Three big CS2 tournaments wrapped (
Time to look at what's actually moving the numbers:
The recency factor at work: The VRS system weighs recent results far more than old ones.🇪🇺 Vitality dominated early 2026, which is exactly why their points are now starting to slip - those wins are aging out of "recent" status.
Regarding🇩🇰 Falcons, despite being the 3rd place team by VRS rating, in Players VRS we measure the contribution of players to the victories they bring, and here we see🏴☠️ m0NESY,🏴☠️ kyousuke, and🇧🇦 NiKo at the top of the rating, as their contribution to victories was maximum. However, they are unfortunately being dragged down by🇲🇰 kyxsan (since the VRS rating is calculated over 6 months) and🇩🇰 karrigan.
See every player's points on the platform!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/players
#VRS #player
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The Inferno board after three big tournaments wrapped. Plenty of movement underneath a familiar #1.
- Inferno the longest map in CS2 by average match time - 35.09 min in Premier and 39.91 min on🇬🇧 FACEIT, the slowest in the active map pool (data: scopegg).
-🇧🇷 Legacy crack the top 3 on Inferno - a +4 climb off their IEM Atlanta run, which included a 2-1 upset over🇺🇦 NAVI.
-🇫🇷 Vitality still hold the map at #1 by a 20-point margin, but the chasers are tighter than they've been in a while.
Open Maps VRS on any team's profile to see every map's standings!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/map-vrs
#VRS #Inferno
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🇺🇸 NORTH AMERICA AT THE MAJOR 🏆
Two North American orgs represent the region at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1!
🇺🇸 M80 - VRS #32, 1,383 pts
🇺🇸 NRG - VRS #51, 1,253 pts
🕹 Worth knowing:
-🇺🇸 nitr0 is on the all-time Majors-attended list with 14 appearances, joining 🇧🇷 FalleN, 🇧🇦 NiKo, and 🇵🇱 Snax(who are higher on the list) in the veteran tier of the bracket.
See live win probability and Stage 1 advancement chances on the page!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major #M80 #NRG
Two North American orgs represent the region at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1!
1. Tier list (advancement): B-tier (>40%) · 3:0 picks: 1/24
2. Top map by VRS: Inferno #13
3. Best player: Swisher #164 globally
4. Mixed roster - three Americans (Swisher, JBa, Lake) and two Germans (slaxz-, s1n).
5. Open Stage 1 match: vs🇨🇳 Lynn Vision, 48%/52% by VRS - the closest call on the entire Day 1 board.
1. Tier list (advancement): C-tier (>20%) · 3:0 picks: 0/24
2. Top map by VRS: Mirage #18
3. Best player: Sonic #276 globally
4. The veteran project - nitr0, oSee, and Grim all vintage pros, with br0 (DK) and Sonic (ZA) rounding out the squad.
5. Open Stage 1 match: vs🇩🇪 GamerLegion, 13/87 - the biggest favorite-vs-underdog gap on Day 1.
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See live win probability and Stage 1 advancement chances on the page!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major #M80 #NRG
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WHO GETS THE 3:0?
Our live Talent Pick'Ems board - 50 well-known voices in CS2 made their picks for Stage 1.
🇩🇪 GamerLegion is the runaway consensus - 42 of 50 voices have them flawless out of Stage 1. Two more teams took 1 vote each: 🇺🇸 M80 and 🇦🇺 THUNDER dOwN, the other 6 of 16 Stage 1 teams didn't pull a single 3:0 pick.
🕹 Worth knowing: the board is live - every map result reshuffles the picks!
Check the full board and follow every pick live through Stage 1!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/talent-picks
#IEMCologne #Major #PickEm
Our live Talent Pick'Ems board - 50 well-known voices in CS2 made their picks for Stage 1.
Check the full board and follow every pick live through Stage 1!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/talent-picks
#IEMCologne #Major #PickEm
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🌎 M80 vs🇪🇺 fnatic - EPL S20 · 71 rounds🇪🇸 Gentle Mates vs🇹🇷 Eternal Fire - BCGM Europe S2 · 66 rounds
Underground vs Mindfreak - ESL S49 OCE · 65 rounds
MartinezSa carried
Five rounds shy of the all-time mark!
Watch all matches on cs2analytics!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/matches
#GentleMates #EternalFire
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🇧🇷 BRAZIL AT THE MAJOR
Three Brazilian-rostered teams represent the region at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1!
🇧🇷 MIBR - VRS #20, 1,537 pts
🇧🇷 Sharks - VRS #37, 1,355 pts
🇧🇷 Gaimin Gladiators - VRS #55, 1,232 pts
❔ Worth knowing:
fer returns to the Lanxess Arena 10 years after lifting the trophy with SK Gaming at ESL One Cologne 2016.
See live win probability and Stage 1 advancement chances on the page!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major #MIBR #Sharks #GaiminGladiators
Three Brazilian-rostered teams represent the region at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1!
1. Tier list (advancement): A-tier (>60%) · 3:0 picks: 7/50
2. Top map by VRS: Anubis #5
3. Best player: insani #73 globally
4. Mixed roster - three Brazilians (brnz4n, insani, venomzera), one Swede (LNZ), and one russian (kl1m).
5. Open Stage 1 match: vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER, 78%/22% by VRS.
1. Tier list (advancement): B-tier (>40%) · 3:0 picks: 0/50
2. Top map by VRS: Anubis #11
3. Best player: doc #174 globally
4. Mixed roster - four Brazilians (gafolo, koala, rdnzao, doc) and one Argentinian (maxxkor).
5. Open Stage 1 match: vs HEROIC, 47%/53% by VRS.
1. Tier list (advancement): C-tier (>20%) · 3:0 picks: 0/50
2. Top map by VRS: Dust 2 #36
3. Best player: Luken #195 globally
4. Mixed roster - four Brazilians (fer, HEN1, NEKIZ, JOTA) and one Argentinian (Luken). fer returns with no current Player VRS - his sample isn't there yet.
5. Open Stage 1 match: vs BetBoom, 24%/76% by VRS - underdogs on paper, but veterans on stage.
fer returns to the Lanxess Arena 10 years after lifting the trophy with SK Gaming at ESL One Cologne 2016.
See live win probability and Stage 1 advancement chances on the page!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major #MIBR #Sharks #GaiminGladiators
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- Spirit cut Vitality's lead from 274 pts to 36 since the May 4 Valve snap.
- Three teams dropped out of the top 10 since May 4: FUT (#4), PARIVISION (#8) and FURIA (#10).
- Legacy posted the biggest points gain in the top 10 (+294 from their May 4 base) and they're the only Americas team there now.
- Astralis fell from #6 to #10 since May 4 (-75 pts).
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/standings
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"5/10 or Better Chances" here is the model's estimate that a bracket hits at least 5 of 10 correct predictions - the reward threshold. No one cracked 24%.
Build your own on Pick'Em and see what your chances are!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/pickem
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WHO GETS ELIMINATED 0:3?
Talent Pick'Ems board is LIVE - 50 well-known voices in CS2 made their picks for Stage 1.
THUNDER dOWNUNDER leads the 0:3 picks with 35 of 50 votes. Off-the-board 0:3 picks worth noting: SINNERS (2), Heroic (1) and Liquid (1).
Watch the talent's PickEm probability shift after every IEM Cologne Major match!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/talent-picks
Talent Pick'Ems board is LIVE - 50 well-known voices in CS2 made their picks for Stage 1.
THUNDER dOWNUNDER leads the 0:3 picks with 35 of 50 votes. Off-the-board 0:3 picks worth noting: SINNERS (2), Heroic (1) and Liquid (1).
Watch the talent's PickEm probability shift after every IEM Cologne Major match!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/talent-picks
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"5/10 or Better Chances" here is the model's estimate that a bracket hits at least 5 of 10 correct predictions - the reward threshold. No one cracked 22%.
Build your own on Pick'Em and see what your chances are!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/pickem
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New Breed Agency ApS, the company behind the Parken Challenger Championship, has filed for bankruptcy. The nine remaining tournaments planned for 2026 have been cancelled.
Less than two months ago, the operator had announced a circuit expansion - 24 teams instead of 18 starting from PCC 9 in late June, with prize pools rising from €10,000 to $25,000. That expansion is now off the table.
A tier-2 circuit that gave smaller European teams steady LAN reps is gone.
Full statement and details on HLTV!
👉 https://www.hltv.org/news/44742/parken-challenger-championship-circuit-shuts-down-over-financial-troubles
#ParkenChampionship
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STAGE 1 - TOP 8 BY ADVANCEMENT
Live chances to advance through Stage 1, by VRS. One team alone above 80%, three more above 65%, then a 4-team cluster fighting around the 50% line.
🏆 IEM Cologne Major 2026 - Stage 1
📅 June 2-5 · Cologne, Germany
❔ Top 8 advance chances:
🕹 Worth knowing:
🇩🇪 GamerLegion's 3:0 chance alone is 33.8% - higher than the top 3:0 chance of any other team on the board, and almost double anyone else's. From #5 down, the field tightens fast - only 3.6 points separate 🇨🇳 Lynn Vision and 🇨🇿 SINNERS.
The 8 teams not shown sit below 50%. Open the full Advancement board live!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major
Live chances to advance through Stage 1, by VRS. One team alone above 80%, three more above 65%, then a 4-team cluster fighting around the 50% line.
📅 June 2-5 · Cologne, Germany
🇩🇪 GamerLegion - 85.1%🇺🇦 B8 - 69.7%🇷🇺 BetBoom - 67.7%🇧🇷 MIBR - 65.8%🇨🇳 Lynn Vision - 53.8%🇩🇰 HEROIC - 53.2%🇩🇪 BIG - 52.8%🇨🇿 SINNERS - 50.2%
The 8 teams not shown sit below 50%. Open the full Advancement board live!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major
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"5/10 or Better Chances" here is the model's estimate that a bracket hits at least 5 of 10 correct predictions - the reward threshold. No one cracked 22%.
Build your own on Pick'Em and see what your chances are!
👉 https://cs2analytics.com/pickem
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CS2Analytics
Most Pick'Em players go safe and lock 2 obvious 3:0 favorites. The math says that's actually the trap.
You still have time to enter Pick'Em contest till tomorow 09:00 AM UTC 👇
https://t.me/CS2Analyticscom/288
The bracket above is the highest-probability Pick'Em by our model that is based on 10 million Monte Carlo simulations, with match outcomes weighted by our live VRS.
Most people pick two clear favorites and mark them as 3:0 - winning all three matches without losing once. The problem: one bad map and that pick is gone.
The fix: take one of those two favorites and move them down a slot — to 3:1 or 3:2. Now they're allowed to lose one match and your pick still counts. In their old 3:0 spot, put a weaker team that has a real shot at a 3:0 surprise. If they pull it off, you score big. If they don't, you've still got your strong team safely placed below.
Build your own bracket and lock it in before Stage 1 kicks off!
👉 cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026
#IEMCologne #Major #PickEm
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🇪🇺 EUROPE AT THE MAJOR
European-rostered teams represent their countries at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 - each with at least three players sharing the same flag.
🇩🇪 IEM Cologne Major 2026 - Stage 1
📅 June 2-5 · Cologne, Germany
🇺🇦 B8 - VRS #16, 1,584 pts
🇩🇪 BIG - VRS #28, 1,419 pts
🇩🇰 HEROIC - VRS #27, 1,422 pts
🇷🇺 BetBoom - VRS #17, 1,563 pts
See live win probability updating in real time on the page!
👉 cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major #B8 #BIG #HEROIC
European-rostered teams represent their countries at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 - each with at least three players sharing the same flag.
📅 June 2-5 · Cologne, Germany
Tier list (advancement): A-tier (>60%) · 3:0 picks: 13/50
Top map by VRS: Ancient #8
Best player: 🇺🇦 npl #54 globally
Country represented: 🇺🇦 Ukraine (full Ukrainian roster)
Open Stage 1 match: vs🇨🇳 TYLOO, 62%/38% by VRS.
Tier list (advancement): B-tier (>40%) · 3:0 picks: 9/50
Top map by VRS: Overpass #9
Best player: 🇩🇰 blameF #105 globally
Country represented: 🇩🇪 Germany
Open Stage 1 match: vs🌎 Liquid, 44%/56% by VRS.
Tier list (advancement): B-tier (>40%) · 3:0 picks: 5/50
Top map by VRS: Dust 2 #17 / Nuke #17 (tied)
Best player: 🇸🇪 nilo #102 globally
Country represented: 🇸🇪 Sweden
Open Stage 1 match: vs🇧🇷 Sharks, 54%/46% by VRS.
Tier list (advancement): A-tier (>60%) · 3:0 picks: 19/50
Top map by VRS: Anubis #2
Best player: Magnojez #69 globally
Open Stage 1 match: vs🇩🇰 Gaimin Gladiators, 76%/24% by VRS.
See live win probability updating in real time on the page!
👉 cs2analytics.com/iem-cologne-major-2026/advancement
#IEMCologne #Major #B8 #BIG #HEROIC
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