Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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EURUSD 1.14, highest since January 2022
23 times the S&P has gained at least 5% in one day. The next day and a week out, fairly weak returns. But a year later? Up 26.9% on avg and higher more than 91% of the time.
ETH has shown a strong inverse correlation with the DXY. Current DXY plunge suggests reversal for ETH and alts is imminent.
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This earnings season isn’t about corporate results. It’s about tariffs. Macro fears mean we can’t be too nuanced about how individual companies are doing when macro is so bad.
Just months ago, options traders were extremely bullish. Now, they’re loading up on puts (shorts). This was last seen during the 2008 and COVID crashes.
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Bull Case pinned a photo
PPI inflation -0.4% m/m vs. +0.2% est. & +0.1% prior (rev up from 0%); core -0.1% vs. +0.3% est. & +0.1% prior (rev up from -0.1%)
JPMorgan CEO Dimon: My guess is a lot of companies will remove guidance.
Gold continues to surge, $3232 per ounce
🚨US TOLD CHINA TO REQUEST A XI-TRUMP CALL
Blackrock CEO Fink: The Fed may not cut with persistent inflation.
Net inflows/outflow of millionaires. China set to lose more than any other country.
Share of Consumers Expecting Rising Unemployment Up Five Straight Months; Highest Since 2009 - UMich
Inflation expectations soar in the University of Michigan consumer survey -Nick Timiraos
Buried in the news due to market volatility
10Y shooting for 4.6%
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US yields are rising sharply versus the G10
Seen in China
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Bond market breaking again. Trump may need Fed's help at this rate.
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Jim Bianco: The UST bond selling is coming from Europe, where China is believed to hold several hundred billion of US Treasuries in legal entities in Belgium and Luxembourg. USD going down, Yields goin up and Euro going up proves it comes from Europe. [Xi has officially taken the bait!!!!! BTFD]
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250M USDC minted by Circle -source
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