💰 Bitcoin hasn’t even touched its Realized Price yet.

For those unfamiliar, Bitcoin’s Realized Price is essentially the average cost basis of all circulating BTC.

Historically, breaking below the Realized Price has been a major capitulation event forcing most of holders to exit.

4/4 so far. Almost a 100% hit rate.

The bottom isn’t in yet. Rektober is coming...

This pump looks more like a short squeeze, a move designed to grab attention, pull in liquidity, and get people bullish on crypto again.

💰 One of the reason we think $BTC will drop below $45k :

2021 Top to 2026 Top : 1.8x
2022 Bottom to 2026 Top : 8.1x

Realistic Calculations :

2026 Top to Next Top : 1.4x ($175k)
2026 Bottom to Next Top : 4.1x

$44k * 4x -> $175k
$35k * 5x -> $175k

2026 Bottom Should be : $44k - $35k
And Final Top Around : $175k

💰 $BTC Two possibilities here : Minimum $69k or Lower.

If $69K holds, we could see a bounce.

If it doesn’t, I’d expect new lows.

The inverse H&S retest, 200W EMA, previous ATH support and the FVG all lined up at $69K.

💰 BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO CLOSE THE FIRST GREEN AUGUST DURING BEAR MARKETS EVER!

💰 Saylor is playing with retail investors.

Selling posts at the bottom → creating panic.

Buying posts at the top → creating FOMO.

💰 BTC is following Gold.

Gold broke out of a major sideways range, rallied ~20%, then BTC followed (2x) rallied ~40%.

Gold is now down almost 10% from the top. BTC could be heading for 10-20% 📉 next . 👀

💰 $BTC Two possibilities here : Minimum $69k or Lower.

If $69K holds, we could see a bounce.

If it doesn’t, I’d expect new lows.

The inverse H&S retest, 200W EMA, previous ATH support and the FVG all lined up at $69K.