Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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SPX Fear and Greed Index: 3 (Extreme Fear)
Crypto Fear and Greed: 18 (Extreme Fear)

If this is a bear market then it's the first bear market that can be unwound with a single tweet. How can you be scared? BTFD
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NASDAQ green pre-market. [The market gives the biggest cues when it reacts good to bad news.]
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EU Commissions says it will impose first countermeasures against the US on April 15; says it secures backing from EU countries for first countermeasures against US tariffs
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Probability of a May 7 rate cut still 55%. With tariffs, both inflation expectations and yields are rising. Will the Fed cut rates with short term inflation expectations through the roof? There is a third option nobody is talking about, stablecoins. Tether ranked among the top buyers of US Treasuries in 2024. As other currencies suffer tariff induced hyperinflation, demand for USD can fuel more purchases of US debt through stablecoin adoption.
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The S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index now at the pivotal 11 level which has seen either lows or tradable rallies emerge. Only GFC and Covid crash had printed lower readings.
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Blackrock sells $200M in Bitcoin.
Trump: This is a great time to buy
The EU votes in favor of imposing tariffs on 1500+ selected U.S. goods. The first tariffs will come into place next Tuesday
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Bessent: Treasury market behaving normally.

Some unusually sharp moves in US government bond yields in recent days, but it's not (for now) crisis territory.
Trump posted that it’s a good time to buy exactly on the Covid trendline
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China surplus by the numbers. [They will still lose the tariff war]
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Recession odds on Kalshi 69%
DJT 7% above precovid high
A recent survey of Fed officials shows that most of them think there's a bigger chance that inflation and unemployment will end up worse than they expect, even though their official forecast still looks okay.
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: We'll take a close look at the regulatory impediments for blockchain, stablecoins, and new payment systems and we will consider reforms to unleash the awesome power of the American capital market.
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Bull Case pinned a photo
Vaneck head of digital assets Matthew Sigel confirms that China and Russia are reportedly settling trade using crypto (Bitcoin & other digital assets).
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Fed's Barkin: I worry if we're close to a moment where consumers decide to pull back; so far that has not happened. Consumers are still spending, but we're watching it.
US 10Y NOTES DRAW 4.43% VS 4.46% PRE-SALE WHEN-ISSUED YIELD
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🚨 105,000,000 USDT (104,948,287 USD) transferred from Tether Treasury to unknown wallet
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