ChainROI Crypto Insights
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Crypto markets insights • https://x.com/ChainROI • Owner @carlrickson • Join my tg @EarlyAlphaGroup • Nansen .ai 10% discount promo code: ChainROI • Not financial advice, for educational purposes only.
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What to say to today’s red charts waking up but…

…make your crypto life easier and try to trade in direction of market makers ✍️

Just this one Wintermute market maker’s wallet is in realised profit of around $160M.

And I pinned a post with sharing this wallet already on Nov 20th 2025 at https://t.me/EarlyAlphaGroup/12852 🚨

Being a buy & hold crypto investor is by now a confirmed failed strategy for most retail investors.

Will focus from now on mainly on my pivots analysis & potential crypto trading with low leverage 🧐
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Quick look at pivots and don't be surprised if BTC revisits $62k or even goes down to $56k area by Feb 20th 🧐

Current BTC price on HyperLiquid: $67,571 ✍️

If this would happen, then ETH could go also down to $1,700 and SOL down to $64.

We're dealing with what has higher probability to happen so could also not happen.

But yeah - at current prices - I'm not interested to do any trading.
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The Cashback Coins update from Pumpfun lets creators choose at launch whether trading fees go to them (traditional Creator Fees) or are redistributed as cashback rewards to traders ✍️

From a pure trading memecoins perspective (Risk vs Reward on Solana Pumpfun tokens, volume chasing, short-term flipping)...

...here are the most plausible pros and cons based on the announcement details, immediate trader reactions, and early ecosystem observations ⤵️

https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2024078078595518784
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Solana network fees declined by ~60% in Q4 as onchain speculative activity cooled amid a broader risk-off market environment ✍️

This drop largely reflects a continued decline in memecoin trading volumes as a share of total Solana activity.

Summary: over 98% crypto users losing and/or making less than $500 per month trenching on Solana, are no longer motivated to be used as exit liquidity 🧐

Betting on prediction markets is now for degens probably becoming more satisfying, with better odds of being consistently profitable.


https://www.galaxy.com/insights/research/solana-q4-2025-etfs-perps-prediction-markets-internet-capital-markets
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Odd on Polymarket for Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 is now just 42% 🚨

Last week odd was as high as 85%.

Today’s sharp drop in odd could add extra fuel for money flows to continue to go into gold & silver markets 🧐
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Just 4 days after I wrote at https://t.me/EarlyAlphaGroup/14165 that I’m expecting higher prices of energy and food

…and crude oil went higher - today as much as up to 50% 🚨

Soybean oil in last 4 days higher as much as up to 10% 🚨

YTD top price gainers: heating oil, crude oil derivatives, soybean, wheat, canola = energy & food (pay attention to ingredients needed for cooking oil) ✍️
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Here's how I use Claude AI tool to turn Nansen on-chain data into actionable trade insights in under 2 minutes ✍️

Now you get latest smart money moves with a simple text prompt 🔥

Sharing setup guide, prompt & few extras inside this post ⤵️

https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2034621674855813599
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Looking now April's positioning of "smart" money in BTC 🧐

Top position is BTC to reach $68k but we nearly here.

On the way down cluster of short positions from $65k all the way down to $55k 🧐

On the way up much lighter positioning - $75k, then lighter at $78k and lightest at $82k.

Strongest pivot now at $70k which could act as a stubborn resistance.

Potential outcome: if BTC not get above $70k in next few days, then higher probability for price to go towards $60k.

As always - do your own research 🚨
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How Smart Traders Use Nansen MCP + Claude AI For Prediction Markets

Made an article focusing on how Nansen data + Claude AI tool can give users the edge to trade crypto prediction markets on Polymarket ✍️

Included also setup guide + prompt I use + case study that printed max ROI of 645% ⤵️

https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2036084022585995438
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🎁 FREE $10 credit to use Polygun Telegram bot to trade prediction markets on Polymarket

Limited time deal
in cooperation between Polygun bot team and Telegram channel @ChainROI 🥳

Zero risk, zero catch
🤝

Polygun team is giving away $10 in free credit to limited amount of users that will join Polygun bot through Telegram channel @ChainROI invite link.

And here's the best part: it's not your money on the line.

You get $10 of free credit - no deposit required

If you lose - it's not your money. You risked nothing

If you win - those winnings are real and yours to keep

Trade on anything: elections, sports, crypto prices, world events

All inside Telegram with Polygun - takes 30 seconds to start

Prediction markets are the smartest way to follow world events - and now you can try it with house money.

Polygun is in current week a Top Polymarket ecosystem builder by amount of active users (source: PolyData .org) 🔥

==========================
Simple steps to claim your $10 free credit: ✍️
==========================
🚨 Limited time deal for first 50 users that will use invite link below 🚨

1️⃣
Click on this invite link to start using Polygun bot
👇👇👇
https://t.me/PolyGunSniperBot?start=ref_chainroi

2️⃣
Wait for Polygun team to credit you with $10 🎁

It's that simple.

Or waste no time: deposit money yourself and try bot while waiting to also get a $10 free credit.

📌 Share this with anyone who follows prediction markets, sports, politics, or crypto - they'll thank you for it.
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ChainROI Crypto Insights pinned «🎁 FREE $10 credit to use Polygun Telegram bot to trade prediction markets on Polymarket Limited time deal in cooperation between Polygun bot team and Telegram channel @ChainROI 🥳 Zero risk, zero catch 🤝 Polygun team is giving away $10 in free credit to…»
Polymarket 2026: 7 Strategies That Actually Print Money (While Most Lose)

Top Prediction Markets Blueprint for Polymarket in 2026: From Arbitrage, Bot Automation to Smart Money Copy Trading with Polygun

How Smart Traders On Polymarket Profit With Prediction Markets
⤵️
https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2037526528116879644
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Testing now actual limit orders getting filled on Polymarket.

And seeing how off my entries are from my predicted probabilities for trades I'm entering in.

Biggest challenge is getting in a trade at desired price that's near my calculated probability 🤪

Trading bots instantly when u make a limit order - they front run u to offer same price as I want to get in.

Before I place my limit order I see nobody offering any amount to get in at that price.

Then I set my limit order and before it gets live - somebody offering min $500 at my desired price.

Plus of course standard spoofing of their orders.

That's why u test stuff with small amounts.

It's an interesting journey into prediction markets trading so far.

My personal challenge to crack this thing 🤠

Sharing more stuff on this matter in my public (muted) tg 📚

➡️ Join @EarlyAlphaGroup & hopefully read things useful in your crypto journey 🍻
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How to Find Smart Money Crushing It On Polymarket Using Nansen CLI

Learn how to setup tools, my prompt used & smart wallets shared to boost your odds to see more green ⤵️

https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2041048295351414999
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Stop Trading Polymarket Blind - Nansen CLI Gives You Whale Vision

Forget guessing odds or chasing hype.

Nansen Prediction Markets API + CLI lets you see exactly what the on-chain whales are doing on Polymarket, in real time 🔥

Here’s the playbook pros are already running ⤵️

https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2043960221987373224
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Speculation for now but with Coingecko created a Polymarket page for POLY token…

…looks like airdrop could happen for many traders that trade prediction markets on Polymarket 🪂🪂🪂
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Earn USDC Daily on Polymarket - Just by Providing Liquidity 🤑

No betting. No staking. Just place smart limit orders on prediction markets and get paid real $USDC every day!

Polymarket Liquidity Rewards program is live and already paid out USD 20M+

Here’s the quick playbook ⤵️
https://x.com/ChainROI/status/2049398862901575881
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How To Earn USDC Daily + $POLY Airdrop Farming Guide 📚

Best chance for you to do both is by being a Liquidity Provider for prediction markets at Polymarket.

Even while I write this post on Polymarket and speculate when POLY token launch, I'm earning rewards in $USDC and positioning myself for an upcoming POLY airdrop.

Here's the quick step by step guide 🧐

Step 1:
Go to Polymarket's Rewards page to select which markets pay decent daily rewards for providing liquidity.

Rewards page link ⤵️
https://polymarket.com/rewards?r=crx

This link lets you also filter markets by highest paying rewards amount, competition for rewards, your positions (once you open an account at Polymarket)...

Step 2:
➡️ Place tight two-sided limit orders (YES/NO), will earn you more rewards than placing one sided limit orders.

➡️ Bigger liquidity provided + tighter prices nearest to market price = more LP rewards for you

➡️ Get paid USDC every day at midnight UTC straight to your Polymarket account.

This is a nice benefit for being active regularly at Polymarket or an extra motivation for you to open Polymarket account today 👍

You can use these daily LP rewards to further increase amount of liquidity provided = earn more LP rewards = positive liquidity loop 🥳

Step 3:
Right now to be in Top 10% by amount of LP rewards earned - which could be a major factor to receive a POLY airdrop, you need to make less than $100 😎

Even if snapshot for POLY token airdrop would be 30 days from now - this means you only need to earn $3 per day in LP rewards (from now on).

I started providing liquidity just 2 weeks ago and I got in Top 10% - key is I show up daily now 🤠

Consistency matters - show up every day to provide liquidity and you could be well off to earn USDC daily & hopefully qualify for an airdrop too 🪂

Quick tips that I use with my LP rewards strategies ✍️

📗 If you just starting to be LP provider, then don't go for markets that pay highest rewards 🚨

Highest rewards = highest liquidity offered by other LP rewards farmers.
Basically at the top, you swim with the sharks and they feast on getting newbies to lose money 🦈

📘 Instead go to page 2 or 3 of Rewards page.

Start hunting there - where spotlights are not the brightest (rewards under $100 daily) 🧐

Smaller rewards usually means markets have also lower daily trading volume = less chance your limit orders will get filled.

More tips and my analysis + which markets I trade, I share first in my public Telegram group 🚨

You're welcome to
Join my group @EarlyAlphaGroup & learn along your way to make it in crypto industry 🤝
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