Has this scenario already played out in the market?
We believe everyone has noticed the abundance of positive news regarding the Middle East right now—oil prices are hitting lows and global markets are rising.
There is no need for speculation here. We have seen situations do a complete 180-degree turn countless times before. So, if they do reach an agreement—great. If they don't—we are used to that and will trade based on how the situation unfolds.
As for the situation with ETFs and cryptocurrencies, we are currently following the pattern seen in past bear markets: the Bitcoin price would reach an all-time high (ATH) while ETF levels dropped, and Bitcoin would only hit bottom when the ETF underwent a sharp correction.
This pattern has repeated in every bear market. That doesn't mean history will repeat itself exactly this time; it simply serves as a reminder that nothing unprecedented is happening in the markets right now.
We believe everyone has noticed the abundance of positive news regarding the Middle East right now—oil prices are hitting lows and global markets are rising.
There is no need for speculation here. We have seen situations do a complete 180-degree turn countless times before. So, if they do reach an agreement—great. If they don't—we are used to that and will trade based on how the situation unfolds.
As for the situation with ETFs and cryptocurrencies, we are currently following the pattern seen in past bear markets: the Bitcoin price would reach an all-time high (ATH) while ETF levels dropped, and Bitcoin would only hit bottom when the ETF underwent a sharp correction.
This pattern has repeated in every bear market. That doesn't mean history will repeat itself exactly this time; it simply serves as a reminder that nothing unprecedented is happening in the markets right now.
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BREAKING: The US has removed Iran-related sanctions from the US Treasury's website.
The move comes amid reports that President Trump is aiming to announce a deal with Iran by the end of this week.
The move comes amid reports that President Trump is aiming to announce a deal with Iran by the end of this week.
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🚨 PLEASE DON’T FALL FOR THE TRAP
• SpaceX just posted its first earnings (~$7B, Starlink stronger than expected).
• But tomorrow 900M+ shares unlock — more than doubling tradable supply.
• “Good earnings” = insiders use the pop as exit liquidity.
• “Bad earnings” = weakness + doubled float = trapdoor.
• No clean bullish path this week.
• Next unlock wave hits in November, with more flooding in December.
⚠️ Be extra cautious — this is only Wave One.
• SpaceX just posted its first earnings (~$7B, Starlink stronger than expected).
• But tomorrow 900M+ shares unlock — more than doubling tradable supply.
• “Good earnings” = insiders use the pop as exit liquidity.
• “Bad earnings” = weakness + doubled float = trapdoor.
• No clean bullish path this week.
• Next unlock wave hits in November, with more flooding in December.
⚠️ Be extra cautious — this is only Wave One.
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US job openings dropped -178,000 in June, to 7.36 million, the lowest since March.
This marks the 2nd consecutive monthly decline, bringing the total drop to -226,000.
The decline was driven by private education and health services, as well as leisure and hospitality, which fell -133,000 and -86,000, respectively.
This was followed by wholesale trade and professional and business services, which declined -74,000 and -71,000, respectively.
Despite the decline, there are still 265,000 more available vacancies than unemployed workers, the 2nd-largest difference since January 2025.
As a result, the ratio of job openings to unemployed workers remains at 1.0, the highest since January 2025.
The labor market is becoming increasingly unstable.
This marks the 2nd consecutive monthly decline, bringing the total drop to -226,000.
The decline was driven by private education and health services, as well as leisure and hospitality, which fell -133,000 and -86,000, respectively.
This was followed by wholesale trade and professional and business services, which declined -74,000 and -71,000, respectively.
Despite the decline, there are still 265,000 more available vacancies than unemployed workers, the 2nd-largest difference since January 2025.
As a result, the ratio of job openings to unemployed workers remains at 1.0, the highest since January 2025.
The labor market is becoming increasingly unstable.
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Forwarded from Lookonchain
OTC whale 0x8c58 bought another 10,000 $ETH ($19.1M) today.
Two weeks ago, the whale also bought 27,000 $ETH ($52.03M).
https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8c585dFECE9d68a09f6a17B46c686E7a126A04b1
Two weeks ago, the whale also bought 27,000 $ETH ($52.03M).
https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x8c585dFECE9d68a09f6a17B46c686E7a126A04b1
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Analysis based on Smart Money Concepts framework applied to XAU/USD price action, August 6, 2026.
https://github.com/CipherSMC/Analysis_XAUUSD
https://github.com/CipherSMC/Analysis_XAUUSD
GitHub
GitHub - CipherSMC/Analysis_XAUUSD: SMC (Smart Money Concepts) Analysis — XAU/USD
SMC (Smart Money Concepts) Analysis — XAU/USD. Contribute to CipherSMC/Analysis_XAUUSD development by creating an account on GitHub.
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US LARGEST BANK IS NOW WARNING ABOUT MARKET LEVERAGE.
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon just warned that leverage across financial markets is now extremely high.
Why does that matter?
When investors use too much borrowed money, markets become far more fragile.
Even a small surprise can lead to margin calls and forced selling across global markets.
We're already seeing signs of that.
South Korea's KOSPI fell 5% today, and AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness lost 67% before margin calls forced it to liquidate most of its portfolio.
Leverage makes rallies look easy, but it also makes market drops much harder.
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon just warned that leverage across financial markets is now extremely high.
Why does that matter?
When investors use too much borrowed money, markets become far more fragile.
Even a small surprise can lead to margin calls and forced selling across global markets.
We're already seeing signs of that.
South Korea's KOSPI fell 5% today, and AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness lost 67% before margin calls forced it to liquidate most of its portfolio.
Leverage makes rallies look easy, but it also makes market drops much harder.
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$110 BILLION IN #SPCX SHARES WILL BE UNLOCKED TODAY
This is nearly 2x the amount that was available at the IPO.
Right now, SpaceX is down 20% from its IPO price, and with a massive unlock coming, the dump could accelerate further.
This is nearly 2x the amount that was available at the IPO.
Right now, SpaceX is down 20% from its IPO price, and with a massive unlock coming, the dump could accelerate further.
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“U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday told reporters that he believes the war with Iran would be over soon.
"I think it's going to end pretty soon. I don't think they can go much longer," Trump said in the Oval Office in a reference to Iran.
Video: PTI”
"I think it's going to end pretty soon. I don't think they can go much longer," Trump said in the Oval Office in a reference to Iran.
Video: PTI”
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#BTC Update 📊
The plan is playing out beautifully! After sweeping that liquidity below $62.5k, it successfully reclaimed the $63.6k – $63.8k OB+ / MS break zone and is now holding it as solid support.
Price is pushing higher exactly as expected. We are currently gunning for local resistance before the real expansion kicks in to fill that major void above.
📍 Key Levels:
🔹 Support to Hold: $63.6k – $63.8k
🔹 Next Hurdle: $65.7k – $66.0k
🔹 Main Target: $67.3k – $73.0k (Void Fill)
As long as we hold above $63.6k, bulls are completely in control. Let the setup cook! 🤝
The plan is playing out beautifully! After sweeping that liquidity below $62.5k, it successfully reclaimed the $63.6k – $63.8k OB+ / MS break zone and is now holding it as solid support.
Price is pushing higher exactly as expected. We are currently gunning for local resistance before the real expansion kicks in to fill that major void above.
📍 Key Levels:
🔹 Support to Hold: $63.6k – $63.8k
🔹 Next Hurdle: $65.7k – $66.0k
🔹 Main Target: $67.3k – $73.0k (Void Fill)
As long as we hold above $63.6k, bulls are completely in control. Let the setup cook! 🤝
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