Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
π¨Today, an Iranian delegation of 17 people arrived at the Serena Hotel in Islamabad. Ghalibaf and Araghchi will come. - Saudi source
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Bull Case
Trump: the concept of the deal is done. I think we have a very good chance to get it completed
π¨Details of the latest US-Iran draft proposal, according to Amit Segal & various other journalists [Key US Concessions in bold]:
β’ Iran commits to a 15-year enrichment suspension, with the exception of research reactors for medical isotopes.
β’ Iran's stockpile of 60% and 20% enriched uranium would be partially converted to reactor fuel, and partially 'downblended' to a lower enrichment level. However, it wonβt leave Iran.
β’ IAEA supervison on nuclear sites.
β’ Opening the Strait of Hormuz, with the possibility of collecting tolls.
β’ The US will offer Iran phased sanctions relief.
β’ The US will unfreeze all Iranian assets currently frozen abroad, amounting to $20 Billion or more.
β’ The US will commit to a non-aggression pact with Iran that is ensured through a UN National Security Council resolution and a treaty ratified by Congress.
β’ The US will withdraw all its military forces from the Persian Gulf.
β’ Iran commits to a 15-year enrichment suspension, with the exception of research reactors for medical isotopes.
β’ Iran's stockpile of 60% and 20% enriched uranium would be partially converted to reactor fuel, and partially 'downblended' to a lower enrichment level. However, it wonβt leave Iran.
β’ IAEA supervison on nuclear sites.
β’ Opening the Strait of Hormuz, with the possibility of collecting tolls.
β’ The US will offer Iran phased sanctions relief.
β’ The US will unfreeze all Iranian assets currently frozen abroad, amounting to $20 Billion or more.
β’ The US will commit to a non-aggression pact with Iran that is ensured through a UN National Security Council resolution and a treaty ratified by Congress.
β’ The US will withdraw all its military forces from the Persian Gulf.
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Bull Case
π¨Details of the latest US-Iran draft proposal, according to Amit Segal & various other journalists [Key US Concessions in bold]: β’ Iran commits to a 15-year enrichment suspension, with the exception of research reactors for medical isotopes. β’ Iran's stockpileβ¦
Through a Middle East lens, these look like big concessions. Through a Taiwan lens, they point to a China pivot.
Sanctioning Iranian oil is bad for Taiwan because it just creates a 'dark' supply glut that China buys at a massive discount to fuel its military machine.
Sanctioning Iranian oil is bad for Taiwan because it just creates a 'dark' supply glut that China buys at a massive discount to fuel its military machine.
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Bull Case pinned Β«π¨Details of the latest US-Iran draft proposal, according to Amit Segal & various other journalists [Key US Concessions in bold]: β’ Iran commits to a 15-year enrichment suspension, with the exception of research reactors for medical isotopes. β’ Iran's stockpileβ¦Β»
Polymarket is in talks to raise $400 million at a $15 billion valuation to invest heavily in event based trading, per The Information.
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Aave lost $9.5B in deposits over two days. Hackers stole $292 million in rsETH tokens from the Kelp rsETH bridge and used them as collateral to get a massive loan. Now, Aave is stuck with nearly $200 million of debt backed by toxic collateral (rsETH). This caused a massive run on deposits over the last 2 days which has pushed Aave's utilization rate close to 100%
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Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
Nearly 20k security personnel have been deployed in Islamabad, with hotels and hostels around the talks venue and routes cleared, and public transport suspended - Reuters
20k security personel isn't for Vance and Kushner. It sounds like they're getting ready for Trump to go to Islamabad. Bullish
20k security personel isn't for Vance and Kushner. It sounds like they're getting ready for Trump to go to Islamabad. Bullish
πΎ4π2π€―1π€‘1
Bull Case
Nearly 20k security personnel have been deployed in Islamabad, with hotels and hostels around the talks venue and routes cleared, and public transport suspended - Reuters 20k security personel isn't for Vance and Kushner. It sounds like they're getting readyβ¦
Iranian President: War benefits no one, and while resisting threats, we need to use any reasonable and diplomatic ways to ease tensions
A lot of people fell for a lot of FUD over the weekend
A lot of people fell for a lot of FUD over the weekend
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Bull Case
π¨PROFESSOR JIANG: AMERICA HAS GOT A HUGE PROBLEM, THERE IS TOO MUCH LIQUIDITY IN THE SYSTEM; NOBODY WANTS TO WORK That's why Bessent needs to pass the CLARITY ACT urgently. The CLARITY Act makes it easy for boomers to ape in with their entire 401(s)s, IRAsβ¦
WH digital assets official, Patrick Witt, sharply criticized financial institutions opposing stablecoin yield provisions of acting out of "greed or ignorance." The remarks target lobbying efforts by banks against yield-bearing stablecoins in the CLARITY Act.
How do we get boomers to park their trillions in stables without offering yield? Banks are so behind the curve that they have never heard of LUNA and UST.
How do we get boomers to park their trillions in stables without offering yield? Banks are so behind the curve that they have never heard of LUNA and UST.
π€£4π€―1
Bull Case
Nearly 20k security personnel have been deployed in Islamabad, with hotels and hostels around the talks venue and routes cleared, and public transport suspended - Reuters 20k security personel isn't for Vance and Kushner. It sounds like they're getting readyβ¦
Hassett: Trump said Iran peace talks will happen
Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
Iran's refusal of second round of US peace talks was 'posturing'. Iran willing to attend second round of talks with US. - Pakistan officials
Told you π€·ββοΈπ€·ββοΈ
Told you π€·ββοΈπ€·ββοΈ
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Tom Lee's Bitmine acquired 101,627 ETH worth $235M last week, the largest weekly purchase since December. Bitmine now controls 4.1% of the ETH supply with 4.98M ETH acquired.
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Bull Case
China said the presence of a Japanese Self-Defense Forces vessel in the Taiwan Strait was provocative - Bloomberg
US Navy conducted operations in the South China Sea from April 12 to 18th; The same week as the Japanese destroyer's Taiwan Strait transit.
These drills are a clear counter enciclement signal to China.
These drills are a clear counter enciclement signal to China.
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Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
JD Vance & US delegation to land in Islamabad within hours, nobody's playing games - Trump to NYP
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Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
Senior Iranian official to Reuters: Iran is positively reviewing participation in peace talks with US, no final decision has been made yet
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Bull Case
πThe Iranian CenBank has warned President Pezeshkian that unless the current conditions change, because of the current war, inflation will reach 180% and 2 million people will become unemployed. The Iranian regime needs a deal and sanctions relief or itβ¦
Hormuz strait lost its status as reliable - IEA
That's why Iran can't wait to reopen it lol
That's why Iran can't wait to reopen it lol
π€£3
Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
Trump says Iran ceasefire extension is highly unlikely and expires Wednesday evening Washington time
There will be a deal before that.
There will be a deal before that.
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India: 10 of our ships safely crossed strait of Hormuz following coordination with Iran
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Bull Case
Negotiation teams from Iran and US are expected in Islamabad on Tuesday for the final round before Trump makes his appearance to sign a deal on Wednesday or Thursday in Islamabad - Pakistani source
Vance will depart later today to resume negotiations in Pakistan tomorrow Tuesday - Bloomberg
That was always the plan.
That was always the plan.
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Bull Case
Vance will depart later today to resume negotiations in Pakistan tomorrow Tuesday - Bloomberg That was always the plan.
An Iranian delegation will travel to Pakistan on Tuesday. - the New York times, citing two Iranian officials
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Bull Case
π¨UPCOMING FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH: WE'RE IN THE EARLY INNINGS OF A STRUCTURAL DECLINE IN PRICES In 2026 Warsh will send everything fugazi with his AI-led productivity boom thesis. [BTFD before everything rips!]
Warsh to say Fed rate autonomy is essential but earned; set to commit to be strictly independent on rates
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