According to a recent ⁦Gallup⁩ poll, nearly 60% of respondents say their federal income taxes are too high while 38% say they’re about right

Tether invests in fintech firm Fizen to boost stablecoin adoption and self-custody solutions for unbanked users and merchants. -official announcement

🚨Bank of America's CEO Moynihan: BofA doesn't see a recession in 2025, and no rate cuts.

While total CeFi and DeFi lending remains 40% below 2022 levels, DeFi onchain lending has shown a strong recovery, now standing 20% above its 2021 peak -Galaxy Research

🚨US financial conditions are now the tightest since the 2020 crash, similar to levels of the brutal 2022 rate hike cycle. -Bloomberg

🚨Future General Business Conditions Diffusion Index has fallen off a cliff. [BTFD]

BTC $86k

Gold trading frenzy erupts in China as tensions with US escalate -Bloomberg

The gold-to-oil ratio is perhaps the cleanest visual summary of the current market psyche: fear and gloom. Gold surges as a hedge against inflation, oil softens on recession fears. The result? A ballooning gold/oil ratio. [BTFD!]

The IEA now forecasts oil demand growth of 730,000 bopd in 2025, down 270,000 from its prior 1 mmbod growth forecast, due to the US trade war

"A level of pessimism that has only occurred a handful of times in the history of the survey." -NY Manufacturing Survey

🚨EU expects us tariffs to remain as talks make little progress.

BTC vs Global M2

Last week was the 4th most volatile week in over 40 years for SPX.

Foxconn sent the highest amount ever of iPhones in a month, worth $1.3 bln from India to the US ahead of Trump tariffs - Customs Data
Apple imported iPhones worth nearly $2 bln from India to the US ahead of Trump tariffs - Customs Data.

The VIX cycle from > 50 to < 30 is on track to trigger today. [A bear killer.]

🚨Trump: China was brutal to our farmers. The USA will protect our farmers [Xi will have to dump more Treasuries]

DAX 1.40% today, rotation keeps going from US stocks.

🚨Jamie Dimon urges US to engage with China

Last week 73% of stocks fell below their lower Bollinger Band, today the % of stocks below their lower bollinger band is zero. Here is SPX's performance every time that happened since 1997.

Fitch Ratings: U.S. corporations remain exposed to retaliation from trade partners, especially China, despite a temporary 90-day tariff pause.