 100 blue chips nuked 80% in a few minutes.
$ATOM went from $4 to $0.001
$SUI went from $3.4 to $0.56
$APT went from $5 to $0.75
$SEI went from $0.28 to $0.07
$LINK went from $22 to $8
$ADA went from $0.8 to $0.3
Top 100 blue chips nuked 80% in a few minutes.
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