CS2Analytics
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⚡️ Predict VRS for Counter-Strike 2 — rankings, maps, players, and match forecasts.

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FALCONS' FURIA PROBLEM

Just a reminder: 🇸🇦Falcons ALWAYS lose to 🇧🇷FURIA in the playoffs.

Current #Falcons roster has never beaten current #FURIA in a playoff - H2H 0-3.
In elimination matches specifically: 3-1 FURIA.

Can they close the gap today and advance to the semifinals?

🇷🇴 PGL Astana 2026 — Quarter-final | Falcons vs FURIA, live
Win probability by VRS: Falcons 55% / FURIA 45%

👉 cs2analytics.com
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🕹 8 pro takes on the karrigan → Falcons move:

🇮🇱flameZ (🇫🇷Vitality): expects karrigan to groom NiKo into the IGL role, then retire.

🇬🇧mezii (🇫🇷Vitality): an upgrade, but a short-term patch on Falcons' deeper problems.

🇧🇷FalleN (🇧🇷FURIA): surprised - Falcons were already trending up with kyxsan

🇧🇷yuurih (🇧🇷FURIA): kyxsan was individually strong, unclear what actually changes

🇩🇰HooXi(🇩🇰Astralis): a logical move, no one should be surprised by it

🇺🇦cmtry (🇪🇺FUT): a reshuffle that won't change much

🇵🇱snax(🇩🇪GL): fine call, personally indifferent

🇱🇹 dziugss (🇪🇺FUT): doesn't like it, kyxsan was good for Falcons

🇩🇰Karrigan signed April 20 to replace🇲🇰 kyxsan, reuniting with NiKo for the first time since🇪🇺 FaZe.
🇩🇰Falcons closed 🇷🇴 PGL Astana Swiss 3-1.

👉 cs2analytics.com

#karrigan #Falcons
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🏴‍☠️ m0NESY vs FURIA, PGL Astana QF Map 2 (Nuke).

Look at this scoreboard!

Stata:
1.62 Rating 3.0
+7.40% Round Swing!
43-27 K-D
94.2 ADR
74% of his kills with the AWP - 32 of 43

Profile sniper isn't a description - it's a job title, and on Nuke today he did almost whole job himself. Cross from Heaven, hold on Outside, retakes from Ramp, late-round 1v2s on Lower.

m0NESY had a great game on 🎇Nuke!

👉 cs2analytics.com

#m0NESY #Falcons
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🇩🇰 KARRIGAN HAS PLAYED FIVE MAPS IN A ROW WITH A NEGATIVE RATING IN TIER-1 TOURNAMENT PLAYOFFS. AVERAGE: 0.61

Statistics table:
🇩🇰Falcons (17) vs 🇧🇷FURIA (19) - 0.64
🇩🇰Falcons (22) vs 🇧🇷FURIA (20) - 0.56
🇩🇰Falcons (9) vs 🇧🇷FURIA (13) - 0.72
🇪🇺FaZe (2) vs 🇪🇺Vitality (13) - 0.62
🇪🇺FaZe (9) vs 🇪🇺Vitality (13) - 0.90
🇪🇺FaZe (3) vs 🇪🇺Vitality (13) - 0.27


Captain's duel on nuke vs FURIA:

🇩🇰Karrigan vs 🇧🇷fallen

Score: 10 : 1


It's good that Karrigan has a great team!
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🔥 🇺🇦 NAVI have done what they've been wanting for a long time!

They've ended the curse that was hanging over them!

🇪🇺Navi won 🇪🇺Vitality!!

NAVI! NAVI! NAVI!
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🕹 Two big CS2 tournaments have ended (🏆 PGL Astana and 🏆 IEM Atlanta) – how have they affected players' positions in the VRS rankings?

1. After 🏆 IEM Atlanta, 🇪🇺 Vitality is significantly losing ground in the Players VRS rankings!
Before the tournaments, 🇪🇺 Vitality had all five players in the top 10, and the top three positions were occupied by Vitality players. Now, only three of them are in the top 10, and one remains in the top three.

2. 🏴‍☠️ m0NESY and 🇮🇱 xertioN have risen the most in the standings, each with +14 points by the end of the tournaments!

3. 🇺🇦 Navi showed excellent play, players haven't yet returned to the top five. 🇽🇰 Makazze held onto fourth place for a long time, but dropped from there early in the tournaments – now he's regaining momentum!

4. 🇺🇦 Ukraine and 🇳🇮 Israel have two players in Players VRS rankings!

More information on players on the platform!
👉 cs2analytics.com
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🔥TWO CHAMPIONS, ONE WEEKEND!

🇺🇦 NAVI in Atlanta. 🇷🇺 Spirit in Astana. The full wrap.

Two tier-1 events ran side by side May 9-17. Two different champions. Here's what mattered.

🇸🇦 IEM ATLANTA 2026

🇺🇦 NAVI 3-0 🇩🇪 GamerLegion in the grand final

🥇 MVP: 🇺🇦 w0nderful 1.31 Rating - first MVP medal of his career!
His trend across the last 5 events: 1.18 → 1.00 → 1.17 → 1.27 → 1.31
He will definitely be in prime position at the Major - he gets better with every tournament!

🇺🇸 Atlanta "records":
- 🇺🇦 NAVI's first 3-0 BO5 final win in ~1,764 days - last time was IEM Cologne 2021 vs G2!

- All 🇺🇦 NAVI players now have an MVP from HLTV - except for 🇺🇦 Aleksib.

- 🇫🇷 Vitality's 12-0 maps-over-NAVI streak (since 2022) ended in the QF.

-🇫🇷 Vitality's first playoff series loss of 2026 (after a 5-trophy run).

- 🇺🇦 b1t's playoff - best of his career on MVP-level events: 1.32 across 8 maps. Same rating as his 2021 BLAST Fall Final, but spread over more maps.

- 🇪🇺 GamerLegion's GF problem: lost both their tier-1 grand finals 0-X. BLAST Paris Major 2023 0-2 vs Vitality + IEM Atlanta 2026 0-3 vs 🇺🇦 NAVI. Combined: 0-5 in maps in GFs.

- 🇺🇦 NAVI's ESL Intel Grand Slam race has started: Atlanta = star #1 of 4 needed. Eligible events ahead: IEM Cologne Major 2026, IEM Katowice, IEM Chengdu 2026, IEM Krakow 2027, ESL Pro XXV (per ESL).


Top 5 olayers on IEM Atlanta:
1. latto (🇧🇷Legacy) - 1.32 leads
2. w0nderful (🇪🇺NAVI) - 1.31 second.
3. KVEM (🛳Passion UA) - 1.27
4. Zywoo (🇪🇺Vitality) - 1.27
5. DEMON (🇪🇺FUT) - 1.24

4 🇺🇦Ukrainian players in the top 10 (w0nderful, Kvem, dem0n, b1t)


📺 Most-viewed match Atlanta:
🇪🇺Vitality vs🇪🇺 BC.Game - 603,949 (the s1mple return — top of the event)
🇪🇺NAVI vs 🇪🇺GamerLegion - 601,434
🇪🇺NAVI vs 🇪🇺Vitality - 466,894

→ Three of the top 5 matches were NAVI's


🏆 PGL ASTANA 2026

🇷🇺Spirit 3-0 🇩🇰Falcons in the grand final!
Spirit went undefeated through the entire bracket, They lost only one map during the entire tournament!

🥇 MVP: 🏴‍☠️donk 1.61 Rating (62 kills / 46 deaths over 3 maps, 11th MVP of his career)

🇰🇿 Astana "records":
- 🇩🇰 karrigan's bracket debut for Falcons ended in a 3-0 GF loss. His tournament rating across 5 straight tier-1 playoff maps stays under 1.00.

- 30 ace rounds across both events: 16 in Atlanta + 14 in Astana. Tournaments leader: dumau (Legacy) with 3 aces across 2 matches.
The tournament with the highest number of aces was PGL Cluj-Napoca (18).

- 🏴‍☠️ sh1ro is the best clutch player at PGL Astana 2026, sh1ro won 10 1vX situations!


📺 Most-viewed match Astana:
🇷🇺Spirit vs 🇩🇰Falcons (final) — 1,169,121
🇧🇷FURIA vs 🇩🇰Falcons — 1,077,469
🇷🇺Spirit vs 🇧🇷FURIA — 690,930

PGL Astana hit 1,169,210 at the final — nearly 2x IEM Atlanta's 630,960 peak.


🙇‍♂️ CT-side dominance across the 7 maps played at both events combined:
🌅 Dust 2: 53.5% CT (38 plays)
🕌 Mirage: 56.7% CT (34 plays)
🎇 Nuke: 58.4% CT (27 plays) — strongest CT edge
🏞 Ancient: 50.4% CT (27 plays)
⛪️ Inferno: 52% CT (23 plays)
🚅 Overpass: 54.5% CT (13 plays)
🏜 Anubis: 47.8% CT (7 plays) — only T-sided map, also least played


🧐 What's next
🇸🇦 IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 starts June 2 — 15 days out! Vitality go in as the dominant force of 2026, Spirit as the clearest challenger after Astana, NAVI as the freshest in-form champion. The first map of the Major is going to feel very different from how this weekend ended.

IEM Cologne Major - could bring a lot of unexpected twists and interesting counter-strike

👉 cs2analytics.com
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🔥 BIGGEST CLIMBERS, 14 DAYS

May 4 → May 18. The VRS pts from the valve snapshot.

Top 8 teams by VRS accumulation over the last month:

🇷🇺 magic +216 pts (#46 → #21)
PGL Astana run from open qualifier all the way to the QF. As a result, they took 4th place in the tournament - this is an good result for them.

🇷🇺 Spirit +182 pts (#5 → #2)
PGL Astana title — 3-0 sweep of Falcons in the GF. Now world #2 by VRS, the closest chase to Vitality at #1.

🇪🇺 GamerLegion +165 pts (#13 → #11)
IEM Atlanta grand finalist. The 0-3 loss to NAVI stings, but the GF broke them into the world top 11.

🇨🇳 Lynn Vision +160 pts (#49 → #25)
Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 has yielded results — tier-2 → tier-1 visibility in a single event.

🇧🇷 Legacy +145 pts (#14 → #13)
IEM Atlanta playoff run. latto led the event's player rankings, and dumau posted the most aces on the tournament.

🇺🇾 9z +137 pts (#19 → #15)
PGL Astana 3-0 Swiss qualification, then a 1-2 QF loss to magic in the bracket.

Walczaki +129 pts (#68 → #39)
Polish tier-2 accumulate vrs points - 29-spot jump is the biggest place-movement of the entire top 8.

JiJieHao +120 pts (#64 → #38)
Chinese scene rising!

🕹 Worth knowing:
half of the top 8 climbers (magic, Lynn Vision, Walczaki, JiJieHao) started the window outside the world top 40. That's the cleanest signal yet that 2026's open qualifier ecosystem is producing real ranking points, not just upset highlight reels.

👉 cs2analytics.com
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🇪🇺 WORTH THE WAIT

🇺🇦 NAVI lifted their second trophy of 2026 at IEM Atlanta, sweeping 🇪🇺 GamerLegion 3-0 in the grand final. The bigger story: they finally beat 🇪🇺 Vitality.

The 🥇 MVP - Ihor "w0nderful" Zhdanov
First MVP medal of his career.

"I've had many chances to win the MVP title, but each time I played poorly in the finals or we lost. This is my first MVP – I'm incredibly happy."

"I think we're stronger now than we were in 2024 and we have every chance of winning the Major - we'll see what happens at the Major." — w0nderful 🇺🇦


🇺🇦 NAVI Captain - Aleksi "Aleksib" Virolainen

"I'm glad that people didn't stop supporting us even when we didn't play well at the beginning of the season!
We now believe in our strengths and plan to continue playing the same way at the Major. I think everyone sees the level of play we have now and I think many people respect our style of play. But we also have to always remember – all teams are growing too, so we have to be ready to meet everyone!" Aleksib 🇺🇦


🇺🇦 NAVI Coach - Andrey "B1ad3" Gorodenskiy

"The second and third cards were very tense, but we continued to fight, showed our will to win and achieved success in the remaining moments. I am proud of the team. Thanks for the support!" — B1ad3 🇺🇦
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🏅 2026 TROPHY STANDINGS

🇪🇺 Vitality - Trophies 5 Finals 5
🇺🇦 NAVI - Trophies 2 Finals 4
🇷🇺 Spirit - Trophies 1 Finals 2
🇷🇺 PARIVISION - Trophies 1 Finals 2
🇪🇺 FUT - Trophies 1 Finals 1

NAVI are closing the finals gap on Vitality (4 vs 5)🔥
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"How many people wanted to replace 🇩🇰 karrigan with kyxsan🇲🇰 or siuhy🇵🇱 at one point? These two aren't even 50% as good as Finn, but people think that because they get more kills, they're better." - 🇫🇷 Dan apEX Madesclaire
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Some comments from 🇲🇰 kyxsan:

"We had about seven months. Someone will say that this is enough, someone will say that this is not enough, but I think that we showed good results, we just always lacked some one detail to win the trophy.

We showed ourselves as one of the best teams in the world, consistently entered the playoffs, were definitely the TOP-3 team in the world and even beat Vitality when no one else could do it. We just needed more time and for them to believe in us"

"When you play a team like the Falcons, you have to be prepared that people will eat you alive for your failures, but they won't say anything good if you achieve some results."

"On the day I arrived at IEM RIO, the manager wrote to me and said that I would quit.
I was shocked, because before that there were no discussions in the team about changes. We understood that we did not show the results we should have, but our project had to be long-term"


🇲🇰 kyxsan hasn't signed any contracts yet, but he's getting ready to come back:

"My best friend invited me to his wedding in a few months... And I was like, "Bro, I don't even have a team right now, but if I find one, the season starts in July, so I have no idea if I'll be able to come." I said i'd answer the day before the event."


Interestingly, the player also said that he doesn't hold a grudge against anyone. And the haters can wait for him to fall, but that won't happen because he plans to play until he's at least 30:

"The haters were writing insults and threats to us every day. Online, everyone hated us (Falcons), but in every arena, wherever we went, the crowd was passionately supporting us."
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🇩🇰 DEBUT VERDICT: 8/10

🇩🇰 karrigan reflects on Falcons' PGL Astana run after the 3-0 GF loss to Spirit.

Speaking to 🇩🇰 HLTV after arriving in Shanghai for CS Asia Championships, Falcons' new IGL gave his own grade on the Astana debut:

"I'd give it an 8 or 9 out of 10." - 🇩🇰karrigan to HLTV

📌 What he said:
Pleased with the 🇧🇷 FURIA semi recovery - Falcons came back from a seven match-point hole on Dust 2
Dust 2 in the GF turned on a single 1v3 lost in OT - 🇩🇰karrigan thinks a win there could have changed the series tone
The 10/10 would've been the trophy. He stops short of it
Bootcamp plan before Cologne: five days together, a few days home, then straight into the Major. Data from Astana + CAC will drive what gets fixed

🧐 Worth knowing:
1. It was karrigan's first event with Falcons after signing to replace 🇲🇰 kyxsan, and the team reached the GF on their debut weekend together.

2. VRS impact: Falcons +129 pts for all turnament, but stay inside the world top 5.

👉 cs2analytics.com

#karrigan #Falcons #PGLAstana
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🇸🇪 FNATIC ENTERS THE TRANSFER MARKET

Two football clubs reportedly in talks for the legendary CS org. One German. One unnamed.(rumor)

The org with three Counter-Strike Majors - including the very first one in 2013 - the only team to win three Major titles before Vitality caught up and Astralis overtook them, and almoust two decades of black & orange jerseys, is reportedly closer than ever to changing hands.

📌 What's reported (Al Lio Podcast, Spanish primary):

🇸🇪 Fnatic are reportedly in active sale negotiations with two football clubs
One of them is a German club, the other's origin is undisclosed
The deal is for either the whole org or a controlling stake
Fnatic are reportedly not touching the roster during the off-season - the sale is the priority

📌 What was already on the record (Dust2.us primary):

🇸🇪 Fnatic hired an advisory firm to explore offers in the ~$100M range
That December exploration didn't lead to a public deal - and this round, the buyer pool is coming from a different industry

🧐 Why football clubs?
The buyers aren't another esports org or a private equity fund - they're football clubs looking outside the pitch. The cross-industry play makes sense: a football club gets a global esports brand with a built-in young audience; Fnatic gets capital and infrastructure that the esports market alone can't currently provide. If this closes, it would be one of the cleanest examples yet of traditional sports acquiring esports IP directly, not through a sponsorship deal.

🕹 For context on the CS side:
🇸🇪 Fnatic's CS2 team is sitting outside the HLTV world top 40 in May 2026.
The roster spent most of 2026 in tier-2 brackets (ESL Challenger League S51, PGL Bucharest closed qualifier, Tipsport Prague).
Whoever closes this deal is buying the brand, the history, and the youth pipeline - not a tier-1 CS contender.

#Fnatic
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VRS impact for IEM Atlanta 2026

1. 🇺🇸 Liquid rose the most in the rankings, up 7 spots.

2. 🇩🇪 Gamerlegion had the best points total, gaining 209 points and moving up 6 spots in the rankings. The team performed admirably in the tournament and deservedly reached the final against Navi.

3. 🇪🇺 BCGame suffered the most damage in the standings, dropping 6 spots.

4. 🇪🇺 Vitality had a down VRS result, down 44 points, but that doesn't mean anything to them, as they still hold the top spot in the rankings with 2052 VRS points!

👉 cs2analytics.com

#IEMAtlanta
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VRS impact for 🇷🇴 Astana 2026

1. 🇷🇺 magic rose the most in the rankings, up 25 spots and gaining 212 points - This is the biggest jump in points and placement across 2 tournaments(PGL Astana 2026 and IEM Atlanta 2026).

2. 🇷🇺 K27 suffered the most damage in the standings, dropping 4 spots and down -36 points by turnament.

3. It's worth noting that 🇪🇺 MOUZ, 🇷🇺Spirit, and 🇺🇾 9z also earned good points during the tournament - +148/+199/+131, respectively.

👉 cs2analytics.com

#PGLAstana
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🏆 CS Asia Championships 2026!

Tournament info:
🗓 May 20–24, 2026
📌 Shanghai, China
👥 16 teams
💰 $1M prize pool
The last Big Event before the Cologne Major!

Group A - Day 1 matches (win probability by VRS):
🇸🇦Falcons 99% - 1% 🇪🇺BCGame
🇪🇺MOUZ 90% - 10% 🇨🇳TYLOO
🇧🇷Legacy 83% - 17% 🇺🇸NRG
🇧🇷paiN 67% - 33% 🌎M80

Group B - Day 1 matches:
🇲🇳The MongolZ 80% - 20% 🇨🇳Lynn Vision
🇷🇺PARIVISION 86% - 14% 🌎Liquid
🇫🇷3DMAX 60% - 40% 🇧🇷MIBR
🇺🇦B8 61% - 39%🇸🇪 NIP

Win probability by VRS on every match!
👉 cs2analytics.com

#CACShanghai
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🤩 TIKTOK JOINS THE FEED

ESL 🇬🇧 FACEIT Group is reportedly bringing its tournaments to TikTok in a mobile-first vertical format. Debut: IEM Atlanta.

📌 What's reported:
ESL FACEIT Group has entered a partnership with TikTok to stream its tournaments on the platform.
Broadcasts get a vertical mobile format with adapted graphics, overlays and exclusive backstage content. The collaboration debuted during IEM Atlanta 2026.
TikTok will also help promote ESL content and open access to its ad tools and its network of gaming creators for co-streams.
Reasoning cited: per SQ Magazine, ~56% of esports viewership happens on mobile devices.

🇸🇦 IEM Atlanta 2026 was indeed broadcast on TikTok - alongside Twitch, Kick, YouTube Live, Facebook Gaming and CHZZK.

🕹 Worth knowing:
This fits EFG's wider 2026 push. In April they signed a global partnership with Kick (debuting at IEM Rio), expanding distribution toward younger, mobile-native audiences. A TikTok vertical feed would be the next step in the same multi-platform strategy — meeting fans on the screen they already watch on, rather than pulling them to a desktop stream.

👉 cs2analytics.com

#ESL #TikTok #CS2 #Esports
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🇲🇳 mzinho has the best rating of 3.0 on Opening Round at the CS Asia Championships 2026 tournament.

Best players with rating of 3.0 on Opening Round:
1. 🇲🇳mzinho - 2.04 (The Mongolz vs Lynn Vision)
2. 🇺🇦npl - 1.91 (B8 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas)
3. 🇷🇺Jame - 1.83 (PARIVISION vs Liquid)
4. 🇪🇺electroNic - 1.73 (BC.Game vs Falcons)
5. 🇺🇸Grim - 1.71 (NRG vs Legacy)
6. 🇨🇳Moseyuh - 1.65 (TYLOO vs MOUZ)
7. 🌎JBa - 1.60 (M80 vs pain)
8. 🇧🇷kl1m - 1.45 (MIBR vs 3DMAX)

Tomorrow the battle in the lower bracket for the last 2 spots in the playoffs will continue:

Lower Bracket Group A - NRG vs MOUZ and BC.Game vs pain, M80 and TYLOO will waiting someone of them in Lower Semi-final.

Lower Bracket Group B - Lynn Vision vs Ninjas in Pyjamas and 3DMAX vs Liquid. PARIVISION and The Mongolz will waiting someone of them in Lower Semi-final.

👉 cs2analytics.com
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