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π¨Lutnick: Trump plans separate levy on exempted electronics amid trade war
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π¨China has suspended exports of key rare earth minerals and magnets vital to global automotive, semiconductor, and aerospace industries amid escalating trade war
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Nothing has changed from Friday despite the poor wording/FUD attempt by Trump. The tariff rate percentages for the products covered (Semis / Electronics) etc got reduced to 20% from 145%. Yes, not a full "exemption" but itβs exactly what U.S. Customs & Border Protection stated on Friday. Get used to these FUD games by Trump, we will see a lot of them. Just BTFD every time.
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Ray Dalio: I'm worried about something that is much worse than a recession
Development Bank of Singpore (DBS): The current tariff war is a lose lose situation for all countries, US included. Gold prices have room to rise further, especially as futures contract holders now demand physical delivery, potentially leading to a short squeeze and a leap in gold prices.
DBS: We remain overweight in U.S. technology despite broader market concerns. For China, we favor domestic consumption plays.
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π¨DBS: We expect further domestic stimulus from the Chinese government, which has significant leverage given its lower debt-to-GDP ratio (25%) compared to the U.S. (120%). [bullish crypto]
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π¨Goldman Sachs: 12-month target for the MSCI China index revised downward from 81 to 75, considering factors such as a higher effective U.S. tariff rate on Chinese imports, a 4% GDP growth rate, a 14.5% broad deficit spending-to-GDP ratio in China, and modest depreciation pressures on the Chinese yuan (CNY). Additionally, Goldman Sachs has cut its 12-month CSI 300 target from 4,500 to 4,300.
π¨GS: China needs decisive and forceful fiscal stimulus, industry deregulation, and structural reforms. Diversifying exports and imports to non-U.S. markets and reallocating domestic capital to the stock market would also support China's economy.
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JP Morgan's Bob Michele: We've been seeing a complete deleveraging of positions and that's what's been putting a lot of downward pressure on Treasury prices