Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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Spot Bitcoin ETF cumulative net flows chart vs daily closed price (14 apr 2025)
SPX death cross activated yesterday. Here are 1-year SPX returns after the Death Cross since 2000. [The death cross used to mean something before the great financial crisis. Now it’s the QE is close cross.]
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April marks the most bearish outlook ever among BofA global fund managers
BofA GFM Survey: Gold is the most crowded trade
BofA GFM Survey: About 50% expect a recession
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🚨Returns since beginning of March:

Equities:
-SPY: -9.0%
-QQQ: -9.8%

Bonds:
-TLT: -4.7%

"Real Money"
-Gold: +13.0%
-Silver: +3.8%
-BTC: +1.2%

Real money keeps outperforming.
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Starting April 23, Google will enforce new crypto advertising rules across the EU, requiring advertisers to be authorized under MiCA as Crypto Asset Service Providers (CASPs) and complete Google’s verification process. -source
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Lunar Crush: After peaking in Q4 of last year, we've seen a significant decrease in the social interactions for an "alt season" -tweet
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USD 10Y low against the Swiss Franc
China Foreign Ministry: We will trade with more friends and become a stronger magnet for investment.
China Foreign Ministry: Facing external uncertainty, China will stay committed to joining hands rather than throwing punches
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Warren Buffett is sitting on enough cash to buy 476 companies in the S&P 500
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China orders halts to Boeing jet deliveries as trade war expands -Bloomberg
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🚨 Binance and Kucoin down
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Binance, Kucoin down due to AWS data center outage. Binance suspends withdrawals to keep user funds safe.
More Chinese Gold-backed ETF inflows yesterday. Another 4t flowed into the big four onshore China ETFs, representing all the Asian inflows.
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BRITAIN'S FTSE 100 INDEX UP 1% ON DAY
Goldman Sachs has CTAs (trend following funds) modeled as buyers of US stocks in all scenarios over the next week and month.
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