Fedβs Hammack: Consumers and businesses have grown more cautious, paused some spending in light of increased uncertainty. If the economy should falter and inflation decline, then it may be appropriate to ease policy by lowering the federal funds rate from its current level of 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent, perhaps even quickly.
π₯4
BNY: Weak Dollar a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Institutional investors have been increasing their dollar positions, reversing hedges placed for a weaker greenback.
US 20 Yr bonds draw 4.810% vs 4.814% pre-sale when-issued yield [another successful auction]
πΎ2
π¨Powell: We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension [high inflation, low employment]. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close. [BTFD]
π₯1πΎ1
Powell: Government layoffs not yet big enough to have a material effect on the economy
π¨Powell essentially acknowledges that a stagflationary outlook will force the Fed to prioritize employment over short-term inflation, largely due to the impact of tariffs, opening the door to cuts despite tariff-driven inflation. BTFD! -Bull Case insider
π₯8
π¨FED'S POWELL: CRYPTO IS BECOMING MORE MAINSTREAM, A LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR STABLECOINS IS A GOOD IDEA
πΎ3
Powell: there will be some loosening of rules to allow innovation, but needs to be done in ways that does not make banks less safe and sound. Crypto climate is changing; more mainstreaming is happening.