Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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Gold vs SP500 show equal returns over the past 5 years but gold has significantly outperformed SP500 since inauguration day.
Markets as of 4am MT open in green.
SP500 monthly so far. Huge wick forming.
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ETH up 5%
Bitcoin OTC desk balance hits ATL
Gold's latest surge to fresh records has been fueled by a rush of buying activity in daily auctions, a sign that major players in the market are still adding to their holdings even at all-time high prices.
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WH Sr Advisor Hassett: We're making enormous progress on tariff talks with EU. White House is concerned about China period. I am 100% not expecting a recession.
Short term inflation swaps just surged again
NVIDIA Blackwell chips have started production at TSMC's chip plants in Phoenix, Arizona. [⬆️inflation]
NVIDIA building supercomputer manufacturing plants in Texas, with Foxconn in Houston and with Wistron in Dallas.
NVIDIA: Mass production at Texas plants to ramp up in 12-15 months.
Global gold ETFs saw US$4.7bn (~52 tonnes) of net inflows last week. North American and Asian funds accounted for the bulk; the latter seeing its largest weekly inflow on record. YTD net inflows now over US$27bn (~293 tonnes).
NVIDIA UP NEARLY 4% PREMARKET
S&P 500 OPENS 1.6% HIGHER, NASDAQ RISES 2.15%
APPLE SHARES JUMP 7.2% AFTER TARIFF EXEMPTIONS ON SMARTPHONES, COMPUTERS
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Treasury yields coming down.
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History strongly suggests both the Nasdaq 100 and SP500 should rally over the next 50 trading days, and by double digits.
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Cross asset Volatility all over the place. [BTFD!]
Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, 5-, 6-, 7-, 8-, 9-, 10-, 11-, 12-, 13-, and 14-year periods.
Deutsche Bank now expects the Fed to deliver a 25 BPS interest rate cut in December vs prior their forecast of no cut in 2025.
China's global trade surplus in the first 3 months of 2025 reached a stunning $273 bn. That's an order of magnitude higher than any previous surplus in the first 3 months of the year.