Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
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πŸš€ Trading & Investing: FX | Equities | Digital Assets

πŸ’‘ Strategy: Photon Concept | ICT Concept | BBMA

πŸ’° $BTC $ETH $XAU

⚠️ Disclaimer: NFA, DYOR

πŸ”— https://linktr.ee/CipherSMC
Download Telegram
#RENDER Long

πŸ’  Entry 1 -  CMP (50%)

πŸ’  Entry 2 -  1.195 (50%)

⛔️ Stoploss - 1.115

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/s/sDQWcTto.png
❀1
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
#RENDER Long πŸ’  Entry 1 -  CMP (50%) πŸ’  Entry 2 -  1.195 (50%) ⛔️ Stoploss - 1.115 https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/s/sDQWcTto.png
#RENDERαž›αž»αž„

πŸ’  αž…αŸ†αžŽαž»αž…αž…αžΌαž› 1 - CMP (50%)

πŸ’  αž…αŸ†αžŽαž»αž…αž…αžΌαž› 2 - 1.195 (50%)

⛔️ Stoploss - 1.115

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/s/sDQWcTto.pngβ£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
Moderna Stock Doubles, Adding $26.4 Billion After Cancer Vaccine Meets Both Phase 3 Goals
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
Moderna Stock Doubles, Adding $26.4 Billion After Cancer Vaccine Meets Both Phase 3 Goals
αž—αžΆαž‚αž αŸŠαž»αž“ Moderna αž–αž„αŸ’αžšαžΈαž€β€‹αž‘αŸ’αžœαŸαžŠαž„ αž”αž“αŸ’αžαŸ‚αž˜ $26.4 αž–αžΆαž“αŸ‹αž›αžΆαž“ αž”αž“αŸ’αž‘αžΆαž”αŸ‹αž–αžΈαžœαŸ‰αžΆαž€αŸ‹αžŸαžΆαŸ†αž„αž”αŸ’αžšαž†αžΆαŸ†αž„αž˜αž αžΆαžšαžΈαž€ αž”αžΆαž“αž”αŸ†αž–αŸαž‰αž‚αŸ„αž›αžŠαŸ…αž‘αžΆαŸ†αž„αž–αžΈαžšαž“αŸ…αžŠαŸ†αžŽαžΆαž€αŸ‹αž€αžΆαž›αž‘αžΈαŸ£β£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
πŸ”₯1
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
#BTC Market Maker Buy Model 20 days holding
#BTC αž˜αŸ‰αžΌαžŠαŸ‚αž›αž‘αž·αž‰ Market Maker

αž€αžΆαž“αŸ‹ 20 αžαŸ’αž„αŸƒβ£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
πŸ”₯2
#BTC DMA200
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
#BTC DMA200
#BTC αž˜αž’αŸ’αž™αž˜αž…αž›αž“αžΆ 200 αžαŸ’αž„αŸƒ (DMA200)β£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
According to CoinGlass data, In the past 24 hours, 113,714 traders were liquidated, the total liquidations comes in at $1.57 billion.
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
According to CoinGlass data, In the past 24 hours, 113,714 traders were liquidated, the total liquidations comes in at $1.57 billion.
αž™αŸ„αž„αžαžΆαž˜αž‘αž·αž“αŸ’αž“αž“αŸαž™αž–αžΈ CoinGlass, αž€αŸ’αž“αž»αž„ 24 αž˜αŸ‰αŸ„αž„αž…αž»αž„αž€αŸ’αžšαŸ„αž™αž“αŸαŸ‡ αž˜αžΆαž“αž’αŸ’αž“αž€αž‡αž½αž‰αžŠαžΌαžš 113,714 αž“αžΆαž€αŸ‹ αžαŸ’αžšαžΌαžœαž”αžΆαž“αž›αž·αž€αŸ’αžœαžΈαžŠαŸαž αž“αž·αž„αž…αŸ†αž“αž½αž“αžŸαžšαž»αž”αž“αŸƒαž€αžΆαžšαž›αž·αž€αŸ’αžœαžΈαžŠαŸαžαžŸαŸ’αž˜αžΎ $1.57 billionαŸ”β£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
Long term Bond Buybacks. The 30-year yield plunged from 5.33% to nearly 5.20% following the announcement. Starting September 9, Treasury will raise maximum buybacks from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. The move targets 10–30 year Treasuries.…
Gold and silver added a combined +$1.3 trillion in market cap after the US Treasury's announcement this morning.

The Fed can no longer contain yields and the US government cannot afford higher yields.

Asset owners will be the only winners.
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
Gold and silver added a combined +$1.3 trillion in market cap after the US Treasury's announcement this morning. The Fed can no longer contain yields and the US government cannot afford higher yields. Asset owners will be the only winners.
មអស αž“αž·αž„αž”αŸ’αžšαžΆαž€αŸ‹ αž”αžΆαž“αž”αž“αŸ’αžαŸ‚αž˜αžαž˜αŸ’αž›αŸƒαž‘αžΈαž•αŸ’αžŸαžΆαžšαž‡αžΆαž”αžΌαž€αž‚αŸ’αž“αžΆ +$1.3 trillion αž”αž“αŸ’αž‘αžΆαž”αŸ‹αž–αžΈαž€αžΆαžšαž”αŸ’αžšαž€αžΆαžŸαžšαž”αžŸαŸ‹ US Treasury αž–αŸ’αžšαžΉαž€αž“αŸαŸ‡αŸ”

The Fed αž˜αž·αž“αž’αžΆαž…αž‘αž”αŸ‹αžŸαŸ’αž€αžΆαžαŸ‹αž’αžαŸ’αžšαžΆαž•αž›αž…αŸ†αžŽαŸαž‰ (yields) αž”αžΆαž“αž‘αŸ€αž αž αžΎαž™ US government αž˜αž·αž“αž’αžΆαž…αž‘αŸ’αžšαž‘αž½αž›αž’αžαŸ’αžšαžΆαž•αž›αž…αŸ†αžŽαŸαž‰αžαŸ’αž–αžŸαŸ‹αž‘αžΎαž„αž‘αŸ€αžαž”αžΆαž“αž‘αŸαŸ”

αž˜αŸ’αž…αžΆαžŸαŸ‹αž‘αŸ’αžšαž–αŸ’αž™αžŸαž˜αŸ’αž”αžαŸ’αžαž· αž“αžΉαž„αž‡αžΆαž’αŸ’αž“αž€αžˆαŸ’αž“αŸ‡αžαŸ‚αž˜αŸ’αž“αžΆαž€αŸ‹αž―αž„αŸ”β£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
#HYPE

Same pattern, again.

Now Trump says the CFTC is working to bring Hyperliquid into the US in a fully compliant way, adding another major catalyst to the narrative.
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
#HYPE Same pattern, again. Now Trump says the CFTC is working to bring Hyperliquid into the US in a fully compliant way, adding another major catalyst to the narrative.
#HYPE

αž›αŸ†αž“αžΆαŸ†αžŠαžŠαŸ‚αž›αž˜αŸ’αžαž„αž‘αŸ€αžαŸ”

αž₯αž‘αžΌαžœαž“αŸαŸ‡ Trump αž“αž·αž™αžΆαž™αžαžΆ CFTC αž€αŸ†αž–αž»αž„αž’αŸ’αžœαžΎαž€αžΆαžš αžŠαžΎαž˜αŸ’αž”αžΈαž“αžΆαŸ† Hyperliquid αž˜αž€αžŸαž αžšαžŠαŸ’αž‹β€‹αž’αžΆαž˜αŸαžšαž·αž€αž€αŸ’αž“αž»αž„αžšαž”αŸ€αž”αžŠαŸ‚αž›αž‚αŸ„αžšαž–αžαžΆαž˜αž…αŸ’αž”αžΆαž”αŸ‹αž–αŸαž‰αž›αŸαž‰ αž αžΎαž™αž“αŸαŸ‡β€‹αž”αžΆαž“β€‹αž”αž“αŸ’αžαŸ‚αž˜αž€αžαŸ’αžαžΆαž‡αŸ†αžšαž»αž‰αžŠαŸαžŸαŸ†αžαžΆαž“αŸ‹αž˜αž½αž™αž‘αŸ€αžαž…αŸ†αž–αŸ„αŸ‡αžšαžΏαž„αž“αŸαŸ‡αŸ”β£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
Bitcoin breakout started in the bond market β†’ β‚Ώ

Treasury just doubled long-end buybacks from $2B to $4B per operation (Aug 19). Yields eased and compressed BTC punched toward $69.7K as shorts piled on the move.

Same playbook as July 2025: when they expanded long-end capacity, yields cooled and Bitcoin printed its ATH a few months later.

Buybacks can relieve Treasury pressure and unlock the catalyst…
but they can’t build a full recovery alone.

Price is unlocked.
Now the framework has to confirm Recovery.
Cipher SMC - FX x Crypto
Bitcoin breakout started in the bond market β†’ β‚Ώ Treasury just doubled long-end buybacks from $2B to $4B per operation (Aug 19). Yields eased and compressed BTC punched toward $69.7K as shorts piled on the move. Same playbook as July 2025: when they expanded…
αž€αžΆαžšαž•αŸ’αž‘αž»αŸ‡αžšαž”αžŸαŸ‹ Bitcoin αž”αžΆαž“αž…αžΆαž”αŸ‹αž•αŸ’αžαžΎαž˜β€‹αž–αžΈαž‘αžΈαž•αŸ’αžŸαžΆαžšαž”αžŽαŸ’αžŽαž”αžαŸ’αžš β†’β‚Ώ

Treasury αž‘αžΎαž”β€‹αžαŸ‚β€‹αž”αž“αŸ’αžαž‘αž·αž‰αžœαž·αž‰αž•αŸ’αž“αŸ‚αž€αž…αž»αž„αžšαž™αŸˆαž–αŸαž›αžœαŸ‚αž„αž–αžΈ $2B αž‘αŸ… $4B αž€αŸ’αž“αž»αž„αž˜αž½αž™αž”αŸ’αžšαžαž·αž”αžαŸ’αžαž·αž€αžΆαžš (19 សីហអ). αž’αžαŸ’αžšαžΆαž…αŸ†αžŽαŸαž‰αž”αžΆαž“αžŸαŸ’αžšαžΆαž› αž“αž·αž„αžαŸ’αžšαžΌαžœαžŸαž„αŸ’αž€αžαŸ‹ αž”αžŽαŸ’αžŠαžΆαž›αž±αŸ’αž™ BTC αžšαž»αž‰αž‘αŸ…αž€αžΆαž“αŸ‹ $69.7K αžαžŽαŸˆαžŠαŸ‚αž›αž’αŸ’αž“αž€αž›αž€αŸ‹αžαŸ’αž›αžΈ (shorts) αž”αžΆαž“αž…αžΌαž›αžšαž½αž˜αž…αŸ’αžšαžΎαž“αž›αžΎαž…αž›αž“αžΆαŸ”

αž™αž»αž‘αŸ’αž’αžŸαžΆαžŸαŸ’αžαŸ’αžšαžŠαžΌαž…αž‚αŸ’αž“αžΆαž‡αžΆαž˜αž½αž™αžαŸ‚αž€αž€αŸ’αž€αžŠαžΆ 2025αŸ– αž“αŸ…αž–αŸαž›αž–αž½αž€αž‚αŸαžŸαž„αŸ’αžšαŸ’αž‚αŸ„αŸ‡αžŸαž˜αžαŸ’αžαž—αžΆαž–αž•αŸ’αž“αŸ‚αž€αž…αž»αž„αžšαž™αŸˆαžœαŸ‚αž„ αž’αžαŸ’αžšαžΆαž…αŸ†αžŽαŸαž‰αž”αžΆαž“αžαŸ’αžšαž‡αžΆαž€αŸ‹ αž αžΎαž™ Bitcoin αž”αžΆαž“αž”αŸ„αŸ‡αž–αž»αž˜αŸ’αž– ATH αžšαž”αžŸαŸ‹αžœαžΆαž€αŸ’αžšαŸ„αž™αž–αžΈαž”αŸ‰αž»αž“αŸ’αž˜αžΆαž“αžαŸ‚αŸ”

αž€αžΆαžšαž‘αž·αž‰αžœαž·αž‰αž’αžΆαž…αž”αž“αŸ’αžαž™αžŸαŸ†αž–αžΆαž’αž›αžΎ Treasury αž“αž·αž„αž”αžΎαž€αž€αžαŸ’αžαžΆαžŠαžΉαž€αž“αžΆαŸ† (catalyst)… αž”αŸ‰αž»αž“αŸ’αžαŸ‚αžœαžΆαž˜αž·αž“αž’αžΆαž…αž”αž„αŸ’αž€αžΎαžαž€αžΆαžšαžŸαŸ’αžαžΆαžšαž‘αžΎαž„αžœαž·αž‰αž–αŸαž‰αž›αŸαž‰αžŠαŸ„αž™αžαŸ’αž›αž½αž“αž―αž„αž‘αŸαŸ”

αžαž˜αŸ’αž›αŸƒαžαŸ’αžšαžΌαžœαž”αžΆαž“αžŠαŸ„αŸ‡αžŸαŸ„αŸ” αž₯αž‘αžΌαžœαž“αŸαŸ‡ framework αžαŸ’αžšαžΌαžœαž”αž‰αŸ’αž‡αžΆαž€αŸ‹αž–αžΈαž€αžΆαžšαžŸαŸ’αžαžΆαžšαž‘αžΎαž„αžœαž·αž‰αŸ”β£β€‹β£β€Œβ£β€β£
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Market Context

BTC has remained below the 200-day moving average (DMA200) for 289 days. The longer price stays suppressed under this level, the more critical it becomes to wait for a clear confirmation signal before positioning aggressively.

Technical Observation

➀Probability of a retest remains high.
➀For BTC to generate sustainable momentum and break free from the bear market structure, a retest of DMA200 is not only possible but necessary.
➀The ideal scenario: price dips back, retests DMA200, and then rebounds strongly.

Risk Management

➀A safer entry strategy is to wait for +5% confirmation above DMA200.
➀Risk remains present, but this approach reduces exposure compared to entering prematurely.
➀This is a β€œsafer play” that prioritizes capital preservation while still capturing upside potential.

Scenario Planning

Think of the market as a 100‑story building:
➀Current levels are just the lobby.
➀Traders don’t need to enter at the lobby and exit at the rooftop to profit.
➀Even entering at the 5th floor and exiting at the 80th floor can yield outsized returns.

Commentary

Patience is key. The market often rewards disciplined entries over impulsive ones. Waiting for confirmation at DMA200 ensures alignment with broader momentum rather than fighting against residual bearish pressure.

DMA200 +5% = $72,419

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/LNXsZMKY.png